akashic
1876–2024
Baylor County, Texas
Baylor County·Texas

For eighty-four years, Baylor County voted Democratic. Then it stopped.

One of Texas's most lopsided presidential margins in 2024

18762024·38 elections
Baylor County, Texas · Larry D. Moore · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+77
in 2024
Archetype
Realigner
since the recent cycles
Population
3,485
2024 ACS
Most similar
Hardeman County
TX · similarity 1.00
4 precincts · 1,675 votes cast
Trump · R+77
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−76.8%
1841,4711,675
2020R
−77.0%
1831,4941,702
2016R
−71.8%
1911,2671,499
2012R
−64.7%
2671,2971,592
2008R
−54.5%
3661,2621,643
2004R
−42.8%
4671,1691,640
2000R
−31.4%
6631,2851,984
1996D
+4.6%
9558602,086
1992D
+17.8%
9906112,132
1988D
+11.5%
1,1539142,070
1984R
−12.6%
1,0191,3142,346
1980D
+3.7%
1,1831,0982,306
1976D
+25.9%
1,3357832,130
1972R
−33.1%
5981,1901,789
1968D
+18.8%
1,0646572,164
1964D
+56.5%
1,4033891,794
1960D
+25.4%
1,1997131,913
1956D
+18.8%
1,0477151,766
1952D
+13.0%
1,1428792,024
1948D
+84.8%
1,5221011,676
1944D
+81.9%
1,5681021,789
1940D
+84.6%
1,6671391,807
1936D
+87.8%
1,5411001,642
1932D
+92.6%
1,437551,493
1928D
+23.0%
7844911,275
1924D
+75.4%
1,0121351,163
1920D
+57.4%
632139859
1916D
+79.4%
71147836
1912D
+75.4%
55115711
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900
No data
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
1.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
47.2%
Catholic & Orthodox
20.9%
Other Christian
18.1%
Methodist
6.9%
Mainline Protestant
3.8%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 3.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

This sparsely populated ranching county in north-central Texas recorded an R+76.8 margin in 2024, making it among the most one-sided presidential results in the state. Fewer than 4,100 residents live across its 871 square miles.

The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Baylor County peaked at ninety-three points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 2000 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of thirty-one points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.

The economic and demographic context is severe. Baylor County's median household income of $45,370 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 22% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hardeman County and Comanche County.