akashic
1876–2024
Lincoln County, New Mexico
Lincoln County·New Mexico

Lincoln County has voted Republican for as long as anyone can remember.

A vast, lightly populated county where ranching and tourism shape the ballot

18762024·38 elections
Lincoln County, New Mexico · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+38
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
20,224
2024 ACS
Most similar
Churchill County
NV · similarity 1.00
29 precincts · 10,165 votes cast
Trump · R+38
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−38.5%
3,0336,94210,165
2020R
−36.4%
3,1946,94210,306
2016R
−40.0%
2,3315,8968,902
2012R
−32.7%
2,9425,9619,242
2008R
−25.4%
3,5356,0019,696
2004R
−36.0%
2,8226,0709,014
2000R
−35.9%
2,0274,4586,772
1996R
−18.5%
2,2093,3966,411
1992R
−16.0%
1,7302,6695,857
1988R
−34.4%
1,6903,5115,288
1984R
−55.2%
1,1343,9925,182
1980R
−43.0%
1,1273,0094,374
1976R
−24.0%
1,4152,3203,764
1972R
−55.9%
6962,5283,280
1968R
−38.7%
8022,0043,106
1964R
−5.8%
1,5651,7613,351
1960R
−16.6%
1,4592,0423,503
1956R
−29.7%
1,0591,9563,020
1952R
−29.3%
1,0952,0043,106
1948R
−5.6%
1,4061,5753,005
1944R
−4.0%
1,3421,4552,801
1940R
−0.9%
1,7631,7943,570
1936D
+12.1%
2,0211,5793,641
1932D
+30.8%
2,2251,1723,418
1928R
−28.9%
8211,4892,315
1924R
−11.3%
8371,0872,216
1920R
−16.1%
1,0471,4562,540
1916R
−1.4%
8638891,796
1912D
+0.8%
4614521,127
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900
No data
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
0.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
22.0%
Baptist
8.5%
Other Christian
8.1%
Mainline Protestant
3.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.7%
Methodist
2.0%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 53.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Lincoln County stretches across the Sacramento Mountains and the historic Billy the Kid corridor, drawing a sparse, rural electorate that has delivered Republican presidential margins above 35 points in recent cycles.

The Republican margin in Lincoln County reached its widest at fifty-six points in 1972. The margin in 2024 was thirty-eight points, in line with the county's deep historical pattern.

Lincoln County's loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $53,303, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 20,224 together describe a community whose political habits are deeply settled. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Churchill County and Dawes County.