Uvalde, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −8.6% |
| 2008 | +9.3% |
| 2012 | +10.1% |
| 2016 | +7.9% |
| 2020 | −3.9% |
| 2024 | −18.8% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 40.3%Harris2,086 | 59.1%Trump3,061 | 0.7% | R+18.8 | R+14.9 | R+17.3 | 5,182 | |
| R | 47.7%Biden2,679 | 51.6%Trump2,896 | 0.7% | R+3.9 | R+11.7 | R+8.3 | 5,612 | |
| D | 52.2%Clinton2,545 | 44.4%Trump2,162 | 3.4% | D+7.9 | R+2.2 | D+5.8 | 4,871 | |
| D | 54.6%Obama2,494 | 44.5%Romney2,032 | 1.0% | D+10.1 | D+0.9 | D+6.3 | 4,570 | |
| D | 54.1%Obama2,681 | 44.8%McCain2,222 | 1.1% | D+9.3 | D+17.8 | D+2.0 | 4,960 | |
| R | 45.5%Kerry2,197 | 54.0%Bush2,610 | 0.5% | R+8.6 | — | R+6.1 | 4,829 |
Uvalde sits in the Balcones Escarpment borderlands, where a Hispanic-majority electorate has historically leaned Democratic in local races even as statewide Republican margins held firm in surrounding Uvalde County.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 10.1 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 18.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 14.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.8 points.
A population of 15,417, a 15% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,141 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Del Rio and Deming.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Uvalde, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4874588/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.