HarrisDemocratic41.9%2,436TrumpRepublican55.9%3,252OtherAll other candidates1.5%86
R+14.0- Lead
- 816
- Total
- 5,813
- vs nation
- R+12.6
- Turnout
- 59.3%
Akashiccounty
Colfax County, NM
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.3% of 9,865 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic43.4%2,611TrumpRepublican54.4%3,271JorgensenLibertarian1.4%87
R+11.0- Lead
- 660
- Total
- 6,016
- vs nation
- R+15.4
- Turnout
- 62.4%
ClintonDemocratic39.9%2,129TrumpRepublican48.5%2,585JohnsonLibertarian9.9%527
R+8.6- Lead
- 456
- Total
- 5,332
- vs nation
- R+10.6
- Turnout
- 53.4%
ObamaDemocratic49.1%2,828RomneyRepublican46.8%2,699GRAYLibertarian3.6%206
D+2.2- Lead
- 129
- Total
- 5,764
- vs nation
- R+1.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic54.7%3,490McCainRepublican43.9%2,805OtherAll other candidates1.4%89
D+10.7- Lead
- 685
- Total
- 6,384
- vs nation
- D+3.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic47.3%2,824BushRepublican51.6%3,082OtherAll other candidates1.0%62
R+4.3- Lead
- 258
- Total
- 5,968
- vs nation
- R+1.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic48.6%2,653BushRepublican47.6%2,600NaderGreen3.0%163
D+1.0- Lead
- 53
- Total
- 5,461
- vs nation
- D+0.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic51.5%2,659DoleRepublican38.2%1,975PerotReform8.0%411
D+13.2- Lead
- 684
- Total
- 5,166
- vs nation
- D+4.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+14.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 12,3222024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,5542024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 47.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 47.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+34.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+17.6 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Grant County, NM · twin score 92.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 59.3%5,854 participants ÷ 9,865 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.8 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 46.6%–50.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 5,375 | 10,070 | 53.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,712 | 9,808 | 48.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 6,059 | 9,711 | 62.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,940 | 9,954 | 49.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 5,854 | 9,865 | 59.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
40 precincts · 5,727 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -000008000008 | 271 | 342 | 15 | 628 | 43.2% | 54.5% | R+11.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -000022000022 | 185 | 356 | 0 | 541 | 34.2% | 65.8% | R+31.6 |
| Precinct -000016000016 | 209 | 294 | 10 | 513 | 40.7% | 57.3% | R+16.6 |
| Precinct -000021000021 | 190 | 237 | 8 | 435 | 43.7% | 54.5% | R+10.8 |
| Precinct -000001000001 | 164 | 235 | 0 | 399 | 41.1% | 58.9% | R+17.8 |
| Precinct -000005000005 | 172 | 206 | 0 | 378 | 45.5% | 54.5% | R+9.0 |
| Precinct -000015000015 | 118 | 207 | 0 | 325 | 36.3% | 63.7% | R+27.4 |
| Precinct -000002000002 | 162 | 159 | 0 | 321 | 50.5% | 49.5% | D+0.9 |
| Precinct -000004000004 | 99 | 180 | 0 | 279 | 35.5% | 64.5% | R+29.0 |
| Precinct -000003000003 | 117 | 132 | 0 | 249 | 47.0% | 53.0% | R+6.0 |
| Precinct -000017000017 | 127 | 122 | 0 | 249 | 51.0% | 49.0% | D+2.0 |
| Precinct -000020000020 | 122 | 118 | 0 | 240 | 50.8% | 49.2% | D+1.7 |
| Precinct -000007000007 | 60 | 131 | 0 | 191 | 31.4% | 68.6% | R+37.2 |
| Precinct -000009000009 | 81 | 101 | 0 | 182 | 44.5% | 55.5% | R+11.0 |
| Precinct -000012000012 | 80 | 102 | 0 | 182 | 44.0% | 56.0% | R+12.1 |
| Precinct -000014000014 | 59 | 89 | 6 | 154 | 38.3% | 57.8% | R+19.5 |
| Precinct -000011000011 | 62 | 55 | 0 | 117 | 53.0% | 47.0% | D+6.0 |
| Precinct -000013000013 | 48 | 47 | 0 | 95 | 50.5% | 49.5% | D+1.1 |
| Precinct -000019000019 | 53 | 36 | 0 | 89 | 59.6% | 40.4% | D+19.1 |
| Precinct -000010000010 | 21 | 59 | 0 | 80 | 26.3% | 73.8% | R+47.5 |
| Precinct -000018000018 | 36 | 44 | 0 | 80 | 45.0% | 55.0% | R+10.0 |
| Colfax County Precinct 135_350071 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 1035_3500710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 1135_3500711 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 1235_3500712 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 1335_3500713 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 1435_3500714 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 1535_3500715 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 1635_3500716 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 1735_3500717 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 1835_3500718 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 1935_3500719 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 235_350072 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 2035_3500720 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 2135_3500721 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 2235_3500722 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 335_350073 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 435_350074 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 535_350075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax County Precinct 735_350077 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1912 | +5.1% |
| 1916 | +4.4% |
| 1920 | −10.5% |
| 1924 | −6.1% |
| 1928 | −12.7% |
| 1932 | +14.2% |
| 1936 | +25.7% |
| 1940 | +10.2% |
| 1944 | +6.3% |
| 1948 | +20.0% |
| 1952 | −3.2% |
| 1956 | −9.4% |
| 1960 | +15.8% |
| 1964 | +34.4% |
| 1968 | +5.3% |
| 1972 | −17.6% |
| 1976 | +9.2% |
| 1980 | −5.3% |
| 1984 | −10.2% |
| 1988 | +10.4% |
| 1992 | +16.8% |
| 1996 | +13.2% |
| 2000 | +1.0% |
| 2004 | −4.3% |
| 2008 | +10.7% |
| 2012 | +2.2% |
| 2016 | −8.6% |
| 2020 | −11.0% |
| 2024 | −14.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 50.3%2,860 | 49.7%2,830 | 5,690 |
| 2020 | R | 47.1%2,789 | 52.9%3,132 | 5,921 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+0.3
Presidential vote · 2024R+14.0
Colfax County, NM registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 14-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
8,450 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−98 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,617 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,601 in average income, against $58,821 for residents who stayed. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+21.0 on average — 35 points more Democratic-leaning than Colfax County, NM itself (R+14.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bernalillo County, NM34D+21.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bernalillo County, NM29
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −142 |
| 2012 | −362 |
| 2013 | −173 |
| 2014 | −350 |
| 2015 | −273 |
| 2016 | −131 |
| 2017 | −62 |
| 2018 | −79 |
| 2019 | −112 |
| 2021 | +115 |
| 2022 | +4 |
| 2023 | +48 |
| 2024 | −2 |
| 2025 | −98 |
Colfax County sits in northeastern New Mexico's high-plains and mountain terrain, home to ranching communities and the historic Philmont Scout Ranch. Its roughly 14,000 residents have leaned Republican in recent cycles, delivering a 14-point margin in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 17.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.0 points.
A population of 12,322, a 47% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,554 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grant County and Mora County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Grant County
New Mexico
92.3twin score
% Latino2008 margin% Catholic≠ Mexican ancestry
Mora County
New Mexico
87.2twin score
% Evangelicalmedian income% Black≠ 2008 margin
Costilla County
Colorado
86.3twin score
% Latinoelasticity% Catholic≠ 2012 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Colfax County, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/35007/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Colfax County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Colfax County, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, Colfax County, New Mexico voted Republican by 14.0 points (R+14.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,813 votes cast, 2,436 went Democratic and 3,252 went Republican.
When did Colfax County, New Mexico last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Colfax County, New Mexico voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Colfax County, New Mexico?
Colfax County, New Mexico has a population of 12,322 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Colfax County, New Mexico?
Median household income in Colfax County, New Mexico is $53,554 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Colfax County, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Colfax County, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.