Akashic

county

Union County, NM

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1912–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1912 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German15.4%8.7%12.5%

English12.6%8.5%9.5%

Irish10.9%6.9%9.4%

American3.8%3.9%5.3%

Italian3.0%2.4%4.8%

Scottish2.1%1.7%1.3%

Scotch-Irish2.0%——

French1.8%1.4%1.6%

Mexican22.2%32.4%11.3%

Spanish9.8%4.2%—

Spaniard3.1%3.6%—

Dominican0.2%0.2%0.7%

Navajo1.0%5.8%—

Hopi0.2%——

African American†0.8%1.3%9.9%

Haitian0.2%—0.3%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Union County	New Mexico	United States
Median age	42.6	39.7	39.1
Age 18–24	5.3%	9.4%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	22.8%	19.2%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Union County	New Mexico	United States
Median household income	$46,694	$64,059	$84,427
Poverty rate	16.6%	17.9%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	18.4%	30.6%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Union County	New Mexico	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	22.3%	31.4%	22.3%
Spanish	20.3%	24.5%	13.6%
Other languages	1.1%	4.5%	0.8%

Religious landscape

Measure	Union County	New Mexico	United States
Catholic	48.0%	29.9%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	11.1%	12.9%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	29.9%	47.5%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	9.6%	2.3%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 54.7% of 3,062 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic22.7%378TrumpRepublican74.9%1,247OtherAll other candidates1.4%24

R+52.2

Lead: 869
Total: 1,665
vs nation: R+50.7
Turnout: 54.7%

BidenDemocratic21.4%383TrumpRepublican77.6%1,388JorgensenLibertarian0.6%11

R+56.2

Lead: 1,005
Total: 1,789
vs nation: R+60.6
Turnout: 56.3%

ClintonDemocratic18.8%320TrumpRepublican71.4%1,216JohnsonLibertarian7.9%134

R+52.6

Lead: 896
Total: 1,702
vs nation: R+54.7
Turnout: 52.4%

ObamaDemocratic26.8%472RomneyRepublican70.3%1,236GRAYLibertarian2.0%36

R+43.4

Lead: 764
Total: 1,759
vs nation: R+47.3
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic28.2%492McCainRepublican70.4%1,227OtherAll other candidates1.3%23

R+42.2

Lead: 735
Total: 1,742
vs nation: R+49.5
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic21.9%411BushRepublican77.3%1,454OtherAll other candidates0.9%16

R+55.4

Lead: 1,043
Total: 1,881
vs nation: R+53.0
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic25.8%452BushRepublican72.3%1,269NaderGreen1.1%19

R+46.6

Lead: 817
Total: 1,755
vs nation: R+47.1
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic31.5%519DoleRepublican60.3%995PerotReform7.6%125

R+28.8

Lead: 476
Total: 1,650
vs nation: R+37.4
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+52.2MIT Election Lab
Population: 4,0132024 5-year
Median household income: $46,6942024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 53.3%2024 5-year
Black: 1.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 40.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+44.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+56.2 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Colorado County, TX · twin score 89.7

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 54.7%1,674 participants ÷ 3,062 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +7.8 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -7.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 46.9%–48.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	1,718	3,277	52.4%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	1,497	3,172	47.2%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	1,799	3,193	56.3%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	1,517	3,124	48.6%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	1,674	3,062	54.7%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

12 precincts · 1,641 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Union County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -000004000004	113	368	0	481	23.5%	76.5%	R+53.0
Precinct -000006000006	118	304	8	430	27.4%	70.7%	R+43.3
Precinct -000007000007	77	211	8	296	26.0%	71.3%	R+45.3
Precinct -000001000001	52	221	0	273	19.0%	81.0%	R+61.9
Precinct -000008000008	12	78	0	90	13.3%	86.7%	R+73.3
Precinct -000009000009	6	65	0	71	8.5%	91.5%	R+83.1
Union County Precinct 135_350591	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Union County Precinct 435_350594	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Union County Precinct 635_350596	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Union County Precinct 735_350597	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Union County Precinct 835_350598	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Union County Precinct 935_350599	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1912–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1912	+11.6%
1916	+13.4%
1920	−12.2%
1924	+8.5%
1928	−22.8%
1932	+44.7%
1936	+23.0%
1940	+2.2%
1944	−8.6%
1948	+12.1%
1952	−27.0%
1956	−21.7%
1960	−22.4%
1964	−3.0%
1968	−24.5%
1972	−49.2%
1976	−8.0%
1980	−34.3%
1984	−50.3%
1988	−33.3%
1992	−24.6%
1996	−28.8%
2000	−46.6%
2004	−55.4%
2008	−42.2%
2012	−43.4%
2016	−52.6%
2020	−56.2%
2024	−52.2%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	22.7%Harris378	74.9%Trump1,247	1.0%Kennedy16 +1	R+52.2	D+4.0	R+50.7	1,665
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican74.9%1,247 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic22.7%378 OtherAll other candidates1.4%24 Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent1.0%16
2020	R	21.4%Biden383	77.6%Trump1,388	0.6%Jorgensen11	R+56.2	R+3.5	R+60.6	1,789
2016	R	18.8%Clinton320	71.4%Trump1,216	7.9%Johnson134	R+52.6	R+9.2	R+54.7	1,702
2012	R	26.8%Obama472	70.3%Romney1,236	2.0%GRAY36	R+43.4	R+1.2	R+47.3	1,759
2008	R	28.2%Obama492	70.4%McCain1,227	1.3%	R+42.2	D+13.3	R+49.5	1,742
2004	R	21.9%Kerry411	77.3%Bush1,454	0.9%	R+55.4	R+8.9	R+53.0	1,881
2000	R	25.8%Gore452	72.3%Bush1,269	1.1%Nader19	R+46.6	R+17.7	R+47.1	1,755
1996	R	31.5%Clinton519	60.3%Dole995	7.6%Perot125	R+28.8	R+4.3	R+37.4	1,650
1992	R	28.0%Clinton519	52.6%Bush975	19.1%Perot355	R+24.6	D+8.7	R+30.2	1,854
1988	R	32.6%Dukakis638	65.9%Bush1,291	1.6%	R+33.3	D+17.0	R+25.6	1,960
1984	R	24.2%Mondale488	74.4%Reagan1,503	1.4%	R+50.3	R+16.0	R+32.1	2,019
1980	R	31.6%Carter675	65.9%Reagan1,407	2.5%	R+34.3	R+26.3	R+24.5	2,136
1976	R	45.3%Carter975	53.3%Ford1,146	1.3%	R+8.0	D+41.3	R+10.0	2,150
1972	R	23.3%McGovern496	72.5%Nixon1,545	4.2%	R+49.2	R+24.7	R+26.1	2,131
1968	R	30.9%Humphrey678	55.4%Nixon1,217	13.7%	R+24.5	R+21.5	R+23.8	2,196
1964	R	48.3%Johnson1,159	51.3%Goldwater1,232	0.4%	R+3.0	D+19.4	R+25.6	2,401
1960	R	38.8%Kennedy1,068	61.2%Nixon1,686	0.1%	R+22.4	R+0.7	R+22.6	2,756
1956	R	39.1%Stevenson1,061	60.8%Eisenhower1,649	0.0%	R+21.7	D+5.3	R+6.3	2,711
1952	R	36.4%Stevenson1,142	63.4%Eisenhower1,988	0.2%	R+27.0	R+39.1	R+16.2	3,136
1948	D	55.8%Truman1,590	43.7%Dewey1,246	0.5%	D+12.1	D+20.7	D+7.6	2,849
1944	R	45.6%Roosevelt1,350	54.2%Dewey1,604	0.2%	R+8.6	R+10.8	R+16.1	2,959
1940	D	51.0%Roosevelt1,987	48.7%Willkie1,900	0.3%	D+2.2	R+20.7	R+7.7	3,899
1936	D	61.0%Roosevelt2,605	38.1%Landon1,625	0.9%	D+23.0	R+21.7	R+1.3	4,267
1932	D	71.6%Roosevelt3,117	26.9%Hoover1,173	1.4%	D+44.7	D+67.5	D+26.9	4,353
1928	R	38.4%Smith1,306	61.2%Hoover2,081	0.4%	R+22.8	R+31.3	R+5.3	3,400
1924	D	46.3%Davis1,735	37.8%Coolidge1,415	15.9%La Follette596	D+8.5	D+20.7	D+33.7	3,746
1920	R	42.2%Cox2,273	54.4%Harding2,930	3.4%	R+12.2	R+25.6	D+14.0	5,388
1916	D	53.2%Wilson1,996	39.9%Hughes1,495	6.9%	D+13.4	D+1.7	D+10.2	3,749
1912	D	42.9%Wilson1,119	31.2%Taft815	25.9%	D+11.6	—	R+7.9	2,611
1908	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1904	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1900	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1896	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1892	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	29.2%464	70.8%1,125	1,589
2020	R	22.9%399	77.1%1,344	1,743

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	24.4%397	75.6%1,231	1,628
2020Class II	R	22.5%Ben Ray Lujan399	74.6%Mark Ronchetti1,323	1,773
2018Class I	R	22.8%Martin Heinrich334	60.0%Mike Rich878	1,464
2014Class II	R	36.6%Tom Udall505	63.4%Allen Weh874	1,379
2012Class I	R	26.0%Martin Heinrich442	70.2%Heather Wilson1,193	1,700
2008Class II	R	48.3%Tom Udall833	51.7%Steve Pearce890	1,723
2006Class I	D	59.7%Jeff Bingaman848	40.3%Allen McCulloch572	1,420
2002Class II	R	15.5%Gloria Tristani244	84.5%Pete Domenici1,331	1,575
2000Class I	R	44.3%Jeff Bingaman761	55.7%Bill Redmond957	1,718
1996Class II	R	19.3%Art Trujillo317	79.7%Pete Domenici1,308	1,642
1994Class I	R	39.0%Jeff Bingaman641	61.0%Colin R. McMillan1,001	1,642
1990Class II	R	22.7%Tom Benavides369	77.1%Pete Domenici1,253	1,625
1988Class I	D	60.8%Jeff Bingaman1,092	39.2%Bill Valentine703	1,795
1984Class II	R	15.7%Judith A. Pratt305	84.3%Pete Domenici1,639	1,944
1982Class I	R	43.1%Jeff Bingaman821	56.9%Jack Schmitt1,086	1,907
1978Class II	R	28.6%Toney Anaya474	71.4%Pete Domenici1,182	1,656
1976Class I	R	36.3%Joseph Montoya757	63.3%Jack Schmitt1,322	2,088
1972Class II	R	46.2%Jack Daniels940	53.8%Pete Domenici1,094	2,034
1970Class I	R	48.0%Joseph Montoya922	50.5%Anderson Carter971	1,921
1966Class II	D	50.8%Clinton Anderson1,031	49.2%Anderson Carter998	2,029
1964Class I	R	47.3%Joseph Montoya1,110	52.7%Edwin L. Mechem1,236	2,346
1960Class II	D	58.4%Clinton Anderson1,536	41.6%William Colwes1,096	2,632
1958Class I	D	52.1%Dennis Chavez1,237	47.9%Forrst S. Atchley1,136	2,373
1954Class II	—	0.0%Clinton Anderson0	0.0%Edwin L. Mechem0	2,665
1952Class I	R	42.8%Dennis Chavez1,362	57.2%Patrick J. Hurley1,820	3,182
1948Class II	D	57.3%Clinton Anderson1,662	42.7%Patrick J. Hurley1,239	2,901
1946Class I	—	0.0%Dennis Chavez0	0.0%Patrick J. Hurley0	2,178
1942Class II	D	54.0%Carl A. Hatch1,345	46.0%J. Benson Newell1,145	2,490
1940Class I	R	45.5%Dennis Chavez1,806	54.5%Albert K. Mitchell2,162	3,968
1936Class II	D	60.7%Carl A. Hatch2,592	39.2%Ernest W. Everly1,675	4,268
1934Class I	R	45.0%Dennis Chavez1,921	54.7%Bronson Cutting2,333	4,265
1930Class II	D	63.0%Sam G. Bratton2,023	36.6%Herbert B. Holt1,176	3,212
1928Class I	R	47.2%Jethro S. Vaught1,572	52.8%Bronson Cutting1,762	3,334
1924Class II	D	52.8%Sam G. Bratton2,014	37.2%Holm Bursum1,420	3,817
1922Class I	D	60.3%Andrieus A. Jones2,701	38.2%S.B. Davis1,709	4,477
1918Class II	D	52.9%W.B. Walton1,371	43.8%Albert B. Fall1,136	2,591
1916Class I	D	51.4%Andrieus A. Jones1,924	41.7%Frank A. Hubbell1,561	3,741

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1936Special · Class I	D	54.4%Dennis Chavez2,323	45.6%M.A. Otero Jr.1,949	4,273
1934Special · Class II	D	57.3%Carl A. Hatch2,428	42.3%Richard C. Dillon1,792	4,237
1921Special · Class II	D	51.9%Richard H. Hanna1,240	46.2%Holm Bursum1,103	2,387

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	21.8%Michelle Lujan Grisham325	73.8%Mark V Ronchetti1,101	1,491
2018	R	28.2%Michelle Lujan Grisham And Howie C Morales415	71.8%Steve Pearce And Michelle Garcia Holmes1,059	1,474
2014	R	29.2%Gary King406	70.8%Susana Martínez984	1,390
2010	R	27.2%Diane Denish400	72.7%Susana Martinez1,071	1,473
2006	D	62.4%Bill Richardson907	37.6%John Dendahl546	1,453
2002	D	52.3%Bill Richardson831	46.0%John Sanchez731	1,590
1998	R	35.2%Martin Chávez586	64.8%Gary Johnson1,077	1,663
1994	R	40.9%Bruce King678	54.5%Gary Johnson903	1,658
1990	D	53.0%Bruce King906	46.8%Frank Bond800	1,708
1986	R	39.4%Ray Powell634	60.6%Garrey Carruthers974	1,608
1982	R	39.6%Toney Anaya766	60.4%John B. Irick1,167	1,933
1978	R	41.5%Bruce King704	58.5%Joe Skeen994	1,698

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026R+31.2

Presidential vote · 2024R+52.2

Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 21 points more Democratic.

2,490 registered voters · 2026

Democratic25.5%Republican56.7%Unaffiliated16.4%Other1.5%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−65 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −531 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $35,736 in average income, against $51,803 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Union County, NM in Union County, NM: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−124
2012	+12
2013	−57
2014	−95
2015	−69
2016	0
2017	+31
2018	−75
2019	−47
2021	+51
2022	−86
2023	+1
2024	−8
2025	−65

A vast, sparsely settled county on the Oklahoma and Colorado borders, Union delivers lopsided Republican margins in nearly every cycle — its 2024 presidential result of R+52 places it among the state's most one-sided counties.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 44.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 56.2 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.0 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 52.2 points.

A population of 4,013, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $46,694 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Colorado County and Schleicher County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Colorado County

Texas

89.7twin score

% Catholic2000–2012 trajectory≠ median income

Schleicher County

Texas

83.6twin score

2000–2008 trajectory% Latino≠ median income

Edwards County

Kansas

83.5twin score

2000–2020 trajectory≠ % Catholic

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Union County, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/35059/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

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Cities & towns in Union County

Clayton

R+46

2.8K residents

New Mexico at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Union County, New Mexico vote in 2024?

In 2024, Union County, New Mexico voted Republican by 52.2 points (R+52.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,665 votes cast, 378 went Democratic and 1,247 went Republican.

When did Union County, New Mexico last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Union County, New Mexico voted Democratic was 1948.

How many people live in Union County, New Mexico?

Union County, New Mexico has a population of 4,013 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Union County, New Mexico?

Median household income in Union County, New Mexico is $46,694 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.

What is the political history of Union County, New Mexico?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Union County, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.

Measure

Union County

New Mexico

United States

Median age

42.6

39.7

39.1

Age 18–24

5.3%

9.4%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

22.8%

19.2%

17.2%

Measure

Union County

New Mexico

United States

Median household income

$46,694

$64,059

$84,427

Poverty rate

16.6%

17.9%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

18.4%

30.6%

35.6%

Measure

Union County

New Mexico

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

22.3%

31.4%

22.3%

Spanish

20.3%

24.5%

13.6%

Other languages

1.1%

4.5%

0.8%

Measure

Union County

New Mexico

United States

Catholic

48.0%

29.9%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

11.1%

12.9%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

29.9%

47.5%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

9.6%

2.3%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+52.2MIT Election Lab

Population

4,0132024 5-year

Median household income

$46,6942024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

53.3%2024 5-year

Black

1.1%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

40.1%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+44.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+56.2 in 2020MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Colorado County, TX · twin score 89.7

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

1,718

3,277

52.4%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

1,497

3,172

47.2%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

1,799

3,193

56.3%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

1,517

3,124

48.6%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

1,674

3,062

54.7%

A/A

Union County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -000004000004

113

368

481

23.5%

76.5%

R+53.0

Precinct -000006000006

118

304

430

27.4%

70.7%

R+43.3

Precinct -000007000007

211

296

26.0%

71.3%

R+45.3

Precinct -000001000001

221

273

19.0%

81.0%

R+61.9

Precinct -000008000008

13.3%

86.7%

R+73.3

Precinct -000009000009

8.5%

91.5%

R+83.1

Union County Precinct 135_350591

—

No votes

Union County Precinct 435_350594

—

No votes

Union County Precinct 635_350596

—

No votes

Union County Precinct 735_350597

—

No votes

Union County Precinct 835_350598

—

No votes

Union County Precinct 935_350599

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1912–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1912	+11.6%
1916	+13.4%
1920	−12.2%
1924	+8.5%
1928	−22.8%
1932	+44.7%
1936	+23.0%
1940	+2.2%
1944	−8.6%
1948	+12.1%
1952	−27.0%
1956	−21.7%
1960	−22.4%
1964	−3.0%
1968	−24.5%
1972	−49.2%
1976	−8.0%
1980	−34.3%
1984	−50.3%
1988	−33.3%
1992	−24.6%
1996	−28.8%
2000	−46.6%
2004	−55.4%
2008	−42.2%
2012	−43.4%
2016	−52.6%
2020	−56.2%
2024	−52.2%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

22.7%Harris378

74.9%Trump1,247

1.0%Kennedy16 +1

R+52.2

D+4.0

R+50.7

1,665

All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican74.9%1,247
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic22.7%378
OtherAll other candidates1.4%24
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent1.0%16

2020

21.4%Biden383

77.6%Trump1,388

0.6%Jorgensen11

R+56.2

R+3.5

R+60.6

1,789

2016

18.8%Clinton320

71.4%Trump1,216

7.9%Johnson134

R+52.6

R+9.2

R+54.7

1,702

2012

26.8%Obama472

70.3%Romney1,236

2.0%GRAY36

R+43.4

R+1.2

R+47.3

1,759

2008

28.2%Obama492

70.4%McCain1,227

1.3%

R+42.2

D+13.3

R+49.5

1,742

2004

21.9%Kerry411

77.3%Bush1,454

0.9%

R+55.4

R+8.9

R+53.0

1,881

2000

25.8%Gore452

72.3%Bush1,269

1.1%Nader19

R+46.6

R+17.7

R+47.1

1,755

1996

31.5%Clinton519

60.3%Dole995

7.6%Perot125

R+28.8

R+4.3

R+37.4

1,650

1992

28.0%Clinton519

52.6%Bush975

19.1%Perot355

R+24.6

D+8.7

R+30.2

1,854

1988

32.6%Dukakis638

65.9%Bush1,291

1.6%

R+33.3

D+17.0

R+25.6

1,960

1984

24.2%Mondale488

74.4%Reagan1,503

1.4%

R+50.3

R+16.0

R+32.1

2,019

1980

31.6%Carter675

65.9%Reagan1,407

2.5%

R+34.3

R+26.3

R+24.5

2,136

1976

45.3%Carter975

53.3%Ford1,146

1.3%

R+8.0

D+41.3

R+10.0

2,150

1972

23.3%McGovern496

72.5%Nixon1,545

4.2%

R+49.2

R+24.7

R+26.1

2,131

1968

30.9%Humphrey678

55.4%Nixon1,217

13.7%

R+24.5

R+21.5

R+23.8

2,196

1964

48.3%Johnson1,159

51.3%Goldwater1,232

0.4%

R+3.0

D+19.4

R+25.6

2,401

1960

38.8%Kennedy1,068

61.2%Nixon1,686

0.1%

R+22.4

R+0.7

R+22.6

2,756

1956

39.1%Stevenson1,061

60.8%Eisenhower1,649

0.0%

R+21.7

D+5.3

R+6.3

2,711

1952

36.4%Stevenson1,142

63.4%Eisenhower1,988

0.2%

R+27.0

R+39.1

R+16.2

3,136

1948

55.8%Truman1,590

43.7%Dewey1,246

0.5%

D+12.1

D+20.7

D+7.6

2,849

1944

45.6%Roosevelt1,350

54.2%Dewey1,604

0.2%

R+8.6

R+10.8

R+16.1

2,959

1940

51.0%Roosevelt1,987

48.7%Willkie1,900

0.3%

D+2.2

R+20.7

R+7.7

3,899

1936

61.0%Roosevelt2,605

38.1%Landon1,625

0.9%

D+23.0

R+21.7

R+1.3

4,267

1932

71.6%Roosevelt3,117

26.9%Hoover1,173

1.4%

D+44.7

D+67.5

D+26.9

4,353

1928

38.4%Smith1,306

61.2%Hoover2,081

0.4%

R+22.8

R+31.3

R+5.3

3,400

1924

46.3%Davis1,735

37.8%Coolidge1,415

15.9%La Follette596

D+8.5

D+20.7

D+33.7

3,746

1920

42.2%Cox2,273

54.4%Harding2,930

3.4%

R+12.2

R+25.6

D+14.0

5,388

1916

53.2%Wilson1,996

39.9%Hughes1,495

6.9%

D+13.4

D+1.7

D+10.2

3,749

1912

42.9%Wilson1,119

31.2%Taft815

25.9%

D+11.6

—

R+7.9

2,611

1908

—

No data

—

1904

—

No data

—

1900

—

No data

—

1896

—

No data

—

1892

—

No data

—

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

29.2%464

70.8%1,125

1,589

2020

22.9%399

77.1%1,344

1,743

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

24.4%397

75.6%1,231

1,628

2020Class II

22.5%Ben Ray Lujan399

74.6%Mark Ronchetti1,323

1,773

2018Class I

22.8%Martin Heinrich334

60.0%Mike Rich878

1,464

2014Class II

36.6%Tom Udall505

63.4%Allen Weh874

1,379

2012Class I

26.0%Martin Heinrich442

70.2%Heather Wilson1,193

1,700

2008Class II

48.3%Tom Udall833

51.7%Steve Pearce890

1,723

2006Class I

59.7%Jeff Bingaman848

40.3%Allen McCulloch572

1,420

2002Class II

15.5%Gloria Tristani244

84.5%Pete Domenici1,331

1,575

2000Class I

44.3%Jeff Bingaman761

55.7%Bill Redmond957

1,718

1996Class II

19.3%Art Trujillo317

79.7%Pete Domenici1,308

1,642

1994Class I

39.0%Jeff Bingaman641

61.0%Colin R. McMillan1,001

1,642

1990Class II

22.7%Tom Benavides369

77.1%Pete Domenici1,253

1,625

1988Class I

60.8%Jeff Bingaman1,092

39.2%Bill Valentine703

1,795

1984Class II

15.7%Judith A. Pratt305

84.3%Pete Domenici1,639

1,944

1982Class I

43.1%Jeff Bingaman821

56.9%Jack Schmitt1,086

1,907

1978Class II

28.6%Toney Anaya474

71.4%Pete Domenici1,182

1,656

1976Class I

36.3%Joseph Montoya757

63.3%Jack Schmitt1,322

2,088

1972Class II

46.2%Jack Daniels940

53.8%Pete Domenici1,094

2,034

1970Class I

48.0%Joseph Montoya922

50.5%Anderson Carter971

1,921

1966Class II

50.8%Clinton Anderson1,031

49.2%Anderson Carter998

2,029

1964Class I

47.3%Joseph Montoya1,110

52.7%Edwin L. Mechem1,236

2,346

1960Class II

58.4%Clinton Anderson1,536

41.6%William Colwes1,096

2,632

1958Class I

52.1%Dennis Chavez1,237

47.9%Forrst S. Atchley1,136

2,373

1954Class II

—

0.0%Clinton Anderson0

0.0%Edwin L. Mechem0

2,665

1952Class I

42.8%Dennis Chavez1,362

57.2%Patrick J. Hurley1,820

3,182

1948Class II

57.3%Clinton Anderson1,662

42.7%Patrick J. Hurley1,239

2,901

1946Class I

—

0.0%Dennis Chavez0

0.0%Patrick J. Hurley0

2,178

1942Class II

54.0%Carl A. Hatch1,345

46.0%J. Benson Newell1,145

2,490

1940Class I

45.5%Dennis Chavez1,806

54.5%Albert K. Mitchell2,162

3,968

1936Class II

60.7%Carl A. Hatch2,592

39.2%Ernest W. Everly1,675

4,268

1934Class I

45.0%Dennis Chavez1,921

54.7%Bronson Cutting2,333

4,265

1930Class II

63.0%Sam G. Bratton2,023

36.6%Herbert B. Holt1,176

3,212

1928Class I

47.2%Jethro S. Vaught1,572

52.8%Bronson Cutting1,762

3,334

1924Class II

52.8%Sam G. Bratton2,014

37.2%Holm Bursum1,420

3,817

1922Class I

60.3%Andrieus A. Jones2,701

38.2%S.B. Davis1,709

4,477

1918Class II

52.9%W.B. Walton1,371

43.8%Albert B. Fall1,136

2,591

1916Class I

51.4%Andrieus A. Jones1,924

41.7%Frank A. Hubbell1,561

3,741

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1936Special · Class I

54.4%Dennis Chavez2,323

45.6%M.A. Otero Jr.1,949

4,273

1934Special · Class II

57.3%Carl A. Hatch2,428

42.3%Richard C. Dillon1,792

4,237

1921Special · Class II

51.9%Richard H. Hanna1,240

46.2%Holm Bursum1,103

2,387

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

21.8%Michelle Lujan Grisham325

73.8%Mark V Ronchetti1,101

1,491

2018

28.2%Michelle Lujan Grisham And Howie C Morales415

71.8%Steve Pearce And Michelle Garcia Holmes1,059

1,474

2014

29.2%Gary King406

70.8%Susana Martínez984

1,390

2010

27.2%Diane Denish400

72.7%Susana Martinez1,071

1,473

2006

62.4%Bill Richardson907

37.6%John Dendahl546

1,453

2002

52.3%Bill Richardson831

46.0%John Sanchez731

1,590

1998

35.2%Martin Chávez586

64.8%Gary Johnson1,077

1,663

1994

40.9%Bruce King678

54.5%Gary Johnson903

1,658

1990

53.0%Bruce King906

46.8%Frank Bond800

1,708

1986

39.4%Ray Powell634

60.6%Garrey Carruthers974

1,608

1982

39.6%Toney Anaya766

60.4%John B. Irick1,167

1,933

1978

41.5%Bruce King704

58.5%Joe Skeen994

1,698

Frequently asked questions

How did Union County, New Mexico vote in 2024?

In 2024, Union County, New Mexico voted Republican by 52.2 points (R+52.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,665 votes cast, 378 went Democratic and 1,247 went Republican.

When did Union County, New Mexico last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Union County, New Mexico voted Democratic was 1948.

How many people live in Union County, New Mexico?

Union County, New Mexico has a population of 4,013 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Union County, New Mexico?

Median household income in Union County, New Mexico is $46,694 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.

What is the political history of Union County, New Mexico?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Union County, New Mexico from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.