- Lead
- 429
- Total
- 2,487
- vs nation
- D+18.7
- Turnout
- 73.8%
Mora County, NM
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 73.8% of 3,408 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 842
- Total
- 2,686
- vs nation
- D+26.9
- Turnout
- 69.8%
- Lead
- 871
- Total
- 2,441
- vs nation
- D+33.6
- Turnout
- 67.3%
- Lead
- 1,360
- Total
- 2,611
- vs nation
- D+48.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,599
- Total
- 2,760
- vs nation
- D+50.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 948
- Total
- 2,826
- vs nation
- D+36.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 788
- Total
- 2,191
- vs nation
- D+35.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,085
- Total
- 2,394
- vs nation
- D+36.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+17.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,1492024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,6632024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 24.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 73.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+57.9 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+16.9 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- San Miguel County, NM · twin score 96.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 73.8%2,515 participants ÷ 3,408 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- -0.9 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
- Drop-off versus state
- -16.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 72.7%–74.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,474 | 3,678 | 67.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,376 | 3,700 | 64.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 2,715 | 3,888 | 69.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,494 | 3,527 | 70.7% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 2,515 | 3,408 | 73.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
22 precincts · 2,449 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -000001000001 | 266 | 186 | 0 | 452 | 58.8% | 41.2% | D+17.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -000002000002 | 262 | 152 | 0 | 414 | 63.3% | 36.7% | D+26.6 |
| Precinct -000003000003 | 129 | 132 | 0 | 261 | 49.4% | 50.6% | R+1.1 |
| Precinct -000008000008 | 140 | 101 | 0 | 241 | 58.1% | 41.9% | D+16.2 |
| Precinct -000005000005 | 150 | 71 | 0 | 221 | 67.9% | 32.1% | D+35.7 |
| Precinct -000004000004 | 127 | 82 | 0 | 209 | 60.8% | 39.2% | D+21.5 |
| Precinct -000011000011 | 97 | 64 | 0 | 161 | 60.2% | 39.8% | D+20.5 |
| Precinct -000007000007 | 86 | 65 | 0 | 151 | 57.0% | 43.0% | D+13.9 |
| Precinct -000010000010 | 74 | 60 | 0 | 134 | 55.2% | 44.8% | D+10.4 |
| Precinct -000006000006 | 62 | 58 | 0 | 120 | 51.7% | 48.3% | D+3.3 |
| Precinct -000009000009 | 46 | 39 | 0 | 85 | 54.1% | 45.9% | D+8.2 |
| Mora County Precinct 135_350331 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mora County Precinct 1035_3503310 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mora County Precinct 1135_3503311 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mora County Precinct 235_350332 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mora County Precinct 335_350333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mora County Precinct 435_350334 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mora County Precinct 535_350335 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mora County Precinct 635_350336 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mora County Precinct 735_350337 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mora County Precinct 835_350338 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mora County Precinct 935_350339 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1912 | −0.9% |
| 1916 | −2.7% |
| 1920 | −6.4% |
| 1924 | −2.5% |
| 1928 | −5.2% |
| 1932 | +34.4% |
| 1936 | +4.3% |
| 1940 | −10.9% |
| 1944 | −11.2% |
| 1948 | −10.2% |
| 1952 | −13.3% |
| 1956 | −16.9% |
| 1960 | +3.9% |
| 1964 | +19.6% |
| 1968 | −3.8% |
| 1972 | −1.3% |
| 1976 | +22.6% |
| 1980 | +9.9% |
| 1984 | +9.5% |
| 1988 | +26.6% |
| 1992 | +36.6% |
| 1996 | +45.3% |
| 2000 | +36.0% |
| 2004 | +33.5% |
| 2008 | +57.9% |
| 2012 | +52.1% |
| 2016 | +35.7% |
| 2020 | +31.3% |
| 2024 | +17.2% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 72.7%1,741 | 27.3%655 | 2,396 |
| 2020 | D | 72.1%1,867 | 27.9%724 | 2,591 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 27 points more Democratic.
3,824 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−17 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −345 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,524 in average income, against $48,271 for residents who stayed — 2% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+27.9 on average — 11 points more Democratic-leaning than Mora County, NM itself (D+17.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- San Miguel County, NM21D+27.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- San Miguel County, NM27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −107 |
| 2012 | −91 |
| 2013 | +19 |
| 2014 | −77 |
| 2015 | +2 |
| 2016 | −66 |
| 2017 | −12 |
| 2018 | −41 |
| 2019 | +42 |
| 2021 | +21 |
| 2022 | −13 |
| 2023 | +2 |
| 2024 | −7 |
| 2025 | −17 |
Mora County's small, predominantly Hispanic population has delivered consistent double-digit Democratic margins in presidential races, even as surrounding rural New Mexico has trended more competitive in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 57.9 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 16.9 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 14.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.2 points.
A population of 4,149, a 25% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,663 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of San Miguel County and Rio Arriba County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Mora County, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/35033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.