Hawaii, Hawaii
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1960–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1960 | +0.1% |
| 1964 | +57.5% |
| 1968 | +21.1% |
| 1972 | −25.0% |
| 1976 | +2.5% |
| 1980 | +1.9% |
| 1984 | −11.3% |
| 1988 | +9.5% |
| 1992 | +11.4% |
| 1996 | +25.3% |
| 2000 | +18.3% |
| 2004 | +8.7% |
| 2008 | +45.2% |
| 2012 | +42.7% |
| 2016 | +32.2% |
| 2020 | +29.5% |
| 2024 | +23.1% |
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 60.6%Harris313,044 | 37.5%Trump193,661 | 0.8%Stein4,387 | 516,701 | ||
| D | 63.7%Biden366,130 | 34.3%Trump196,864 | 1.0%Jorgensen5,539 | 574,469 | ||
| D | 62.2%Clinton266,891 | 30.0%Trump128,847 | 3.7%Johnson15,954 | 428,937 | ||
| D | 70.5%Obama306,266 | 27.9%Romney120,937 | 0.9%Johnson3,840 | 434,221 | ||
| D | 71.8%Obama325,201 | 26.6%McCain120,429 | 0.8%Nader3,825 | 452,742 | ||
| D | 54.0%Kerry231,335 | 45.3%Bush194,116 | 0.4%Cobb1,737 | 428,555 | ||
| D | 55.8%Gore205,242 | 37.5%Bush137,819 | 5.9%Nader21,623 | 367,871 | ||
| D | 56.9%Clinton205,012 | 31.6%Dole113,943 | 7.6%Perot27,358 | 360,120 | ||
| D | 48.1%Clinton179,310 | 36.7%Bush136,822 | 14.2%Perot53,003 | 372,842 | ||
| D | 54.3%Dukakis192,364 | 44.8%Bush158,625 | 0.6%Paul1,999 | 354,461 | ||
| R | 43.8%Mondale147,098 | 55.1%Reagan184,934 | 0.6%Bergland2,167 | 335,674 | ||
| D | 44.8%Carter135,857 | 42.9%Reagan130,085 | 10.6%Anderson32,021 | 303,228 | ||
| D | 50.6%Carter147,375 | 48.1%Ford140,003 | 1.3%Macbride3,923 | 291,301 | ||
| R | 37.5%McGovern101,409 | 62.5%Nixon168,865 | 0.0% | 270,274 | ||
| D | 59.8%Humphrey141,324 | 38.7%Nixon91,425 | 1.5%Wallace3,469 | 236,218 | ||
| D | 78.8%Johnson163,249 | 21.2%Goldwater44,022 | 0.0% | 207,271 | ||
| D | 50.0%Kennedy92,410 | 50.0%Nixon92,295 | 0.0% | 184,705 | ||
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2026 election
On the ballot
Governorno nominee yet
Josh Greenpresumptive nomineeGary Cordery
Incumbent Josh Green (D) is running for re-election to a second term and is the heavy favorite/presumptive nominee (rated Safe/Solid D); he faces only minor Democratic primary opposition. The Aug 8 primary has not occurred. Republicans are not seriously contesting; Gary Cordery and Ken Fujiyama are minor GOP candidates with no clear frontrunner.
Source · Akashic 2026 forecast.
Congressional elections · 50 House races · 19 Senate races
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 2 | 69.0% | 29.2% | 478,766 | |
| D 2 | 67.8% | 30.9% | 401,174 | |
| D 2 | 67.4% | 29.5% | 526,535 | |
| D 2 | 75.3% | 22.8% | 382,332 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 64.6%324,194 | 31.9%160,075 | 501,763 |
| 2022 | D | 71.2%290,894 | 26.0%106,358 | 408,517 |
| 2018 | D | 71.2%276,316 | 28.8%112,035 | 388,351 |
| 2016 | D | 73.6%306,604 | 22.2%92,653 | 416,562 |
| 2014 | D | 69.8%246,827 | 27.7%98,006 | 353,774 |
| 2012 | D | 62.6%269,489 | 37.4%160,994 | 430,483 |
| 2010 | D | 74.8%277,228 | 21.6%79,939 | 370,583 |
| 2006 | D | 61.3%210,330 | 36.8%126,097 | 342,842 |
| 2004 | D | 75.5%313,629 | 21.0%87,172 | 415,347 |
| 2000 | D | 72.7%251,215 | 24.5%84,701 | 345,623 |
| 1998 | D | 79.2%315,252 | 17.8%70,964 | 398,124 |
| 1994 | D | 71.8%256,189 | 24.2%86,320 | 356,902 |
| 1992 | D | 57.3%208,266 | 26.9%97,928 | 363,662 |
| 1990 | D | 54.0%188,901 | 44.6%155,978 | 349,666 |
| 1988 | D | 76.6%247,941 | 20.7%66,987 | 323,876 |
| 1986 | D | 73.6%241,887 | 26.4%86,910 | 328,797 |
| 1982 | D | 80.1%245,386 | 17.0%52,071 | 306,410 |
| 1980 | D | 77.9%224,485 | 18.4%53,068 | 288,006 |
| 1976 | D | 53.7%162,305 | 40.6%122,724 | 302,092 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 751,483 |
| 2018 | 756,751 |
| 2020 | 832,466 |
| 2022 | 861,475 |
| 2024 | 861,333 |
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)
Kennedy carried the new state by 115 votes in 1960; Hawaii has voted Democratic in every election since but two.
- Democratic since its first vote
- D+0.1 in 1960 (a 115-vote win) → D+23.1 in 2024; Republican only in 1972 and 1984 · MIT Election Lab
- The 2024 shift
- D+29.5 (2020) → D+23.1 (2024) — a 6.4-pt move toward Trump, near the national average · MIT Election Lab
- Where it moved
- All four counties moved toward Trump — Maui D+35.4→D+25.9, Honolulu D+26.9→D+21.7; none flipped · MIT Election Lab 2024
- The only Asian-plurality state
- Asian 36.4% (Filipino 14.3, Japanese 11.7); no group a majority — Two or more races 21%, White 20.9% · ACS 2024 5-year (B03002)
- Largest Native Hawaiian share
- Native Hawaiian 6.1%; the U.S. center of Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander population · ACS 2024 5-year
- Affluent and secular
- Median household income $100,389 (4th of 50, vs $80,734 U.S.); 59.7% claim no religion · ACS 2024 5-year; 2020 U.S. Religion Census
Political twins — states
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Delaware
Delaware
59.3twin score
2000–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity
New York
New York
57.9twin score
12-yr trend2000–2016 trajectory≠ elasticity
Illinois
Illinois
55.6twin score
2000–2016 trajectory≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hawaii. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/HI/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Hawaii at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Hawaii
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Frequently asked questions
How did Hawaii vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hawaii voted Democratic by 23.1 points (D+23.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 516,701 votes cast, 313,044 went Democratic and 193,661 went Republican.
When did Hawaii last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Hawaii voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Hawaii?
Hawaii has a population of 1,445,168 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hawaii?
Median household income in Hawaii is $100,389 — above the national median of $80,734. The Hawaii state median is $100,389.
What is the political history of Hawaii?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Hawaii from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 2 went Republican.