- Lead
- 303
- Total
- 461
- vs nation
- R+64.3
- Turnout
- 54.9%
Esmeralda County, NV
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 54.9% of 839 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 326
- Total
- 487
- vs nation
- R+71.4
- Turnout
- 59.8%
- Lead
- 264
- Total
- 423
- vs nation
- R+64.5
- Turnout
- 53.2%
- Lead
- 225
- Total
- 435
- vs nation
- R+55.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 199
- Total
- 427
- vs nation
- R+53.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 268
- Total
- 481
- vs nation
- R+53.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 217
- Total
- 491
- vs nation
- R+44.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 137
- Total
- 546
- vs nation
- R+33.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+65.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 1,0282024 5-year
- Median household income
- $41,7152024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 58.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 31.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+70.4 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.9 in 2020MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jackson County, CO · twin score 87.0
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 54.9%461 participants ÷ 839 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +3.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -17.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 51.5%–53.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 425 | 799 | 53.2% | A/D |
| 2018 · Midterm | 372 | 697 | 53.4% | A/D |
| 2020 · Presidential | 488 | 816 | 59.8% | A/D |
| 2022 · Midterm | 455 | 808 | 56.3% | A/D |
| 2024 · Presidential | 461 | 839 | 54.9% | C/D |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
9 precincts · 453 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -11 | 34 | 164 | 2 | 200 | 17.0% | 82.0% | R+65.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -33 | 30 | 166 | 3 | 199 | 15.1% | 83.4% | R+68.3 |
| Precinct -22 | 8 | 36 | 0 | 44 | 18.2% | 81.8% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -44 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 10 | 10.0% | 90.0% | R+80.0 |
| ESMERALDA FISH LAKE VALLEY PRECINCT 332_320093 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ESMERALDA GOLD POINT/LIDA PRECINCT 432_320094 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ESMERALDA GOLDFIELD PRECINCT 132_320091 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ESMERALDA LAMBERTUCCI PRECINCT 532_320095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ESMERALDA SILVER PEAK PRECINCT 232_320092 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −13.0% |
| 1896 | +70.4% |
| 1900 | +39.6% |
| 1904 | −9.5% |
| 1908 | +10.0% |
| 1912 | +25.3% |
| 1916 | +18.7% |
| 1920 | −12.7% |
| 1924 | −12.5% |
| 1928 | +5.6% |
| 1932 | +48.7% |
| 1936 | +56.8% |
| 1940 | +37.3% |
| 1944 | +19.6% |
| 1948 | +5.2% |
| 1952 | −11.2% |
| 1956 | −13.9% |
| 1960 | +15.9% |
| 1964 | +17.6% |
| 1968 | −5.7% |
| 1972 | −36.5% |
| 1976 | +7.9% |
| 1980 | −42.9% |
| 1984 | −45.6% |
| 1988 | −42.9% |
| 1992 | −17.6% |
| 1996 | −25.1% |
| 2000 | −44.2% |
| 2004 | −55.7% |
| 2008 | −46.6% |
| 2012 | −51.7% |
| 2016 | −62.4% |
| 2020 | −66.9% |
| 2024 | −65.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 18 points more Democratic.
700 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +175 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $40,095 in average income, against $78,976 for residents who stayed — 49% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −3 |
| 2012 | +31 |
| 2013 | +68 |
| 2014 | −11 |
| 2015 | +6 |
| 2016 | −5 |
| 2017 | +21 |
| 2018 | −18 |
| 2019 | +46 |
| 2021 | +16 |
| 2022 | +18 |
| 2023 | −3 |
| 2024 | +8 |
| 2025 | +1 |
With fewer than a thousand residents spread across 3,500 square miles of high desert, Esmeralda regularly posts some of the most lopsided presidential margins in the American West, reflecting the political tendencies common to remote, rural mining counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 70.4 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 66.9 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.2 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 65.7 points.
A population of 1,028, a 58% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $41,715 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jackson County and McPherson County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Esmeralda County, Nevada. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/32009/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.