- Lead
- 9,229
- Total
- 75,322
- vs nation
- D+13.7
Nevada 15th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 11,308
- Total
- 74,511
- vs nation
- D+10.7
- Lead
- 6,220
- Total
- 64,899
- vs nation
- D+7.5
- Lead
- 7,293
- Total
- 58,083
- vs nation
- D+8.7
- Lead
- 12,020
- Total
- 56,296
- vs nation
- D+14.1
- Lead
- 2,341
- Total
- 48,846
- vs nation
- D+7.3
- Lead
- 323
- Total
- 37,392
- vs nation
- R+1.4
- Lead
- 1,275
- Total
- 33,703
- vs nation
- R+4.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+12.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 144,6502024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,926 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 75.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $85,3002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 26.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+50.9 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+32.4 in 1980MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 13, NV · twin score 85.1
presidential history
Party record book
Nevada 15th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1972–2024 · 14 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
59.5%
33,519 votes · D+21.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 56.1%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
63.5%
14,091 votes · R+29.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 62.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
41,779votes
56.1% of the vote · D+15.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 41,346 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
32,117votes
42.6% of the vote · D+12.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 30,471 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
+14.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+21.4 · U.S. D+7.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +13.7 pts
Republican
Ronald Reagan1980
+22.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+32.4 · U.S. R+9.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · +11.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Nevada 15th State Senate District sits in the desert Southwest. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.9 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 32.4 points in 1980. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.3 points.
A population of 144,650, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,300 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 13 and State Senate District 17.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Nevada 15th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/32015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.