HarrisDemocratic60.6%313,044TrumpRepublican37.5%193,661SteinG0.8%4,387
D+23.1- Lead
- 119,383
- Total
- 516,701
- vs nation
- D+24.6
- Turnout
- 49.5%
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+23.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 1,445,1682024 5-year
- Population density
- 225 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 6,411 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $100,3892024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 20.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+57.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+25.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Delaware, DE · twin score 59.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 49.5%522,236 participants ÷ 1,054,555 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- 0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 33.0%–39.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 437,697 | 1,006,727 | 43.5% | E/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 398,657 | 1,016,556 | 39.2% | E/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 580,098 | 1,020,517 | 56.8% | E/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 423,443 | 1,050,736 | 40.3% | E/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 522,236 | 1,054,555 | 49.5% | E/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:lower bound:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 275/110.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:lower bound:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 278/137.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:lower bound:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 281/1.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:lower bound:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 284/182.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-state-v1:lower bound:aggregated; allocation share 0.0%; series 287/227.
presidential history
Party record book
Hawaii · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1960–2024 · 17 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
78.8%
163,249 votes · D+57.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 71.8%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
62.5%
168,865 votes · R+25.0
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 55.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
366,130votes
63.7% of the vote · D+29.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 325,201 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
196,864votes
34.3% of the vote · D+29.5
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 194,116 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+38.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+42.7 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +38.0 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
+1.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+25.0 · U.S. R+23.2
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1960 · +0.1 pts
2026 election
On the ballot
Governor
Josh GreennomineeGary Corderynominee
Gov. Josh Green won the Aug 8 Democratic primary with 81.7%. Gary Cordery took the Republican primary with 66.6%. No nonpartisan candidate met the HRS 12-41 threshold.
U.S. House elections · 50 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 2 | 69.0% | 29.2% | 478,766 | |
| D 2 | 67.8% | 30.9% | 401,174 | |
| D 2 | 67.4% | 29.5% | 526,535 | |
| D 2 | 75.3% | 22.8% | 382,332 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 751,483 |
| 2018 | 756,751 |
| 2020 | 832,466 |
| 2022 | 861,475 |
| 2024 | 861,333 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−8,876 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −124,412 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −889 |
| 2012 | −3,061 |
| 2013 | −764 |
| 2014 | −5,709 |
| 2015 | −6,817 |
| 2016 | −11,455 |
| 2017 | −14,452 |
| 2018 | −12,910 |
| 2019 | −13,817 |
| 2021 | −9,849 |
| 2022 | −15,999 |
| 2023 | −11,328 |
| 2024 | −8,486 |
| 2025 | −8,876 |
Kennedy carried the new state by 115 votes in 1960; Hawaii has voted Democratic in every election since but two.
- Democratic since its first vote
- D+0.1 in 1960 (a 115-vote win) → D+23.1 in 2024; Republican only in 1972 and 1984 · MIT Election Lab
- The 2024 shift
- D+29.5 (2020) → D+23.1 (2024) — a 6.4-pt move toward Trump, near the national average · MIT Election Lab
- Where it moved
- All four counties moved toward Trump — Maui D+35.4→D+25.9, Honolulu D+26.9→D+21.7; none flipped · MIT Election Lab 2024
- The only Asian-plurality state
- Asian 36.4% (Filipino 14.3, Japanese 11.7); no group a majority — Two or more races 21%, White 20.9% · ACS 2024 5-year (B03002)
- Largest Native Hawaiian share
- Native Hawaiian 6.1%; the U.S. center of Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander population · ACS 2024 5-year
- Affluent and secular
- Median household income $100,389 (4th of 50, vs $80,734 U.S.); 59.7% claim no religion · ACS 2024 5-year; 2020 U.S. Religion Census
Political twins — states
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Delaware
Delaware
59.3twin score
2000–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity
New York
New York
57.9twin score
12-yr trend2000–2016 trajectory≠ elasticity
Illinois
Illinois
55.6twin score
2000–2016 trajectory≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hawaii. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/HI/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Hawaii at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Hawaii
More in Hawaii
Frequently asked questions
How did Hawaii vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hawaii voted Democratic by 23.1 points (D+23.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 516,701 votes cast, 313,044 went Democratic and 193,661 went Republican.
When did Hawaii last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Hawaii voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Hawaii?
Hawaii has a population of 1,445,168 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hawaii?
Median household income in Hawaii is $100,389 — above the national median of $80,734. The Hawaii state median is $100,389.
What is the political history of Hawaii?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Hawaii from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 2 went Republican.