HarrisDemocratic27.8%4,230TrumpRepublican70.4%10,714OtherAll other candidates1.4%206
R+42.6- Lead
- 6,484
- Total
- 15,223
- vs nation
- R+41.1
- Turnout
- 47.7%
Akashiccounty
Curry County, NM
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 47.7% of 32,021 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic28.5%4,307TrumpRepublican69.2%10,444JorgensenLibertarian1.6%245
R+40.6- Lead
- 6,137
- Total
- 15,101
- vs nation
- R+45.1
- Turnout
- 45.4%
ClintonDemocratic23.3%3,121TrumpRepublican67.6%9,035JohnsonLibertarian7.3%973
R+44.2- Lead
- 5,914
- Total
- 13,370
- vs nation
- R+46.3
- Turnout
- 39.3%
ObamaDemocratic29.5%4,022RomneyRepublican67.9%9,251GRAYLibertarian2.1%291
R+38.4- Lead
- 5,229
- Total
- 13,625
- vs nation
- R+42.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic32.3%4,670McCainRepublican66.5%9,599OtherAll other candidates1.2%169
R+34.1- Lead
- 4,929
- Total
- 14,438
- vs nation
- R+41.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic24.8%3,541BushRepublican74.5%10,649OtherAll other candidates0.7%96
R+49.8- Lead
- 7,108
- Total
- 14,286
- vs nation
- R+47.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic29.0%3,471BushRepublican69.4%8,301NaderGreen1.2%147
R+40.4- Lead
- 4,830
- Total
- 11,969
- vs nation
- R+40.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic33.1%4,116DoleRepublican59.3%7,378PerotReform6.8%842
R+26.2- Lead
- 3,262
- Total
- 12,447
- vs nation
- R+34.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+42.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 47,6382024 5-year
- Median household income
- $57,3092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 43.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 45.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+63.2 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Roosevelt County, NM · twin score 93.5
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 47.7%15,288 participants ÷ 32,021 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.9 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 33.9%–36.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 13,450 | 34,236 | 39.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 10,283 | 33,852 | 30.4% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 15,152 | 33,384 | 45.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 10,296 | 32,668 | 31.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 15,288 | 32,021 | 47.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
80 precincts · 15,016 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -000018000018 | 197 | 594 | 0 | 791 | 24.9% | 75.1% | R+50.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -000024000024 | 184 | 558 | 10 | 752 | 24.5% | 74.2% | R+49.7 |
| Precinct -000037000037 | 168 | 508 | 0 | 676 | 24.9% | 75.1% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct -000035000035 | 77 | 534 | 0 | 611 | 12.6% | 87.4% | R+74.8 |
| Precinct -000012000012 | 223 | 359 | 9 | 591 | 37.7% | 60.7% | R+23.0 |
| Precinct -000017000017 | 141 | 441 | 0 | 582 | 24.2% | 75.8% | R+51.5 |
| Precinct -000011000011 | 159 | 378 | 6 | 543 | 29.3% | 69.6% | R+40.3 |
| Precinct -000039000039 | 107 | 385 | 6 | 498 | 21.5% | 77.3% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct -000008000008 | 189 | 294 | 0 | 483 | 39.1% | 60.9% | R+21.7 |
| Precinct -000040000040 | 129 | 342 | 9 | 480 | 26.9% | 71.3% | R+44.4 |
| Precinct -000015000015 | 171 | 302 | 6 | 479 | 35.7% | 63.0% | R+27.3 |
| Precinct -000033000033 | 107 | 361 | 0 | 468 | 22.9% | 77.1% | R+54.3 |
| Precinct -000014000014 | 125 | 318 | 7 | 450 | 27.8% | 70.7% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -000004000004 | 49 | 379 | 0 | 428 | 11.4% | 88.6% | R+77.1 |
| Precinct -000009000009 | 176 | 231 | 7 | 414 | 42.5% | 55.8% | R+13.3 |
| Precinct -000038000038 | 109 | 283 | 6 | 398 | 27.4% | 71.1% | R+43.7 |
| Precinct -000020000020 | 162 | 230 | 0 | 392 | 41.3% | 58.7% | R+17.3 |
| Precinct -000023000023 | 77 | 310 | 0 | 387 | 19.9% | 80.1% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct -000019000019 | 109 | 270 | 0 | 379 | 28.8% | 71.2% | R+42.5 |
| Precinct -000010000010 | 64 | 312 | 0 | 376 | 17.0% | 83.0% | R+66.0 |
| Precinct -000031000031 | 104 | 247 | 0 | 351 | 29.6% | 70.4% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct -000013000013 | 123 | 227 | 0 | 350 | 35.1% | 64.9% | R+29.7 |
| Precinct -000032000032 | 64 | 242 | 7 | 313 | 20.4% | 77.3% | R+56.9 |
| Precinct -000029000029 | 128 | 176 | 0 | 304 | 42.1% | 57.9% | R+15.8 |
| Precinct -000007000007 | 167 | 125 | 0 | 292 | 57.2% | 42.8% | D+14.4 |
| Precinct -000030000030 | 40 | 251 | 0 | 291 | 13.7% | 86.3% | R+72.5 |
| Precinct -000043000043 | 96 | 195 | 0 | 291 | 33.0% | 67.0% | R+34.0 |
| Precinct -000042000042 | 90 | 169 | 0 | 259 | 34.7% | 65.3% | R+30.5 |
| Precinct -000021000021 | 84 | 172 | 0 | 256 | 32.8% | 67.2% | R+34.4 |
| Precinct -000005000005 | 56 | 176 | 0 | 232 | 24.1% | 75.9% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -000022000022 | 72 | 140 | 0 | 212 | 34.0% | 66.0% | R+32.1 |
| Precinct -000026000026 | 88 | 106 | 0 | 194 | 45.4% | 54.6% | R+9.3 |
| Precinct -000006000006 | 90 | 101 | 0 | 191 | 47.1% | 52.9% | R+5.8 |
| Precinct -000041000041 | 59 | 115 | 0 | 174 | 33.9% | 66.1% | R+32.2 |
| Precinct -000025000025 | 89 | 83 | 0 | 172 | 51.7% | 48.3% | D+3.5 |
| Precinct -000036000036 | 26 | 142 | 0 | 168 | 15.5% | 84.5% | R+69.0 |
| Precinct -000028000028 | 51 | 110 | 0 | 161 | 31.7% | 68.3% | R+36.6 |
| Precinct -000003000003 | 17 | 132 | 0 | 149 | 11.4% | 88.6% | R+77.2 |
| Precinct -000002000002 | 6 | 128 | 0 | 134 | 4.5% | 95.5% | R+91.0 |
| Precinct -000027000027 | 41 | 73 | 0 | 114 | 36.0% | 64.0% | R+28.1 |
| Precinct -000001000001 | 9 | 97 | 0 | 106 | 8.5% | 91.5% | R+83.0 |
| Precinct -000034000034 | 6 | 80 | 0 | 86 | 7.0% | 93.0% | R+86.0 |
| Precinct -000016000016 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 38 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Curry County Precinct 135_350091 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 1035_3500910 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 1135_3500911 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 1235_3500912 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 1335_3500913 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 1435_3500914 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 1535_3500915 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 1635_3500916 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 1735_3500917 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 1835_3500918 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 1935_3500919 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 235_350092 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 2035_3500920 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 2135_3500921 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 2235_3500922 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 2335_3500923 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 2435_3500924 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 2535_3500925 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 2635_3500926 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 2735_3500927 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 2835_3500928 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 2935_3500929 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 335_350093 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 3035_3500930 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 3135_3500931 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 3235_3500932 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 3335_3500933 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 3435_3500934 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 3535_3500935 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 3635_3500936 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 3735_3500937 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 435_350094 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 535_350095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 635_350096 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 735_350097 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 835_350098 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Curry County Precinct 935_350099 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1912 | +42.4% |
| 1916 | +44.2% |
| 1920 | +39.6% |
| 1924 | +32.8% |
| 1928 | −12.5% |
| 1932 | +55.2% |
| 1936 | +63.2% |
| 1940 | +48.1% |
| 1944 | +16.8% |
| 1948 | +45.7% |
| 1952 | −18.9% |
| 1956 | −15.2% |
| 1960 | −28.3% |
| 1964 | +1.0% |
| 1968 | −25.7% |
| 1972 | −54.0% |
| 1976 | −10.8% |
| 1980 | −37.4% |
| 1984 | −49.0% |
| 1988 | −33.3% |
| 1992 | −24.8% |
| 1996 | −26.2% |
| 2000 | −40.4% |
| 2004 | −49.8% |
| 2008 | −34.1% |
| 2012 | −38.4% |
| 2016 | −44.2% |
| 2020 | −40.6% |
| 2024 | −42.6% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 31.9%4,639 | 68.1%9,904 | 14,543 |
| 2020 | R | 29.2%4,302 | 70.8%10,420 | 14,722 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+25.6
Presidential vote · 2024R+42.6
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 17 points more Democratic.
25,696 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−1,010 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −9,462 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,084 in average income, against $57,161 for residents who stayed — 16% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+25.6 on average — 17 points more Democratic-leaning than Curry County, NM itself (R+42.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Roosevelt County, NM136R+43.2
- Okaloosa County, FL103R+42.4
- Bernalillo County, NM54D+21.0
- Santa Rosa County, FL50R+50.9
- Lubbock County, TX43R+39.5
- Parmer County, TX42R+70.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Roosevelt County, NM175
- Lubbock County, TX84
- Bernalillo County, NM73
- Okaloosa County, FL60
- Clark County, NV58
- Randall County, TX35
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +87 |
| 2012 | +5 |
| 2013 | −868 |
| 2014 | −373 |
| 2015 | −1,510 |
| 2016 | −554 |
| 2017 | −958 |
| 2018 | −826 |
| 2019 | −821 |
| 2021 | −713 |
| 2022 | −801 |
| 2023 | −504 |
| 2024 | −616 |
| 2025 | −1,010 |
Anchored by Clovis and its adjacent Cannon Air Force Base, Curry County combines a military-linked workforce with deep rural ties to the eastern plains, producing consistent Republican margins that have exceeded 40 points in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 63.2 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 54.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.6 points.
A population of 47,638, a 43% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,309 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Roosevelt County and Ford County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Roosevelt County
New Mexico
93.5twin score
% Latinomedian age12-yr trend
Ford County
Kansas
93.3twin score
% Latino2000–2004 trajectorymedian age≠ Scottish ancestry
Lea County
New Mexico
91.4twin score
median age2000–2004 trajectory% White≠ % Latino
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Curry County, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/35009/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Curry County
New Mexico at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Curry County, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, Curry County, New Mexico voted Republican by 42.6 points (R+42.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 15,223 votes cast, 4,230 went Democratic and 10,714 went Republican.
When did Curry County, New Mexico last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Curry County, New Mexico voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Curry County, New Mexico?
Curry County, New Mexico has a population of 47,638 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Curry County, New Mexico?
Median household income in Curry County, New Mexico is $57,309 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Curry County, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Curry County, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.