akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 4·Nevada

Nevada 4th Congressional District delivered a near-tie in 2024.

Las Vegas's southern sprawl lands within 1 point of the national median

18762024·38 elections
NV
Latest
Tied
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
1,537,218
2024 ACS

Nevada 4th Congressional District, Nevada: Tossup district. In 2024, voted a near-tie. Democratic peak: D+83 in 1896.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
TiedMIT Election Lab
Political archetype
TossupAkashic typology
Population
1,537,2182024 5-year
Median household income
$75,8802024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
45.3%2024 5-year
Black
11.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
31.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+83 in 1896MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+31 in 1980MIT Election Lab
D
HORSFORD, StevenCongress 119 · Democratic

Predecessors: KIHUEN, Ruben Jesus (2017–2019), HARDY, Cresent Leo (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

7 counties · 1 D · 6 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−0.4%
335,766338,693686,533
D
+6.0%
336,490297,402647,195
D
+7.3%
258,727221,663510,483
D
+11.8%
253,129198,598460,346
D
+16.6%
249,056177,009432,849
D
+2.7%
184,547174,861365,242
D
+4.1%
129,555118,965259,311
D
+7.6%
85,93672,177181,021
D
+7.8%
82,68566,729205,029
R
−17.0%
52,96875,467132,323
R
−29.0%
36,44767,071105,678
R
−31.0%
26,44154,24189,692
D
+3.1%
36,03733,82072,393
R
−20.8%
25,35238,62863,980
D
+1.6%
23,54122,69854,271
D
+25.0%
29,56117,73947,301
D
+13.9%
18,87514,27233,147
R
−1.2%
15,27215,63830,910
R
−7.2%
10,61312,26222,875
D
+20.8%
9,9296,45116,720
D
+23.9%
8,6465,31513,961
D
+36.5%
7,7463,60311,349
D
+59.9%
8,0952,03010,125
D
+54.6%
7,4812,1989,679
R
−0.5%
3,2093,2416,449
O
−15.2%
1,2112,0815,706
R
−16.1%
2,4453,5106,604
D
+22.5%
4,9692,8949,216
O
+25.4%
2,4628766,244
D
+6.8%
4,9084,19110,509
R
−13.5%
1,1251,5493,143
D
+42.9%
1,1714681,639
D
+83.0%
1,6461531,798
O
−12.4%
652531,517
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024D47.9%46.2%1,464,728
2022D48.8%48.0%1,020,850
2018D50.4%45.4%972,132
2016D47.1%44.7%1,108,294
2012R44.7%45.9%997,805
2010D50.3%44.5%721,404
2006R41.0%55.4%582,572
2004D61.1%35.1%810,068
2000R39.7%55.0%600,776
1998D47.9%47.8%435,864
1994D50.9%41.0%380,530
1992D51.0%40.2%495,887
1988D51.3%47.1%342,407
1986D50.0%44.5%261,932
1982R48.8%51.2%235,097
1980R37.9%59.3%243,273
1976D63.0%31.4%201,899

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
8.5%
English
7.6%
Irish
7.1%
Italian
4.6%
American
3.0%
Polish
1.6%
French
1.4%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
67.6%
speak English only
Spanish21.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander7.0%
Other Indo-European2.5%
Other languages1.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
25.6%
Other Christian
10.7%
Baptist
1.7%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Non-Christian
1.5%
Mainline Protestant
0.9%
Methodist
0.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 57.8% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Nevada's 4th district spans the fast-growing suburbs south of Las Vegas through rural Clark and Nye counties, producing a competitive electorate that has tracked within a few points of the national popular vote margin in recent cycles.

The district's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached eighty-three points in 1896; the Republican margin reached thirty-one points in 1980. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Its demographics — a population of 1,537,218, a 45% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $75,880 — situate the district close to national averages on several dimensions.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 4, Nevada. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/3204/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 4, Nevada vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 4, Nevada voted a near-tie (Tied), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 686,533 votes cast, 335,766 went Democratic and 338,693 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 4, Nevada's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 4, Nevada as a "Tossup" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 10 times, and other 3 times.
When did Congressional District 4, Nevada last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 4, Nevada voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Congressional District 4, Nevada?
Congressional District 4, Nevada has a population of 1,537,218 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 4, Nevada?
Median household income in Congressional District 4, Nevada is $75,880 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nevada state median is $78,260.
What is the political history of Congressional District 4, Nevada?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 4, Nevada from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 10 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Tossup" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.