akashic
1876–2024
San Miguel County, New Mexico
San Miguel County·New Mexico

San Miguel County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

One of New Mexico's most reliably Democratic rural counties

18762024·38 elections
San Miguel County, New Mexico · AllenS · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
D+28
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
26,850
2024 ACS
Most similar
Fairfield County
SC · similarity 1.00
34 precincts · 11,108 votes cast
Harris · D+28
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
+27.9%
6,9853,88711,108
2020D
+38.7%
7,8883,42111,531
2016D
+46.2%
7,2852,31310,751
2012D
+56.9%
8,8502,30311,509
2008D
+60.6%
10,3202,47812,941
2004D
+44.3%
8,6833,31312,116
2000D
+47.2%
6,5402,2159,161
1996D
+52.4%
6,9951,9389,647
1992D
+42.6%
6,1862,1839,387
1988D
+37.3%
6,1312,7639,023
1984D
+19.7%
5,2273,4858,850
1980D
+14.6%
4,5143,2928,369
1976D
+24.0%
5,2043,1628,507
1972D
+2.5%
4,6634,4349,293
1968D
+0.7%
4,0884,0278,368
1964D
+35.9%
5,7672,7148,505
1960D
+16.1%
5,5203,9889,514
1956R
−11.7%
4,0145,0839,100
1952R
−9.3%
4,4515,3609,818
1948D
+3.1%
4,9534,6559,629
1944D
+7.7%
4,6844,0148,702
1940D
+10.7%
6,0544,88210,943
1936D
+13.8%
6,1994,69710,906
1932R
−2.8%
5,0765,36410,460
1928R
−18.6%
3,5605,1848,748
1924R
−4.6%
3,5433,8947,702
1920R
−16.2%
3,9905,5359,525
1916R
−13.5%
2,2312,9325,201
1912R
−16.6%
1,7402,4794,453
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900
No data
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
1.4%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
74.5%
Other Christian
4.4%
Baptist
1.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.9%
Mainline Protestant
0.9%
Methodist
0.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 18.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

San Miguel County, anchored by Las Vegas, N.M., combines a majority-Hispanic electorate with deep rural roots to produce presidential margins consistently exceeding D+25, making it an outlier among similarly sized rural counties nationwide.

The Democratic margin in San Miguel County peaked at sixty-one points in 2008. By 1960 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was twenty-eight points, the most Democratic-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. San Miguel County's median household income of $49,431 sits well below state and national norms, and 24% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fairfield County and Hancock County.