Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
NevadaTrumpR+3.1
2024StatewideR+3.1

17 counties · presidential margin · 2024

County17 areas · 2024 presidential vote
Clark520,187493,052D+2.61,031,223Washoe130,071127,443D+1.0263,734Carson13,37516,873R+11.331,068Douglas11,55323,237R+32.935,556Mineral7111,528R+35.62,295Storey9132,108R+38.93,075Nye7,55918,946R+42.226,997Lyon8,95423,861R+44.433,541Churchill3,1799,962R+50.213,503Pershing4961,764R+54.92,308Humboldt1,7116,141R+55.28,030Elko4,63217,352R+56.622,465White Pine8833,364R+57.04,351Lander4822,180R+62.32,725Esmeralda73376R+65.7461Lincoln3142,108R+72.62,472Eureka104910R+77.81,036

Nevada, Nevada

presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −3.1% in 2024.flipped R · 2024−3.1%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−19.3%
1896+62.4%
1900+24.5%
1904−23.8%
1908+1.8%
1912+23.8%
1916+17.0%
1920−20.7%
1924−19.8%
1928−13.1%
1932+38.8%
1936+45.6%
1940+20.2%
1944+9.2%
1948+3.1%
1952−22.9%
1956−15.9%
1960+2.3%
1964+17.2%
1968−8.2%
1972−27.4%
1976−4.4%
1980−35.6%
1984−33.9%
1988−20.9%
1992+2.6%
1996+1.0%
2000−3.5%
2004−2.6%
2008+12.6%
2012+6.7%
2016+2.4%
2020+2.4%
2024−3.1%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
47.5%Harris705,197
50.6%Trump751,205
1.3%Candidates19,625
−3.1%
1,484,840
D
50.1%Biden703,486
47.7%Trump669,890
1.1%Jorgensen14,783
+2.4%
1,405,376
D
47.9%Clinton539,260
45.5%Trump512,058
3.3%Johnson37,384
+2.4%
1,125,385
D
52.4%Obama531,373
45.7%Romney463,567
1.1%Johnson10,968
+6.7%
1,014,918
D
55.5%Obama533,736
42.9%McCain412,827
0.7%Candidates6,267
+12.6%
961,581
R
47.9%Kerry397,190
50.5%Bush418,690
0.6%Nader4,838
−2.6%
829,587
R
46.0%Gore279,978
49.5%Bush301,575
2.5%Nader15,008
−3.5%
608,970
D
43.9%Clinton203,974
42.9%Dole199,244
9.5%Perot43,986
+1.0%
464,279
D
37.4%Clinton189,148
34.7%Bush175,828
26.2%Perot132,580
+2.6%
506,318
R
37.9%Dukakis132,738
58.9%Bush206,040
1.0%Paul3,520
−20.9%
350,067
R
32.0%Mondale91,655
65.8%Reagan188,770
0.8%Bergland2,292
−33.9%
286,667
R
26.9%Carter66,666
62.5%Reagan155,017
7.1%Anderson17,651
−35.6%
247,885
R
45.8%Carter92,479
50.2%Ford101,273
2.5%Other5,108
−4.4%
201,876
R
36.3%McGovern66,016
63.7%Nixon115,750
0.0%
−27.4%
181,766
R
39.3%Humphrey60,598
47.5%Nixon73,188
13.2%Wallace20,432
−8.2%
154,218
D
58.6%Johnson79,339
41.4%Goldwater56,094
0.0%
+17.2%
135,433
D
51.2%Kennedy54,880
48.8%Nixon52,387
0.0%
+2.3%
107,267
R
42.0%Stevenson40,640
58.0%Eisenhower56,049
0.0%
−15.9%
96,689
R
38.6%Stevenson31,688
61.4%Eisenhower50,502
0.0%
−22.9%
82,190
D
50.4%Truman31,291
47.3%Dewey29,357
2.4%Thurmond1,469
+3.1%
62,117
D
54.6%Roosevelt29,623
45.4%Dewey24,611
0.0%
+9.2%
54,234
D
60.1%Roosevelt31,945
39.9%Willkie21,229
0.0%
+20.2%
53,174
D
72.8%Roosevelt31,925
27.2%Landon11,923
0.0%
+45.6%
43,848
D
69.4%Roosevelt28,756
30.6%Hoover12,674
0.0%
+38.8%
41,430
R
43.5%Smith14,090
56.5%Hoover18,327
0.0%
−13.1%
32,417
R
21.9%Davis5,909
41.8%Coolidge11,243
36.3%La Follette9,769
−19.8%
26,921
R
36.2%Cox9,851
56.9%Harding15,479
6.9%Debs1,864
−20.7%
27,194
D
53.4%Wilson17,776
36.4%Hughes12,127
10.2%Benson3,413
+17.0%
33,316
O
39.7%Wilson7,986
15.9%Taft3,196
44.4%Roosevelt8,933
Roosevelt +4.7
20,115
D
45.7%Bryan11,212
43.9%Taft10,775
10.4%Debs2,539
+1.8%
24,526
R
32.9%Parker3,982
56.7%Roosevelt6,864
10.5%Debs1,269
−23.8%
12,115
D
62.2%Bryan6,347
37.8%McKinley3,849
0.0%
+24.5%
10,196
D
81.2%Bryan8,376
18.8%McKinley1,938
0.0%
+62.4%
10,314
O
6.6%Cleveland714
25.8%Harrison2,811
67.6%Weaver7,353
Weaver +41.8
10,878
2026 election
On the ballot
Governor
Joe LombardonomineeAaron Fordnominee

Incumbent Gov. Joe Lombardo (R), elected 2022, is eligible for a second term and won his primary (~91%). Nevada Attorney General Aaron Ford won the Democratic primary (~64%) over Alexis Hill. Widely rated the most competitive 2026 governor's race with a GOP incumbent; Ford would be Nevada's first Black governor.

Full 2026 forecast →

Source · Akashic 2026 forecast.
Congressional elections · 66 House races · 17 Senate races

U.S. House

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0. Seat totals count district winners; vote shares aggregate every district.
YearSeats wonD %R %Total
D 3 · R 137.4%48.5%1,427,077
D 3 · R 147.6%51.1%1,009,503
D 3 · R 149.1%46.8%1,355,607
D 3 · R 151.1%45.8%960,774

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024D
47.9%701,105
46.2%677,046
1,464,728
2022D
48.8%498,316
48.0%490,388
1,020,850
2018D
50.4%490,071
45.4%441,202
972,132
2016D
47.1%521,994
44.7%495,079
1,108,294
2012R
44.7%446,080
45.9%457,656
997,805
2010D
50.3%362,785
44.5%321,361
721,404
2006R
41.0%238,796
55.4%322,501
582,572
2004D
61.1%494,805
35.1%284,640
810,068
2000R
39.7%238,260
55.1%330,687
600,250
1998D
47.9%208,621
47.8%208,220
435,864
1994D
50.9%193,804
41.0%156,020
380,530
1992D
51.0%253,150
40.2%199,413
495,887
1988D
51.3%175,548
47.1%161,336
342,407
1986D
50.0%130,955
44.5%116,606
261,932
1982R
48.8%114,720
51.2%120,377
235,097
1980R
37.9%92,129
59.3%144,224
243,273
1976D
63.0%127,214
31.4%63,471
201,899
Clark County’s Democratic margin fell from 9.3 points to 2.6 — and Nevada voted Republican for president for the first time since 2004.
Trump’s first Nevada win
D+2.4 (2020) → R+3.1 (2024), a 5.5-pt swing — the first Republican presidential win since 2004 · MIT Election Lab
Clark County is the whole story
Las Vegas’s county cast ~70% of the state vote; D+9.3 (2020) → D+2.6 (2024), a 6.7-pt slip that decided the state · MIT Election Lab
Washoe is the tipping county
Reno’s county: D+4.5 (2020) → D+1.0 (2024) — the closest of the two metros to the statewide line · MIT Election Lab
The rural floor
Eureka County R+77.8 — the state’s widest; Elko R+56.6, Lyon R+44.4; 15 of 17 counties Republican · MIT Election Lab 2024
A service-economy electorate
Hispanic or Latino 29.7% (21.4% Mexican origin); 20% speak Spanish at home — 7th of 50 · ACS 2024 5-year
Open governor in 2026
Gov. Joe Lombardo (R) seeks a 2nd term vs AG Aaron Ford (D), who would be Nevada’s first Black governor; no Senate race · Akashic 2026 forecast
Political twins — states

The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

New Mexico
New Mexico
77.7twin score
elasticity% White% Catholic≠ % Latino
California
California
66.4twin score
% Catholic% White% Evangelical≠ population scale
Hawaii
Hawaii
55.0twin score
% Evangelical% unaffiliatedNorwegian ancestry≠ elasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Nevada. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/NV/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Largest cities in Nevada
Las Vegas
660.4K residents
Henderson
332.1K residents
North Las Vegas
278.6K residents
Reno
273.2K residents
Enterprise
240.5K residents
Spring Valley
219.2K residents
Sunrise Manor
200.2K residents
Paradise
185.9K residents
Sparks
110K residents
Carson
58.4K residents
Pahrump
47.3K residents
Whitney
47.2K residents
Nevada at the ballot boxAll elections →
Presidentcounty detail2024US Senatestatewide2024Governorstate + county2022US Houseall districts2024

Places within Nevada

17counties7metro areas2combined areas2media markets4congressional districts21state senate districts42state house districts
More in Nevada
Churchill County
Clark County
Douglas County
Elko County
Esmeralda County
Eureka County

Frequently asked questions

How did Nevada vote in 2024?
In 2024, Nevada voted Republican by 3.1 points (R+3.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,484,840 votes cast, 705,197 went Democratic and 751,205 went Republican.
When did Nevada last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Nevada voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Nevada?
Nevada has a population of 3,184,612 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Nevada?
Median household income in Nevada is $78,260 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nevada state median is $78,260.
What is the political history of Nevada?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Nevada from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 15 went Republican.