- Lead
- 490
- Total
- 11,961
- vs nation
- R+2.6
New Mexico 38th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 486
- Total
- 11,813
- vs nation
- R+0.3
- Lead
- 461
- Total
- 10,639
- vs nation
- D+2.2
- Lead
- 920
- Total
- 10,469
- vs nation
- D+4.9
- Lead
- 1,387
- Total
- 11,251
- vs nation
- D+5.1
- Lead
- 173
- Total
- 10,595
- vs nation
- D+0.8
- Lead
- 189
- Total
- 8,813
- vs nation
- R+2.7
- Lead
- 1,058
- Total
- 8,466
- vs nation
- D+4.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+4.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,6802024 5-year
- Population density
- 6.3 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 4,861 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $50,6032024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 33.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 59.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.5 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+22.2 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 35, NM · twin score 93.6
presidential history
Party record book
New Mexico 38th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
63.4%
2,498 votes · D+27.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 57.3%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
61.1%
2,583 votes · R+22.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 60.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
6,212votes
55.2% of the vote · D+12.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 5,997 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
6,081votes
50.8% of the vote · R+4.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,511 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Smith1928
+11.2pts D vs U.S.
Place R+6.3 · U.S. R+17.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +9.7 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1968
+11.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+12.4 · U.S. R+0.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +9.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
New Mexico House District 38 sits near the partisan midpoint for a state that leans Democratic statewide, making it a consistent focus for both parties in legislative cycles. Its 30,000-resident base reflects the rural-to-suburban mix common to central New Mexico.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 22.2 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 8.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.1 points.
A population of 30,680, a 34% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,603 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 35 and State House District 36.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
New Mexico 38th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/35038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.