HarrisDemocratic29.9%2,144TrumpRepublican68.0%4,880OtherAll other candidates1.9%134
R+38.1- Lead
- 2,736
- Total
- 7,179
- vs nation
- R+36.6
- Turnout
- 60.0%
Akashiccounty
Torrance County, NM
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1912–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.0% of 12,031 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic32.2%2,344TrumpRepublican65.5%4,772JorgensenLibertarian1.4%105
R+33.3- Lead
- 2,428
- Total
- 7,281
- vs nation
- R+37.8
- Turnout
- 61.8%
ClintonDemocratic28.2%1,785TrumpRepublican58.7%3,714JohnsonLibertarian10.9%692
R+30.5- Lead
- 1,929
- Total
- 6,324
- vs nation
- R+32.6
- Turnout
- 55.2%
ObamaDemocratic37.9%2,428RomneyRepublican55.1%3,529GRAYLibertarian6.0%382
R+17.2- Lead
- 1,101
- Total
- 6,402
- vs nation
- R+21.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic44.5%3,087McCainRepublican53.8%3,735OtherAll other candidates1.7%119
R+9.3- Lead
- 648
- Total
- 6,941
- vs nation
- R+16.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic36.7%2,386BushRepublican61.9%4,026OtherAll other candidates1.5%95
R+25.2- Lead
- 1,640
- Total
- 6,507
- vs nation
- R+22.7
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic37.7%1,868BushRepublican58.3%2,891NaderGreen3.3%163
R+20.6- Lead
- 1,023
- Total
- 4,960
- vs nation
- R+21.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic44.5%2,072DoleRepublican46.3%2,154PerotReform7.1%332
R+1.8- Lead
- 82
- Total
- 4,655
- vs nation
- R+10.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+38.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 15,4902024 5-year
- Population density
- 4.6 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 3,345 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $57,8422024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 48.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 43.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+11.9 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+38.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Hudspeth County, TX · twin score 84.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.0%7,222 participants ÷ 12,031 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 46.1%–48.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 6,399 | 11,584 | 55.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 5,382 | 11,810 | 45.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 7,332 | 11,871 | 61.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 5,576 | 11,656 | 47.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 7,222 | 12,031 | 60.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Torrance County, NM · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
55.5%
2,346 votes · D+11.9
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 54.9%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
68.0%
4,880 votes · R+38.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 65.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
3,087votes
44.5% of the vote · R+9.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 2,428 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
4,880votes
68.0% of the vote · R+38.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 4,772 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+13.0pts D vs U.S.
Place R+12.2 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +4.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+37.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+33.3 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +36.6 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 32.5%2,280 | 67.5%4,741 | 7,021 |
| 2020 | R | 32.4%2,323 | 67.6%4,854 | 7,177 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+23.7
Presidential vote · 2024R+38.1
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 14 points more Republican than the rolls.
11,096 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+228 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −38 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,823 in average income, against $50,650 for residents who stayed. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+23.6 on average — 62 points more Democratic-leaning than Torrance County, NM itself (R+38.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bernalillo County, NM224D+21.0
- Santa Fe County, NM77D+48.9
- Sandoval County, NM25D+5.8
- Valencia County, NM23R+16.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bernalillo County, NM154
- Santa Fe County, NM65
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −42 |
| 2012 | −364 |
| 2013 | −423 |
| 2014 | −166 |
| 2015 | −119 |
| 2016 | −130 |
| 2017 | +14 |
| 2018 | −66 |
| 2019 | −76 |
| 2021 | +315 |
| 2022 | +161 |
| 2023 | +327 |
| 2024 | +303 |
| 2025 | +228 |
Torrance County stretches across the Estancia Valley east of the Manzano Mountains, with a small, rural population that has shifted sharply toward Republican presidential candidates over the past two decades, delivering some of New Mexico's widest margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 11.9 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 38.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 38.1 points.
A population of 15,490, a 48% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,842 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hudspeth County and San Patricio County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Hudspeth County
Texas
84.3twin score
% Catholic% Evangelical% White≠ elasticity
San Patricio County
Texas
83.7twin score
% Catholic% Latino% White≠ median age
Luna County
New Mexico
83.1twin score
% Catholicelasticity% White≠ % Latino
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Torrance County, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/35057/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Torrance County, New Mexico vote in 2024?
In 2024, Torrance County, New Mexico voted Republican by 38.1 points (R+38.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,179 votes cast, 2,144 went Democratic and 4,880 went Republican.
When did Torrance County, New Mexico last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Torrance County, New Mexico voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Torrance County, New Mexico?
Torrance County, New Mexico has a population of 15,490 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Torrance County, New Mexico?
Median household income in Torrance County, New Mexico is $57,842 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Torrance County, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Torrance County, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.