Kaneohe, Hawaii
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +8.1% |
| 2008 | +45.5% |
| 2012 | +43.5% |
| 2016 | +30.5% |
| 2020 | +32.2% |
| 2024 | +27.3% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 62.7%Harris9,761 | 35.3%Trump5,502 | 2.0% | D+27.3 | R+4.9 | D+28.8 | 15,579 | |
| D | 65.1%Biden11,015 | 32.9%Trump5,566 | 2.0% | D+32.2 | D+1.7 | D+27.8 | 16,911 | |
| D | 61.6%Clinton8,290 | 31.1%Trump4,185 | 7.3% | D+30.5 | R+13.0 | D+28.4 | 13,456 | |
| D | 71.1%Obama10,008 | 27.6%Romney3,887 | 1.3% | D+43.5 | R+2.0 | D+39.6 | 14,082 | |
| D | 72.1%Obama11,098 | 26.7%McCain4,104 | 1.2% | D+45.5 | D+37.4 | D+38.2 | 15,385 | |
| D | 53.9%Kerry7,882 | 45.8%Bush6,698 | 0.4% | D+8.1 | — | D+10.5 | 14,635 |
Kāne'ohe sits on O'ahu's rainy windward coast and blends Marine Corps Base Hawaii personnel with long-established Native Hawaiian and Asian-American civilian populations, producing a demographic mix that shifts precinct-level results notably from Honolulu's urban core.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 45.5 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 27.3 points.
A population of 37,355, a 16% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $125,613 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pearl City and Mililani Town.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Kaneohe, Hawaii. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1528250/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.