HarrisDemocratic51.3%7,301TrumpRepublican46.3%6,580OtherAll other candidates1.6%223
D+5.1- Lead
- 721
- Total
- 14,224
- vs nation
- D+6.5
- Turnout
- 64.7%
Akashiccounty
Grant County, NM
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.7% of 22,062 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic52.6%7,590TrumpRepublican45.4%6,553JorgensenLibertarian1.1%159
D+7.2- Lead
- 1,037
- Total
- 14,435
- vs nation
- D+2.7
- Turnout
- 67.5%
ClintonDemocratic49.0%6,276TrumpRepublican41.3%5,288JohnsonLibertarian7.0%899
D+7.7- Lead
- 988
- Total
- 12,811
- vs nation
- D+5.6
- Turnout
- 57.9%
ObamaDemocratic55.0%7,090RomneyRepublican41.5%5,358GRAYLibertarian2.5%327
D+13.4- Lead
- 1,732
- Total
- 12,902
- vs nation
- D+9.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic59.2%8,142McCainRepublican39.3%5,406OtherAll other candidates1.5%207
D+19.9- Lead
- 2,736
- Total
- 13,755
- vs nation
- D+12.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic53.0%7,095BushRepublican45.8%6,135OtherAll other candidates1.2%162
D+7.2- Lead
- 960
- Total
- 13,392
- vs nation
- D+9.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic50.5%5,673BushRepublican44.1%4,961NaderGreen4.7%530
D+6.3- Lead
- 712
- Total
- 11,241
- vs nation
- D+5.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic53.6%5,860DoleRepublican36.5%3,993PerotReform7.1%778
D+17.1- Lead
- 1,867
- Total
- 10,928
- vs nation
- D+8.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+5.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 27,7752024 5-year
- Median household income
- $44,9582024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 47.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 47.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+8.5 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Colfax County, NM · twin score 92.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 64.7%14,276 participants ÷ 22,062 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 50.5%–56.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 12,957 | 22,390 | 57.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 11,909 | 21,788 | 54.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 14,525 | 21,509 | 67.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 11,778 | 22,077 | 53.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 14,276 | 22,062 | 64.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
74 precincts · 13,998 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -000038000038 | 405 | 317 | 12 | 734 | 55.2% | 43.2% | D+12.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -000005000005 | 287 | 414 | 6 | 707 | 40.6% | 58.6% | R+18.0 |
| Precinct -000014000014 | 391 | 242 | 18 | 651 | 60.1% | 37.2% | D+22.9 |
| Precinct -000012000012 | 321 | 308 | 6 | 635 | 50.6% | 48.5% | D+2.0 |
| Precinct -000015000015 | 356 | 253 | 6 | 615 | 57.9% | 41.1% | D+16.7 |
| Precinct -000039000039 | 323 | 252 | 6 | 581 | 55.6% | 43.4% | D+12.2 |
| Precinct -000022000022 | 360 | 220 | 0 | 580 | 62.1% | 37.9% | D+24.1 |
| Precinct -000011000011 | 211 | 359 | 0 | 570 | 37.0% | 63.0% | R+26.0 |
| Precinct -000016000016 | 309 | 238 | 8 | 555 | 55.7% | 42.9% | D+12.8 |
| Precinct -000008000008 | 219 | 318 | 8 | 545 | 40.2% | 58.3% | R+18.2 |
| Precinct -000020000020 | 394 | 143 | 8 | 545 | 72.3% | 26.2% | D+46.1 |
| Precinct -000013000013 | 247 | 248 | 0 | 495 | 49.9% | 50.1% | R+0.2 |
| Precinct -000030000030 | 161 | 261 | 0 | 422 | 38.2% | 61.8% | R+23.7 |
| Precinct -000037000037 | 155 | 243 | 7 | 405 | 38.3% | 60.0% | R+21.7 |
| Precinct -000036000036 | 185 | 209 | 6 | 400 | 46.3% | 52.3% | R+6.0 |
| Precinct -000002000002 | 158 | 231 | 0 | 389 | 40.6% | 59.4% | R+18.8 |
| Precinct -000001000001 | 70 | 310 | 0 | 380 | 18.4% | 81.6% | R+63.2 |
| Precinct -000007000007 | 192 | 175 | 7 | 374 | 51.3% | 46.8% | D+4.5 |
| Precinct -000018000018 | 262 | 93 | 8 | 363 | 72.2% | 25.6% | D+46.6 |
| Precinct -000028000028 | 229 | 124 | 0 | 353 | 64.9% | 35.1% | D+29.7 |
| Precinct -000034000034 | 205 | 136 | 7 | 348 | 58.9% | 39.1% | D+19.8 |
| Precinct -000033000033 | 136 | 203 | 7 | 346 | 39.3% | 58.7% | R+19.4 |
| Precinct -000019000019 | 209 | 104 | 0 | 313 | 66.8% | 33.2% | D+33.5 |
| Precinct -000025000025 | 203 | 99 | 0 | 302 | 67.2% | 32.8% | D+34.4 |
| Precinct -000029000029 | 169 | 128 | 0 | 297 | 56.9% | 43.1% | D+13.8 |
| Precinct -000026000026 | 155 | 118 | 0 | 273 | 56.8% | 43.2% | D+13.6 |
| Precinct -000017000017 | 119 | 148 | 0 | 267 | 44.6% | 55.4% | R+10.9 |
| Precinct -000024000024 | 118 | 110 | 0 | 228 | 51.8% | 48.2% | D+3.5 |
| Precinct -000027000027 | 143 | 79 | 0 | 222 | 64.4% | 35.6% | D+28.8 |
| Precinct -000023000023 | 95 | 104 | 0 | 199 | 47.7% | 52.3% | R+4.5 |
| Precinct -000009000009 | 111 | 77 | 0 | 188 | 59.0% | 41.0% | D+18.1 |
| Precinct -000010000010 | 85 | 85 | 0 | 170 | 50.0% | 50.0% | Exact tie |
| Precinct -000021000021 | 119 | 31 | 0 | 150 | 79.3% | 20.7% | D+58.7 |
| Precinct -000032000032 | 100 | 45 | 0 | 145 | 69.0% | 31.0% | D+37.9 |
| Precinct -000004000004 | 45 | 43 | 0 | 88 | 51.1% | 48.9% | D+2.3 |
| Precinct -000035000035 | 12 | 45 | 0 | 57 | 21.1% | 78.9% | R+57.9 |
| Precinct -000006000006 | 16 | 26 | 0 | 42 | 38.1% | 61.9% | R+23.8 |
| Precinct -000031000031 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 33 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -000003000003 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 31 | 74.2% | 25.8% | D+48.4 |
| Grant County Precinct 135_350171 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 1035_3501710 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 1135_3501711 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 1235_3501712 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 1335_3501713 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 1435_3501714 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 1535_3501715 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 1635_3501716 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 1735_3501717 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 1835_3501718 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 1935_3501719 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 235_350172 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 2035_3501720 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 2135_3501721 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 2235_3501722 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 2335_3501723 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 2435_3501724 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 2535_3501725 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 2635_3501726 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 2735_3501727 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 2835_3501728 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 2935_3501729 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 335_350173 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 3035_3501730 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 3135_3501731 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 3235_3501732 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 3335_3501733 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 3435_3501734 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 3535_3501735 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 435_350174 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 535_350175 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 635_350176 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 735_350177 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 835_350178 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Grant County Precinct 935_350179 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1912 | +32.6% |
| 1916 | +10.2% |
| 1920 | −8.5% |
| 1924 | +7.4% |
| 1928 | −1.6% |
| 1932 | +40.9% |
| 1936 | +36.9% |
| 1940 | +32.0% |
| 1944 | +27.6% |
| 1948 | +27.8% |
| 1952 | +11.3% |
| 1956 | +12.2% |
| 1960 | +27.8% |
| 1964 | +43.9% |
| 1968 | +12.0% |
| 1972 | −4.0% |
| 1976 | +11.6% |
| 1980 | −0.3% |
| 1984 | +7.2% |
| 1988 | +12.8% |
| 1992 | +26.1% |
| 1996 | +17.1% |
| 2000 | +6.3% |
| 2004 | +7.2% |
| 2008 | +19.9% |
| 2012 | +13.4% |
| 2016 | +7.7% |
| 2020 | +7.2% |
| 2024 | +5.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 55.6%7,766 | 44.4%6,200 | 13,966 |
| 2020 | D | 55.7%7,897 | 44.3%6,282 | 14,179 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+16.4
Presidential vote · 2024D+5.1
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 11 points more Democratic.
21,483 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−85 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,197 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,847 in average income, against $56,060 for residents who stayed — 13% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+6.7 on average — 1.7 points more Democratic-leaning than Grant County, NM itself (D+5.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Doña Ana County, NM49D+9.8
- Pima County, AZ41D+15.2
- Maricopa County, AZ32R+3.5
- Bernalillo County, NM24D+21.0
- Luna County, NM20R+18.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Doña Ana County, NM95
- Pima County, AZ47
- Bernalillo County, NM37
- Maricopa County, AZ34
- Luna County, NM22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −99 |
| 2012 | −63 |
| 2013 | −128 |
| 2014 | −239 |
| 2015 | −474 |
| 2016 | −243 |
| 2017 | −307 |
| 2018 | −293 |
| 2019 | −221 |
| 2021 | −128 |
| 2022 | −14 |
| 2023 | −57 |
| 2024 | +154 |
| 2025 | −85 |
Grant County's economy has long orbited the copper industry around Silver City, producing a blue-collar demographic mix that keeps presidential margins closer than in most of the state's rural south — the 2024 result landed at D+5.1.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 8.5 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.1 points.
A population of 27,775, a 48% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $44,958 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Colfax County and Presidio County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Colfax County
New Mexico
92.3twin score
% Latino2008 margin% Catholic≠ Mexican ancestry
Presidio County
Texas
90.5twin score
2004–2024 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Taos County
New Mexico
90.1twin score
% Latino% Whitemedian age≠ 2004 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Grant County, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/35017/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Grant County
New Mexico at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Grant County, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, Grant County, New Mexico voted Democratic by 5.1 points (D+5.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 14,224 votes cast, 7,301 went Democratic and 6,580 went Republican.
When did Grant County, New Mexico last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Grant County, New Mexico voted Republican was 1980.
How many people live in Grant County, New Mexico?
Grant County, New Mexico has a population of 27,775 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Grant County, New Mexico?
Median household income in Grant County, New Mexico is $44,958 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Grant County, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Grant County, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.