akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 16·Nevada

Nevada 16th State Senate District delivered R+9 in 2024 — close enough to flip again next time.

A competitive suburban district that's trended toward Democrats by narrow margins

1876 — 2024·38 elections
NV
Latest
R+9
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
88,916
2024 ACS

Nevada 16th State Senate District, Nevada: Tossup district. In 2024, voted R+9%. Democratic peak: D+44 in 1896.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+9MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
88,9162024 5-year
Median household income
$78,0112024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
66.9%2024 5-year
Black
2.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
25.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+44 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+43 in 1980MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
3 counties · 1 D · 2 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−9.5%
21,19325,74548,142
R
−8.2%
20,43924,21846,000
R
−10.9%
15,53219,77038,716
R
−6.0%
16,27618,40935,604
D
+3.6%
18,01616,74635,365
R
−13.2%
14,28418,75133,716
R
−16.9%
10,78515,47527,740
R
−8.5%
10,26612,49826,267
R
−5.3%
8,61910,02226,407
R
−27.8%
7,26613,14621,154
R
−40.9%
5,22612,72218,343
R
−43.0%
3,82011,03916,785
R
−13.4%
5,3357,10913,221
R
−40.5%
3,2547,68410,938
R
−23.1%
2,7154,6388,327
D
+4.8%
3,4613,1436,604
R
−16.4%
2,2613,1495,410
R
−33.7%
1,4782,9774,454
R
−41.0%
1,2002,8704,070
R
−17.6%
1,3091,8833,261
R
−7.2%
1,2831,4832,766
D
+8.4%
1,6581,4003,058
D
+29.0%
1,6429032,545
D
+19.9%
1,2588402,098
R
−8.8%
9071,0811,988
R
−8.2%
7128842,105
R
−16.4%
8101,1382,005
D
+5.7%
1,2501,1082,483
D
+24.4%
7713501,726
R
−3.7%
8379061,883
R
−29.3%
5781,1161,835
D
+13.1%
1,0618151,876
D
+44.4%
1,7766832,459
O
−32.5%
2391,2643,158
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
12.4%
English
12.3%
Irish
11.1%
American
5.7%
Italian
4.7%
Scottish
2.7%
French
2.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.9 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.8%
85+
1.7%
2.8%
75–84
2.9%
6.0%
65–74
6.4%
7.0%
55–64
6.7%
6.4%
45–54
5.4%
6.7%
35–44
5.6%
7.4%
25–34
6.2%
4.3%
18–24
3.7%
7.7%
5–17
7.3%
2.4%
<5
2.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$78,011
State Senate District 16 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State Senate District 16$78,011
Nevada$78,260
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
10.3%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.6%
Working age (18–64)9.2%
Seniors (65+)13.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
79.8%
speak English only
Spanish16.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.1%
Other Indo-European1.3%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
21.4%
Other Christian
10.0%
Mainline Protestant
1.2%
Baptist
0.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
0.9%
Methodist
0.7%
Non-Christian
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 64.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Nevada SD-16 sits in the Las Vegas metro area, where shifting suburban demographics have made it a consistent single-digit battleground in recent cycles, with the 2024 presidential result landing at D+3.7.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached forty-four points in 1896; the Republican margin reached forty-three points in 1980. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 88,916, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $78,011 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 16, Nevada. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/32016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 16, Nevada vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 16, Nevada voted Republican by 9.5 points (R+9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 48,142 votes cast, 21,193 went Democratic and 25,745 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 16, Nevada's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 16, Nevada as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 9 times, Republican 24 times, and other 1 times.
When did State Senate District 16, Nevada last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 16, Nevada voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in State Senate District 16, Nevada?
State Senate District 16, Nevada has a population of 88,916 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 16, Nevada?
Median household income in State Senate District 16, Nevada is $78,011 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nevada state median is $78,260.
What is the political history of State Senate District 16, Nevada?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 16, Nevada from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 24 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.