akashic
1876–2024
Quay County, New Mexico
Quay County·New Mexico

Quay County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

High Plains county where Republicans routinely clear 40-point margins

18762024·38 elections
Quay County, New Mexico · Wordbuilder · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+41
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
8,564
2024 ACS
Most similar
Allen County
KS · similarity 1.00
12 precincts · 3,704 votes cast
Trump · R+41
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−40.9%
1,0552,5703,704
2020R
−37.8%
1,1702,6343,873
2016R
−33.5%
1,0172,2123,572
2012R
−22.1%
1,3832,2023,707
2008R
−20.5%
1,5472,3673,996
2004R
−30.1%
1,4222,6614,117
2000R
−21.4%
1,4712,2923,844
1996R
−2.7%
1,8301,9434,176
1992R
−0.0%
1,7581,7594,289
1988R
−12.5%
1,9012,4544,412
1984R
−34.7%
1,3682,8424,253
1980R
−26.8%
1,4222,4994,025
1976D
+0.9%
2,0952,0594,195
1972R
−45.6%
1,1613,2244,522
1968R
−17.5%
1,3992,1234,132
1964D
+3.8%
2,3332,1614,515
1960R
−12.8%
2,0502,6524,704
1956R
−7.5%
1,9882,3114,318
1952R
−6.6%
2,3752,7115,115
1948D
+37.2%
3,0631,3924,493
1944D
+22.1%
2,2721,4493,732
1940D
+38.8%
3,2151,4134,650
1936D
+60.8%
3,4238164,290
1932D
+54.1%
3,0588524,077
1928R
−0.7%
1,5941,6163,215
1924D
+22.8%
1,5488513,057
1920D
+19.4%
1,8131,2133,098
1916D
+39.3%
1,5395982,397
1912D
+28.4%
8843511,878
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900
No data
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
38.7%
Baptist
34.3%
Other Christian
8.4%
Pentecostal & Holiness
5.0%
Methodist
2.6%
Mainline Protestant
0.9%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 10.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Quay County sits on New Mexico's eastern edge, where the High Plains economy and cultural ties to the Texas Panhandle have made it one of the state's most reliably Republican counties across nearly every recent election cycle.

The Democratic margin in Quay County peaked at sixty-one points in 1936. By 1980 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-one points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. Quay County's median household income of $41,946 sits well below state and national norms, and 27% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Allen County and Carbon County.