HarrisDemocratic43.1%13,375TrumpRepublican54.3%16,873OtherAll other candidates1.7%517
R+11.3- Lead
- 3,498
- Total
- 31,068
- vs nation
- R+9.8
- Turnout
- 72.0%
Akashiccounty
Carson City, NV
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.0% of 43,179 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic42.8%12,735TrumpRepublican54.2%16,113JorgensenLibertarian1.5%432
R+11.4- Lead
- 3,378
- Total
- 29,739
- vs nation
- R+15.8
- Turnout
- 73.8%
ClintonDemocratic38.4%9,610TrumpRepublican52.5%13,125JohnsonLibertarian4.6%1,159
R+14.1- Lead
- 3,515
- Total
- 25,016
- vs nation
- R+16.1
- Turnout
- 63.1%
ObamaDemocratic44.1%10,291RomneyRepublican53.1%12,394JohnsonIndependent1.2%286
R+9.0- Lead
- 2,103
- Total
- 23,319
- vs nation
- R+12.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic49.5%11,623McCainRepublican48.7%11,419OtherAll other candidates1.8%421
D+0.9- Lead
- 204
- Total
- 23,463
- vs nation
- R+6.4
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic40.9%9,441BushRepublican57.0%13,171OtherAll other candidates2.1%494
R+16.1- Lead
- 3,730
- Total
- 23,106
- vs nation
- R+13.7
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic37.8%7,354BushRepublican57.0%11,084NaderGreen3.1%605
R+19.2- Lead
- 3,730
- Total
- 19,452
- vs nation
- R+19.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic38.6%7,269DoleRepublican48.7%9,168PerotReform8.5%1,591
R+10.1- Lead
- 1,899
- Total
- 18,814
- vs nation
- R+18.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+11.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 58,3842024 5-year
- Median household income
- $72,3552024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 26.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33.2 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.1 in 1952MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Washoe County, NV · twin score 84.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 72.0%31,068 participants ÷ 43,179 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -2.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 53.5%–59.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 25,061 | 39,721 | 63.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 22,746 | 39,721 | 57.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 29,781 | 40,354 | 73.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 23,747 | 42,912 | 55.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 31,068 | 43,179 | 72.0% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
50 precincts · 30,542 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -307307 | 939 | 992 | 16 | 1,947 | 48.2% | 51.0% | R+2.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -407407 | 666 | 1,164 | 21 | 1,851 | 36.0% | 62.9% | R+26.9 |
| Precinct -109109 | 701 | 851 | 11 | 1,563 | 44.8% | 54.4% | R+9.6 |
| Precinct -113113 | 623 | 880 | 17 | 1,520 | 41.0% | 57.9% | R+16.9 |
| Precinct -403403 | 712 | 774 | 17 | 1,503 | 47.4% | 51.5% | R+4.1 |
| Precinct -409409 | 741 | 697 | 15 | 1,453 | 51.0% | 48.0% | D+3.0 |
| Precinct -309309 | 524 | 904 | 11 | 1,439 | 36.4% | 62.8% | R+26.4 |
| Precinct -111111 | 669 | 741 | 11 | 1,421 | 47.1% | 52.1% | R+5.1 |
| Precinct -107107 | 583 | 807 | 14 | 1,404 | 41.5% | 57.5% | R+16.0 |
| Precinct -205205 | 636 | 736 | 10 | 1,382 | 46.0% | 53.3% | R+7.2 |
| Precinct -203203 | 656 | 701 | 17 | 1,374 | 47.7% | 51.0% | R+3.3 |
| Precinct -303303 | 528 | 700 | 22 | 1,250 | 42.2% | 56.0% | R+13.8 |
| Precinct -405405 | 526 | 677 | 8 | 1,211 | 43.4% | 55.9% | R+12.5 |
| Precinct -103103 | 583 | 618 | 8 | 1,209 | 48.2% | 51.1% | R+2.9 |
| Precinct -301301 | 477 | 694 | 10 | 1,181 | 40.4% | 58.8% | R+18.4 |
| Precinct -207207 | 476 | 676 | 17 | 1,169 | 40.7% | 57.8% | R+17.1 |
| Precinct -305305 | 481 | 667 | 16 | 1,164 | 41.3% | 57.3% | R+16.0 |
| Precinct -201201 | 535 | 587 | 14 | 1,136 | 47.1% | 51.7% | R+4.6 |
| Precinct -401401 | 524 | 544 | 7 | 1,075 | 48.7% | 50.6% | R+1.9 |
| Precinct -105105 | 428 | 576 | 8 | 1,012 | 42.3% | 56.9% | R+14.6 |
| Precinct -209209 | 383 | 472 | 10 | 865 | 44.3% | 54.6% | R+10.3 |
| Precinct -101101 | 404 | 423 | 7 | 834 | 48.4% | 50.7% | R+2.3 |
| Precinct -211211 | 316 | 508 | 8 | 832 | 38.0% | 61.1% | R+23.1 |
| Precinct -411411 | 260 | 479 | 8 | 747 | 34.8% | 64.1% | R+29.3 |
| Precinct 10132_32510101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 10332_32510103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 10532_32510105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 10732_32510107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 10932_32510109 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 11132_32510111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 11332_32510113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 20132_32510201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 20332_32510203 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 20532_32510205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 20732_32510207 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 20932_32510209 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 21132_32510211 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 21332_32510213 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 30132_32510301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 30332_32510303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 30532_32510305 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 30732_32510307 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 30932_32510309 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 31132_32510311 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 40132_32510401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 40332_32510403 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 40532_32510405 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 40732_32510407 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 40932_32510409 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Precinct 41132_32510411 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −44.8% |
| 1896 | +33.2% |
| 1900 | +12.4% |
| 1904 | −28.1% |
| 1908 | −0.9% |
| 1912 | +21.3% |
| 1916 | +6.2% |
| 1920 | −17.5% |
| 1924 | +0.2% |
| 1928 | −16.1% |
| 1932 | +8.7% |
| 1936 | +16.6% |
| 1940 | +2.4% |
| 1944 | −11.7% |
| 1948 | −23.0% |
| 1952 | −48.1% |
| 1956 | −36.1% |
| 1960 | −20.5% |
| 1964 | +3.2% |
| 1968 | −25.0% |
| 1972 | −43.6% |
| 1976 | −14.4% |
| 1980 | −44.8% |
| 1984 | −42.0% |
| 1988 | −30.2% |
| 1992 | −6.7% |
| 1996 | −10.1% |
| 2000 | −19.2% |
| 2004 | −16.1% |
| 2008 | +0.9% |
| 2012 | −9.0% |
| 2016 | −14.1% |
| 2020 | −11.4% |
| 2024 | −11.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 19 Senate · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 40.9%11,662 | 59.1%16,825 | 28,487 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+12.5
Presidential vote · 2024R+11.3
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 1.2 points.
48,209 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+573 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +3,353 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $76,996 in average income, against $87,684 for residents who stayed — 12% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+9.7 on average — 1.6 points more Democratic-leaning than Carson City, NV itself (R+11.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Washoe County, NV500D+1.0
- Douglas County, NV272R+32.9
- Lyon County, NV256R+44.4
- El Dorado County, CA98R+12.0
- Clark County, NV95D+2.6
- Los Angeles County, CA54D+32.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Washoe County, NV537
- Lyon County, NV352
- Douglas County, NV256
- Clark County, NV85
- Maricopa County, AZ35
- El Dorado County, CA35
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −207 |
| 2012 | −200 |
| 2013 | −451 |
| 2014 | +437 |
| 2015 | +26 |
| 2016 | +374 |
| 2017 | +519 |
| 2018 | +787 |
| 2019 | +795 |
| 2021 | +610 |
| 2022 | −291 |
| 2023 | +331 |
| 2024 | +50 |
| 2025 | +573 |
Carson City functions as both an independent city and county, making it Nevada's only consolidated municipality of that type. Despite housing state government, it has trended Republican in recent cycles, posting an R+11.3 margin in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.2 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 48.1 points in 1952. The 2024 margin was 11.3 points.
A population of 58,384, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,355 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washoe County and Marion County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Washoe County
Nevada
84.4twin score
12-yr trendelasticity% Latino≠ population scale
Marion County
Oregon
82.5twin score
12-yr trend2008–2024 trajectory% Latino≠ population scale
Inyo County
California
81.7twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% Evangelical% Latino≠ Swedish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Carson City, Nevada. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/32510/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Carson City
Nevada at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Carson City, Nevada vote in 2024?
In 2024, Carson City, Nevada voted Republican by 11.3 points (R+11.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 31,068 votes cast, 13,375 went Democratic and 16,873 went Republican.
When did Carson City, Nevada last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Carson City, Nevada voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Carson City, Nevada?
Carson City, Nevada has a population of 58,384 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Carson City, Nevada?
Median household income in Carson City, Nevada is $72,355 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nevada state median is $78,260.
What is the political history of Carson City, Nevada?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carson City, Nevada from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.