- Lead
- 2,396
- Total
- 31,301
- vs nation
- R+6.2
New Mexico 19th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 2,459
- Total
- 31,104
- vs nation
- R+12.4
- Lead
- 3,393
- Total
- 27,051
- vs nation
- R+14.6
- Lead
- 3,800
- Total
- 26,819
- vs nation
- R+18.0
- Lead
- 2,868
- Total
- 27,870
- vs nation
- R+17.6
- Lead
- 7,048
- Total
- 26,876
- vs nation
- R+23.8
- Lead
- 5,675
- Total
- 21,185
- vs nation
- R+27.3
- Lead
- 3,825
- Total
- 18,768
- vs nation
- R+28.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+7.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 50,2892024 5-year
- Population density
- 44 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,151 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $92,2902024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 65.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 26.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.3 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 21, NM · twin score 76.4
presidential history
Party record book
New Mexico 19th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
45.0%
2,166 votes · R+9.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 44.9%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
76.7%
6,483 votes · R+53.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 74.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
14,065votes
44.9% of the vote · R+7.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 13,901 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
16,785votes
62.5% of the vote · R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 16,461 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−6.2pts D vs U.S.
Place R+7.7 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −12.4 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1912
+49.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+29.5 · U.S. D+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +44.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 60.0%14,006 | 40.0%9,345 | 23,351 |
| 2020 | D | 58.6%13,947 | 41.4%9,857 | 23,804 |
With a 2024 presidential margin under one point, this district sits at the competitive center of New Mexico's legislative map, making it a bellwether for statewide swing patterns in both rural and small-city precincts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 53.3 points in 1956. The 2024 margin was 7.7 points.
A population of 50,289, a 65% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $92,290 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 21 and State Senate District 46.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Mexico 19th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/35019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.