- Lead
- 6,783
- Total
- 13,503
- vs nation
- R+48.8
- Turnout
- 69.0%
Churchill County, NV
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 69.0% of 19,576 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 6,321
- Total
- 12,890
- vs nation
- R+53.5
- Turnout
- 71.3%
- Lead
- 5,620
- Total
- 10,938
- vs nation
- R+53.5
- Turnout
- 62.0%
- Lead
- 4,100
- Total
- 10,265
- vs nation
- R+43.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,338
- Total
- 10,494
- vs nation
- R+39.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,630
- Total
- 10,237
- vs nation
- R+42.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,046
- Total
- 8,823
- vs nation
- R+46.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,087
- Total
- 7,763
- vs nation
- R+35.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 25,8052024 5-year
- Median household income
- $79,1632024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+53.7 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.5 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Moffat County, CO · twin score 88.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 69.0%13,503 participants ÷ 19,576 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.7 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 49.3%–55.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 10,955 | 17,664 | 62.0% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 9,670 | 17,486 | 55.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 12,911 | 18,120 | 71.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 9,896 | 19,181 | 51.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 13,503 | 19,576 | 69.0% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
55 precincts · 13,282 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -1818 | 234 | 969 | 11 | 1,214 | 19.3% | 79.8% | R+60.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -1717 | 253 | 893 | 17 | 1,163 | 21.8% | 76.8% | R+55.0 |
| Precinct -1111 | 185 | 720 | 13 | 918 | 20.2% | 78.4% | R+58.3 |
| Precinct -77 | 226 | 664 | 13 | 903 | 25.0% | 73.5% | R+48.5 |
| Precinct -11 | 289 | 603 | 7 | 899 | 32.1% | 67.1% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct -1010 | 162 | 720 | 7 | 889 | 18.2% | 81.0% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -22 | 240 | 550 | 11 | 801 | 30.0% | 68.7% | R+38.7 |
| Precinct -1515 | 120 | 571 | 6 | 697 | 17.2% | 81.9% | R+64.7 |
| Precinct -44 | 218 | 462 | 7 | 687 | 31.7% | 67.2% | R+35.5 |
| Precinct -1919 | 129 | 515 | 6 | 650 | 19.8% | 79.2% | R+59.4 |
| Precinct -1414 | 119 | 522 | 1 | 642 | 18.5% | 81.3% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -66 | 155 | 375 | 10 | 540 | 28.7% | 69.4% | R+40.7 |
| Precinct -55 | 153 | 379 | 5 | 537 | 28.5% | 70.6% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct -1616 | 181 | 314 | 5 | 500 | 36.2% | 62.8% | R+26.6 |
| Precinct -99 | 112 | 377 | 5 | 494 | 22.7% | 76.3% | R+53.6 |
| Precinct -33 | 148 | 338 | 3 | 489 | 30.3% | 69.1% | R+38.9 |
| Precinct -1313 | 78 | 396 | 4 | 478 | 16.3% | 82.8% | R+66.5 |
| Precinct -1212 | 92 | 293 | 6 | 391 | 23.5% | 74.9% | R+51.4 |
| Precinct -88 | 85 | 299 | 6 | 390 | 21.8% | 76.7% | R+54.9 |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 0132_3200101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 0232_3200102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 0332_3200103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 0432_3200104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 0532_3200105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 0632_3200106 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 0732_3200107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 07-0101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 0832_3200108 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 08-0101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 08-0202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 08-0303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 0932_3200109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 1032_3200110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 1132_3200111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 1232_3200112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 12-0101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 12-0202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 12-0303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 1332_3200113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 1432_3200114 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 1532_3200115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 15-0101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 15-0202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 15-0303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 15-0404 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 15-0505 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 15-0606 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 15-0707 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 15-0808 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 15-0909 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 15-1010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 1632_3200116 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 1732_3200117 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 1832_3200118 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHURCHILL PRECINCT 1932_3200119 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −27.7% |
| 1896 | +53.7% |
| 1900 | +20.2% |
| 1904 | −5.3% |
| 1908 | −0.8% |
| 1912 | +18.8% |
| 1916 | +19.3% |
| 1920 | −22.7% |
| 1924 | −21.9% |
| 1928 | −20.0% |
| 1932 | +38.5% |
| 1936 | +25.9% |
| 1940 | +3.9% |
| 1944 | −3.9% |
| 1948 | −6.4% |
| 1952 | −36.7% |
| 1956 | −30.6% |
| 1960 | −14.8% |
| 1964 | −1.3% |
| 1968 | −19.9% |
| 1972 | −48.2% |
| 1976 | −12.6% |
| 1980 | −52.8% |
| 1984 | −53.5% |
| 1988 | −49.3% |
| 1992 | −26.3% |
| 1996 | −26.9% |
| 2000 | −45.9% |
| 2004 | −45.2% |
| 2008 | −31.8% |
| 2012 | −39.9% |
| 2016 | −51.4% |
| 2020 | −49.0% |
| 2024 | −50.2% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 0.0%0 | 100.0%8,949 | 8,949 |
| 2020 | R | 22.9%2,780 | 77.1%9,383 | 12,163 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 14 points more Democratic.
21,195 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−16 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +26 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $63,456 in average income, against $73,785 for residents who stayed — 14% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+12.4 on average — 38 points more Democratic-leaning than Churchill County, NV itself (R+50.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Washoe County, NV149D+1.0
- Lyon County, NV109R+44.4
- Virginia Beach city, VA34D+2.6
- San Diego County, CA28D+16.8
- Clark County, NV25D+2.6
- Kings County, CA20R+23.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Washoe County, NV147
- Lyon County, NV89
- San Diego County, CA37
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −258 |
| 2012 | −517 |
| 2013 | −432 |
| 2014 | −229 |
| 2015 | +11 |
| 2016 | −103 |
| 2017 | +88 |
| 2018 | +445 |
| 2019 | +341 |
| 2021 | +211 |
| 2022 | +224 |
| 2023 | +105 |
| 2024 | +156 |
| 2025 | −16 |
Churchill County, anchored by Fallon and the surrounding high desert, has voted Republican in presidential races by landslide margins for decades, with 2024's R+50.2 result placing it among the state's most lopsided counties despite a modest population.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 53.7 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 53.5 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.2 points.
A population of 25,805, a 71% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,163 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Moffat County and Payette County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Churchill County, Nevada. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/32001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.