- Lead
- 443
- Total
- 9,904
- vs nation
- D+5.9
Hawaii 46th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,819
- Total
- 11,151
- vs nation
- D+11.9
- Lead
- 1,977
- Total
- 8,545
- vs nation
- D+21.0
- Lead
- 2,810
- Total
- 8,721
- vs nation
- D+28.4
- Lead
- 3,118
- Total
- 9,018
- vs nation
- D+27.3
- Lead
- 447
- Total
- 9,080
- vs nation
- R+2.5
- Lead
- 610
- Total
- 7,730
- vs nation
- D+7.4
- Lead
- 1,216
- Total
- 7,682
- vs nation
- D+7.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+4.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 51,0802024 5-year
- Population density
- 589 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 86.7 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $87,3502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 25.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 17.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+51.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+33.4 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 42, HI · twin score 94.3
presidential history
Party record book
Hawaii 46th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1960–2024 · 17 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
75.6%
3,421 votes · D+51.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 66.7%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
66.7%
4,316 votes · R+33.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 60.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
6,350votes
56.9% of the vote · D+16.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 6,012 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
4,737votes
52.2% of the vote · R+4.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 4,641 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
+28.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+51.2 · U.S. D+22.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +28.4 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
+10.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+33.4 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Gerald Ford, 1976 · +7.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
A D+4.5 presidential margin in 2024 makes this district notably closer than most of Hawaiʻi, signaling a constituency where local candidate strength and turnout patterns can meaningfully shift outcomes.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 33.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 11.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.5 points.
A population of 51,080, a 26% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $87,350 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 42 and State House District 31.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Hawaii 46th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/15046/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.