- Lead
- 7,899
- Total
- 16,636
- vs nation
- D+49.0
- Turnout
- 59.6%
Taos County, NM
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.6% of 28,052 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 9,406
- Total
- 17,181
- vs nation
- D+50.3
- Turnout
- 65.7%
- Lead
- 7,941
- Total
- 15,260
- vs nation
- D+49.9
- Turnout
- 60.1%
- Lead
- 9,248
- Total
- 15,339
- vs nation
- D+56.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 10,950
- Total
- 16,886
- vs nation
- D+57.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,321
- Total
- 14,835
- vs nation
- D+51.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,295
- Total
- 10,895
- vs nation
- D+38.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,509
- Total
- 10,053
- vs nation
- D+36.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+47.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 34,5432024 5-year
- Median household income
- $58,9502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 40.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 50.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+64.8 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+29.9 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Santa Fe County, NM · twin score 97.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 59.6%16,713 participants ÷ 28,052 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- +1.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 42.4%–49.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 15,370 | 25,587 | 60.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 14,506 | 25,865 | 56.1% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 17,261 | 26,258 | 65.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 13,348 | 27,476 | 48.6% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 16,713 | 28,052 | 59.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
83 precincts · 16,352 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -000037000037 | 616 | 178 | 9 | 803 | 76.7% | 22.2% | D+54.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -000009000009 | 601 | 138 | 0 | 739 | 81.3% | 18.7% | D+62.7 |
| Precinct -000017000017 | 450 | 170 | 9 | 629 | 71.5% | 27.0% | D+44.5 |
| Precinct -000012000012 | 507 | 111 | 0 | 618 | 82.0% | 18.0% | D+64.1 |
| Precinct -000015000015 | 483 | 72 | 12 | 567 | 85.2% | 12.7% | D+72.5 |
| Precinct -000044000044 | 436 | 112 | 7 | 555 | 78.6% | 20.2% | D+58.4 |
| Precinct -000016000016 | 425 | 105 | 0 | 530 | 80.2% | 19.8% | D+60.4 |
| Precinct -000047000047 | 376 | 130 | 24 | 530 | 70.9% | 24.5% | D+46.4 |
| Precinct -000041000041 | 379 | 143 | 0 | 522 | 72.6% | 27.4% | D+45.2 |
| Precinct -000039000039 | 365 | 155 | 0 | 520 | 70.2% | 29.8% | D+40.4 |
| Precinct -000018000018 | 386 | 124 | 6 | 516 | 74.8% | 24.0% | D+50.8 |
| Precinct -000034000034 | 378 | 135 | 0 | 513 | 73.7% | 26.3% | D+47.4 |
| Precinct -000020000020 | 372 | 135 | 0 | 507 | 73.4% | 26.6% | D+46.7 |
| Precinct -000042000042 | 396 | 105 | 6 | 507 | 78.1% | 20.7% | D+57.4 |
| Precinct -000006000006 | 260 | 192 | 16 | 468 | 55.6% | 41.0% | D+14.5 |
| Precinct -000019000019 | 343 | 123 | 0 | 466 | 73.6% | 26.4% | D+47.2 |
| Precinct -000013000013 | 404 | 54 | 7 | 465 | 86.9% | 11.6% | D+75.3 |
| Precinct -000038000038 | 376 | 78 | 0 | 454 | 82.8% | 17.2% | D+65.6 |
| Precinct -000040000040 | 346 | 92 | 6 | 444 | 77.9% | 20.7% | D+57.2 |
| Precinct -000014000014 | 302 | 105 | 6 | 413 | 73.1% | 25.4% | D+47.7 |
| Precinct -000001000001 | 268 | 105 | 26 | 399 | 67.2% | 26.3% | D+40.9 |
| Precinct -000004000004 | 251 | 132 | 10 | 393 | 63.9% | 33.6% | D+30.3 |
| Precinct -000043000043 | 298 | 84 | 6 | 388 | 76.8% | 21.6% | D+55.2 |
| Precinct -000045000045 | 290 | 84 | 0 | 374 | 77.5% | 22.5% | D+55.1 |
| Precinct -000035000035 | 273 | 77 | 0 | 350 | 78.0% | 22.0% | D+56.0 |
| Precinct -000011000011 | 266 | 67 | 15 | 348 | 76.4% | 19.3% | D+57.2 |
| Precinct -000007000007 | 110 | 236 | 0 | 346 | 31.8% | 68.2% | R+36.4 |
| Precinct -000010000010 | 275 | 55 | 0 | 330 | 83.3% | 16.7% | D+66.7 |
| Precinct -000005000005 | 213 | 116 | 0 | 329 | 64.7% | 35.3% | D+29.5 |
| Precinct -000021000021 | 234 | 81 | 8 | 323 | 72.4% | 25.1% | D+47.4 |
| Precinct -000028000028 | 155 | 90 | 0 | 245 | 63.3% | 36.7% | D+26.5 |
| Precinct -000008000008 | 195 | 38 | 0 | 233 | 83.7% | 16.3% | D+67.4 |
| Precinct -000027000027 | 131 | 87 | 6 | 224 | 58.5% | 38.8% | D+19.6 |
| Precinct -000024000024 | 76 | 65 | 0 | 141 | 53.9% | 46.1% | D+7.8 |
| Precinct -000032000032 | 105 | 33 | 0 | 138 | 76.1% | 23.9% | D+52.2 |
| Precinct -000002000002 | 92 | 42 | 0 | 134 | 68.7% | 31.3% | D+37.3 |
| Precinct -000025000025 | 64 | 61 | 0 | 125 | 51.2% | 48.8% | D+2.4 |
| Precinct -000029000029 | 80 | 40 | 0 | 120 | 66.7% | 33.3% | D+33.3 |
| Precinct -000033000033 | 82 | 23 | 0 | 105 | 78.1% | 21.9% | D+56.2 |
| Precinct -000003000003 | 54 | 48 | 0 | 102 | 52.9% | 47.1% | D+5.9 |
| Precinct -000046000046 | 55 | 30 | 0 | 85 | 64.7% | 35.3% | D+29.4 |
| Precinct -000022000022 | 57 | 16 | 0 | 73 | 78.1% | 21.9% | D+56.2 |
| Precinct -000026000026 | 38 | 33 | 0 | 71 | 53.5% | 46.5% | D+7.0 |
| Precinct -000023000023 | 52 | 15 | 0 | 67 | 77.6% | 22.4% | D+55.2 |
| Precinct -000036000036 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 100.0% | 0.0% | D+100.0 |
| Precinct -000030000030 | 36 | 11 | 0 | 47 | 76.6% | 23.4% | D+53.2 |
| Precinct -000031000031 | 28 | 9 | 0 | 37 | 75.7% | 24.3% | D+51.4 |
| Taos County Precinct 135_350551 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 1035_3505510 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 1135_3505511 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 1235_3505512 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 1335_3505513 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 1435_3505514 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 1535_3505515 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 1635_3505516 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 1735_3505517 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 1835_3505518 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 1935_3505519 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 235_350552 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 2035_3505520 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 2135_3505521 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 2235_3505522 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 2335_3505523 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 2435_3505524 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 2535_3505525 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 2635_3505526 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 2735_3505527 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 2835_3505528 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 2935_3505529 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 335_350553 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 3035_3505530 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 3135_3505531 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 3235_3505532 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 3335_3505533 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 3435_3505534 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 3535_3505535 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 3635_3505536 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 435_350554 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 535_350555 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 635_350556 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 735_350557 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 835_350558 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Taos County Precinct 935_350559 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1912 | −4.7% |
| 1916 | −18.0% |
| 1920 | −29.9% |
| 1924 | −19.4% |
| 1928 | −14.0% |
| 1932 | +15.0% |
| 1936 | +2.2% |
| 1940 | +1.8% |
| 1944 | −0.6% |
| 1948 | +2.1% |
| 1952 | +2.0% |
| 1956 | −6.1% |
| 1960 | +16.2% |
| 1964 | +35.2% |
| 1968 | −2.0% |
| 1972 | −2.0% |
| 1976 | +18.7% |
| 1980 | +8.9% |
| 1984 | +10.5% |
| 1988 | +36.4% |
| 1992 | +44.9% |
| 1996 | +44.9% |
| 2000 | +39.4% |
| 2004 | +49.3% |
| 2008 | +64.8% |
| 2012 | +60.3% |
| 2016 | +52.0% |
| 2020 | +54.7% |
| 2024 | +47.5% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 1.1 points.
26,477 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+243 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +347 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $73,369 in average income, against $60,839 for residents who stayed — 21% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+29.3 on average — 18 points more Republican-leaning than Taos County, NM itself (D+47.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bernalillo County, NM89D+21.0
- Santa Fe County, NM62D+48.9
- Rio Arriba County, NM34D+19.4
- Dallas County, TX20D+22.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bernalillo County, NM142
- Santa Fe County, NM63
- Rio Arriba County, NM30
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −120 |
| 2012 | −212 |
| 2013 | +80 |
| 2014 | −52 |
| 2015 | −202 |
| 2016 | +164 |
| 2017 | −72 |
| 2018 | −14 |
| 2019 | +86 |
| 2021 | +439 |
| 2022 | +58 |
| 2023 | −53 |
| 2024 | +2 |
| 2025 | +243 |
Taos County combines a majority-Hispanic population with a sizable arts-community transplant base, producing presidential margins that routinely exceed 45 points — among the widest in New Mexico and the broader region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 64.8 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 29.9 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.5 points.
A population of 34,543, a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,950 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Santa Fe County and San Miguel County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Taos County, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/35055/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.