Akashic
1876–2024
U.S. Senate / Class 2

New Mexico — U.S. Senate

ForecastA single, locked expectationas of June 22, 2026. Predicted outcomes, never results.

The call

Safe D

We expect Democratic to win 96%.

RatingSafe D
Win probabilityD 96%
Predicted margin
The substrate
2024 baselineD+6.0
2020 resultD+6.1
Seat held byDemocratic

The rating is grounded in this seat’s record on Akashic — its partisan lean, same-office history, and demographics. Read the full profile on the NM state page.

On election night this page will show the live result beside the call; after certification it joins the permanent record and is scored. · All U.S. Senate races →