American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.
Deming, NM, New Mexico
Akashic
Deming, NMTrumpR+18.9
18922024
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican
58.3%
4,698
Kamala HarrisDemocratic
39.4%
3,176
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Independent
2.3%
182
D+60R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Deming, NM, NM — winner and D-vs-R margin.
County
Winner
Margin
Luna County, NM
Republican
R+18.9
Akashic
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Total
R
39.4%Harris3,176
58.3%Trump4,698
2.3%Kennedy182
−18.9%
8,056
R
44.0%Biden3,563
54.4%Trump4,408
1.6%Jorgensen132
−10.4%
8,103
R
43.8%Clinton3,195
47.7%Trump3,478
8.5%Johnson622
−3.9%
7,295
R
47.8%Obama3,583
48.9%Romney3,670
3.3%Johnson247
−1.2%
7,500
D
51.7%Obama4,311
46.4%McCain3,870
1.9%Nader159
+5.3%
8,340
R
44.0%Kerry3,340
54.8%Bush4,164
1.2%Nader89
−10.9%
7,593
R
45.0%Gore2,975
51.3%Bush3,395
3.7%Nader242
−6.4%
6,612
D
47.4%Clinton3,001
41.4%Dole2,616
11.2%Perot709
+6.1%
6,326
D
42.0%Clinton2,637
34.5%Bush2,166
23.4%Perot1,469
+7.5%
6,272
R
46.2%Dukakis3,066
51.5%Bush3,415
2.3%Paul155
−5.3%
6,636
R
37.7%Mondale2,557
61.2%Reagan4,145
1.1%Bergland74
−23.4%
6,776
R
38.5%Carter2,443
57.3%Reagan3,636
4.2%Anderson267
−18.8%
6,346
R
48.7%Carter2,872
50.2%Ford2,966
1.1%Camejo65
−1.6%
5,903
R
33.4%McGovern1,560
63.2%Nixon2,958
3.4%Schmitz159
−29.9%
4,677
R
36.9%Humphrey1,438
50.1%Nixon1,952
13.0%Wallace506
−13.2%
3,896
D
57.6%Johnson2,286
42.0%Goldwater1,665
0.5%Hass18
+15.6%
3,969
D
51.7%Kennedy1,708
47.9%Nixon1,583
0.5%Byrd15
+3.8%
3,306
R
49.1%Stevenson1,506
49.8%Eisenhower1,526
1.1%Andrews35
−0.7%
3,067
R
43.0%Stevenson1,332
55.9%Eisenhower1,729
1.1%Hallinan34
−12.8%
3,095
D
63.0%Truman1,629
36.4%Dewey941
0.5%Thurmond14
+26.6%
2,584
D
56.2%Roosevelt1,383
43.7%Dewey1,074
0.1%Thomas2
+12.6%
2,459
D
56.4%Roosevelt1,388
43.3%Willkie1,066
0.2%Thomas6
+13.1%
2,460
D
63.4%Roosevelt1,500
34.1%Landon806
2.6%Lemke61
+29.3%
2,367
D
70.2%Roosevelt1,605
28.0%Hoover641
1.7%Thomas40
+42.2%
2,286
R
42.7%Smith647
56.8%Hoover860
0.5%Thomas7
−14.1%
1,514
R
36.4%Davis596
43.3%Coolidge709
20.3%La Follette333
−6.9%
1,638
D
53.5%Cox1,000
44.6%Harding834
1.8%Debs34
+8.9%
1,868
D
63.0%Wilson796
33.1%Hughes418
3.9%Benson49
+29.9%
1,263
D
56.3%Wilson461
9.9%Taft81
33.8%Roosevelt277
+46.4%
819
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Akashic
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1912
+46.4%
1916
+29.9%
1920
+8.9%
1924
−6.9%
1928
−14.1%
1932
+42.2%
1936
+29.3%
1940
+13.1%
1944
+12.6%
1948
+26.6%
1952
−12.8%
1956
−0.7%
1960
+3.8%
1964
+15.6%
1968
−13.2%
1972
−29.9%
1976
−1.6%
1980
−18.8%
1984
−23.4%
1988
−5.3%
1992
+7.5%
1996
+6.1%
2000
−6.4%
2004
−10.9%
2008
+5.3%
2012
−1.2%
2016
−3.9%
2020
−10.4%
2024
−18.9%
DemocraticRepublican
Deming anchors Luna County, a predominantly Hispanic community along the New Mexico–Chihuahua border where presidential margins have shifted sharply across recent cycles, making it a close-watched bellwether for rural border-county trends statewide.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 46.4 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 29.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 8.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.9 points.
A population of 25,611, a 28% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $36,419 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kingsville, TX and Uvalde, TX.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Deming, NM, New Mexico. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/19700/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Deming, NM, New Mexico voted Republican by 18.9 points (R+18.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 8,056 votes cast, 3,176 went Democratic and 4,698 went Republican.
When did Deming, NM, New Mexico last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Deming, NM, New Mexico voted Democratic was 2008.
How many people live in Deming, NM, New Mexico?
Deming, NM, New Mexico has a population of 25,611 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Deming, NM, New Mexico?
Median household income in Deming, NM, New Mexico is $36,419 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Mexico state median is $64,059.
What is the political history of Deming, NM, New Mexico?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Deming, NM, New Mexico from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.