HarrisDemocratic47.5%705,197TrumpRepublican50.6%751,205OtherAll other candidates1.3%19,625
R+3.1- Lead
- 46,008
- Total
- 1,484,840
- vs nation
- R+1.6
- Turnout
- 66.8%
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+3.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 3,184,6122024 5-year
- Population density
- 29 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 109,861 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $78,2602024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 44.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 29.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+62.4 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35.6 in 1980MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- New Mexico, NM · twin score 77.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 66.8%1,486,297 participants ÷ 2,223,534 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- 0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 46.4%–51.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 1,128,492 | 1,902,282 | 59.3% | B/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 976,587 | 1,973,652 | 49.5% | B/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 1,407,761 | 2,071,272 | 68.0% | B/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 1,021,780 | 2,150,275 | 47.5% | B/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 1,486,297 | 2,223,534 | 66.8% | B/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 276/110.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 279/137.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 282/1.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 285/182.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:observed:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 288/227.
presidential history
Party record book
Nevada · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
81.2%
8,376 votes · D+62.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 72.8%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
65.8%
188,770 votes · R+33.9
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 63.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
705,197votes
47.5% of the vote · R+3.1
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 703,486 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
751,205votes
50.6% of the vote · R+3.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 669,890 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+68.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+62.4 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · +32.0 pts
Republican
Ronald Reagan1980
+25.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+35.6 · U.S. R+9.7
Runner-up · Benjamin Harrison, 1892 · +20.9 pts
2026 election
On the ballot
Governor
Joe LombardonomineeAaron Fordnominee
Incumbent Gov. Joe Lombardo (R), elected 2022, is eligible for a second term and won his primary (~91%). Nevada Attorney General Aaron Ford won the Democratic primary (~64%) over Alexis Hill. Widely rated the most competitive 2026 governor's race with a GOP incumbent; Ford would be Nevada's first Black governor.
U.S. House elections · 66 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 3 · R 1 | 37.4% | 48.5% | 1,427,077 | |
| D 3 · R 1 | 47.6% | 51.1% | 1,009,503 | |
| D 3 · R 1 | 49.1% | 46.8% | 1,355,607 | |
| D 3 · R 1 | 51.1% | 45.8% | 960,774 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026D+0.6
Presidential vote · 2024R+3.1
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 3.7 points more Republican than the rolls.
2,468,159 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+14,914 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +323,336 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −6,054 |
| 2012 | +13,402 |
| 2013 | +13,900 |
| 2014 | +23,725 |
| 2015 | +29,035 |
| 2016 | +34,931 |
| 2017 | +37,822 |
| 2018 | +47,650 |
| 2019 | +43,207 |
| 2021 | +26,050 |
| 2022 | +20,116 |
| 2023 | +8,165 |
| 2024 | +16,473 |
| 2025 | +14,914 |
Clark County’s Democratic margin fell from 9.3 points to 2.6 — and Nevada voted Republican for president for the first time since 2004.
- Trump’s first Nevada win
- D+2.4 (2020) → R+3.1 (2024), a 5.5-pt swing — the first Republican presidential win since 2004 · MIT Election Lab
- Clark County is the whole story
- Las Vegas’s county cast ~70% of the state vote; D+9.3 (2020) → D+2.6 (2024), a 6.7-pt slip that decided the state · MIT Election Lab
- Washoe is the tipping county
- Reno’s county: D+4.5 (2020) → D+1.0 (2024) — the closest of the two metros to the statewide line · MIT Election Lab
- The rural floor
- Eureka County R+77.8 — the state’s widest; Elko R+56.6, Lyon R+44.4; 15 of 17 counties Republican · MIT Election Lab 2024
- A service-economy electorate
- Hispanic or Latino 29.7% (21.4% Mexican origin); 20% speak Spanish at home — 7th of 50 · ACS 2024 5-year
- Open governor in 2026
- Gov. Joe Lombardo (R) seeks a 2nd term vs AG Aaron Ford (D), who would be Nevada’s first Black governor; no Senate race · Akashic 2026 forecast
Political twins — states
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
New Mexico
New Mexico
77.7twin score
elasticity% White% Catholic≠ % Latino
California
California
66.4twin score
% Catholic% White% Evangelical≠ population scale
Hawaii
Hawaii
55.0twin score
% Evangelical% unaffiliatedNorwegian ancestry≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Nevada. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/NV/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Nevada at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Nevada
Frequently asked questions
How did Nevada vote in 2024?
In 2024, Nevada voted Republican by 3.1 points (R+3.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,484,840 votes cast, 705,197 went Democratic and 751,205 went Republican.
When did Nevada last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Nevada voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Nevada?
Nevada has a population of 3,184,612 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Nevada?
Median household income in Nevada is $78,260 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nevada state median is $78,260.
What is the political history of Nevada?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Nevada from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.