HarrisDemocratic24.6%13,624TrumpRepublican74.3%41,198OliverLibertarian0.7%371
R+49.8- Lead
- 27,574
- Total
- 55,417
- vs nation
- R+48.3
- Turnout
- 53.5%
Akashiccounty
Taylor County, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 53.5% of 105,438 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic26.4%14,588TrumpRepublican71.6%39,547JorgensenLibertarian1.5%827
R+45.2- Lead
- 24,959
- Total
- 55,233
- vs nation
- R+49.6
- Turnout
- 55.8%
ClintonDemocratic22.0%10,085TrumpRepublican72.7%33,250JohnsonLibertarian3.9%1,763
R+50.6- Lead
- 23,165
- Total
- 45,759
- vs nation
- R+52.7
- Turnout
- 47.9%
ObamaDemocratic22.5%9,750RomneyRepublican76.1%32,904GrayLibertarian1.1%476
R+53.5- Lead
- 23,154
- Total
- 43,263
- vs nation
- R+57.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic26.8%12,690McCainRepublican72.3%34,317OtherAll other candidates0.9%432
R+45.6- Lead
- 21,627
- Total
- 47,439
- vs nation
- R+52.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic22.1%10,648BushRepublican77.3%37,197OtherAll other candidates0.5%254
R+55.2- Lead
- 26,549
- Total
- 48,099
- vs nation
- R+52.7
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic24.4%10,504BushRepublican73.7%31,701NaderGreen1.4%589
R+49.3- Lead
- 21,197
- Total
- 43,020
- vs nation
- R+49.8
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic33.0%13,213DoleRepublican59.2%23,682PerotReform7.3%2,912
R+26.2- Lead
- 10,469
- Total
- 40,021
- vs nation
- R+34.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 145,8632024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,1392024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 61.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 25.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+84.8 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wichita County, TX · twin score 94.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 53.5%56,431 participants ÷ 105,438 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 36.2%–41.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 47,078 | 98,232 | 47.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 41,351 | 98,665 | 41.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 55,112 | 98,752 | 55.8% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 39,605 | 102,858 | 38.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 56,431 | 105,438 | 53.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
34 precincts · 55,417 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 306Precinct 306 | 744 | 2,924 | 42 | 3,710 | 20.1% | 78.8% | R+58.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 307Precinct 307 | 602 | 2,792 | 36 | 3,430 | 17.6% | 81.4% | R+63.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 408Precinct 408 | 416 | 2,717 | 23 | 3,156 | 13.2% | 86.1% | R+72.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 305Precinct 305 | 531 | 1,970 | 30 | 2,531 | 21.0% | 77.8% | R+56.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 401Precinct 401 | 498 | 1,899 | 34 | 2,431 | 20.5% | 78.1% | R+57.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 101Precinct 101 | 722 | 1,555 | 35 | 2,312 | 31.2% | 67.3% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 406Precinct 406 | 657 | 1,614 | 20 | 2,291 | 28.7% | 70.4% | R+41.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 105Precinct 105 | 673 | 1,477 | 29 | 2,179 | 30.9% | 67.8% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 304Precinct 304 | 633 | 1,467 | 15 | 2,115 | 29.9% | 69.4% | R+39.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 303Precinct 303 | 175 | 1,869 | 8 | 2,052 | 8.5% | 91.1% | R+82.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 203Precinct 203 | 676 | 1,293 | 28 | 1,997 | 33.9% | 64.7% | R+30.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 402Precinct 402 | 659 | 1,307 | 31 | 1,997 | 33.0% | 65.4% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 104Precinct 104 | 469 | 1,352 | 20 | 1,841 | 25.5% | 73.4% | R+48.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 206Precinct 206 | 242 | 1,588 | 9 | 1,839 | 13.2% | 86.4% | R+73.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 205Precinct 205 | 580 | 1,075 | 18 | 1,673 | 34.7% | 64.3% | R+29.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 301Precinct 301 | 497 | 1,116 | 22 | 1,635 | 30.4% | 68.3% | R+37.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 302Precinct 302 | 406 | 1,144 | 13 | 1,563 | 26.0% | 73.2% | R+47.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 103Precinct 103 | 488 | 1,031 | 17 | 1,536 | 31.8% | 67.1% | R+35.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 308Precinct 308 | 200 | 1,320 | 5 | 1,525 | 13.1% | 86.6% | R+73.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 102Precinct 102 | 464 | 1,014 | 25 | 1,503 | 30.9% | 67.5% | R+36.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 403Precinct 403 | 516 | 868 | 32 | 1,416 | 36.4% | 61.3% | R+24.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 202Precinct 202 | 543 | 846 | 14 | 1,403 | 38.7% | 60.3% | R+21.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 404Precinct 404 | 509 | 871 | 10 | 1,390 | 36.6% | 62.7% | R+26.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 204Precinct 204 | 337 | 1,024 | 16 | 1,377 | 24.5% | 74.4% | R+49.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 108Precinct 108 | 139 | 983 | 9 | 1,131 | 12.3% | 86.9% | R+74.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 405Precinct 405 | 313 | 673 | 15 | 1,001 | 31.3% | 67.2% | R+36.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 407Precinct 407 | 211 | 702 | 6 | 919 | 23.0% | 76.4% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 409Precinct 409 | 51 | 793 | 5 | 849 | 6.0% | 93.4% | R+87.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 201Precinct 201 | 312 | 497 | 12 | 821 | 38.0% | 60.5% | R+22.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 106Precinct 106 | 231 | 575 | 8 | 814 | 28.4% | 70.6% | R+42.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 107Precinct 107 | 70 | 388 | 5 | 463 | 15.1% | 83.8% | R+68.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 207Precinct 207 | 30 | 191 | 0 | 221 | 13.6% | 86.4% | R+72.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 109Precinct 109 | 24 | 186 | 2 | 212 | 11.3% | 87.7% | R+76.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 110Precinct 110 | 6 | 77 | 1 | 84 | 7.1% | 91.7% | R+84.5 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +72.2% |
| 1908 | +75.1% |
| 1912 | +78.6% |
| 1916 | +84.8% |
| 1920 | +66.9% |
| 1924 | +74.2% |
| 1928 | −36.3% |
| 1932 | +78.1% |
| 1936 | +79.6% |
| 1940 | +77.6% |
| 1944 | +75.7% |
| 1948 | +62.9% |
| 1952 | −12.7% |
| 1956 | −13.8% |
| 1960 | −13.4% |
| 1964 | +18.3% |
| 1968 | −12.1% |
| 1972 | −57.1% |
| 1976 | −15.5% |
| 1980 | −26.2% |
| 1984 | −56.1% |
| 1988 | −36.9% |
| 1992 | −22.5% |
| 1996 | −26.2% |
| 2000 | −49.3% |
| 2004 | −55.2% |
| 2008 | −45.6% |
| 2012 | −53.5% |
| 2016 | −50.6% |
| 2020 | −45.2% |
| 2024 | −49.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 78,656 |
| 2018 | 80,159 |
| 2020 | 83,696 |
| 2022 | 86,089 |
| 2024 | 89,791 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+732 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,158 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,804 in average income, against $81,507 for residents who stayed — 32% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+33.1 on average — 17 points more Democratic-leaning than Taylor County, TX itself (R+49.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Jones County, TX213R+73.1
- Tarrant County, TX199R+5.1
- Callahan County, TX188R+77.5
- Dallas County, TX117D+22.2
- Tom Green County, TX100R+48.0
- Lubbock County, TX99R+39.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Tarrant County, TX241
- Callahan County, TX224
- Jones County, TX211
- Dallas County, TX133
- Bexar County, TX125
- Lubbock County, TX116
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −44 |
| 2012 | −13 |
| 2013 | −1,274 |
| 2014 | −158 |
| 2015 | −89 |
| 2016 | −975 |
| 2017 | −675 |
| 2018 | −130 |
| 2019 | −107 |
| 2021 | +167 |
| 2022 | +644 |
| 2023 | +794 |
| 2024 | −30 |
| 2025 | +732 |
Taylor County's presidential margins have exceeded R+45 in each of the last four cycles, driven by a population concentrated in Abilene — a mid-sized city whose military and energy-sector workforce tilts heavily Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.8 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 57.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.8 points.
A population of 145,863, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,139 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wichita County and Randall County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Wichita County
Texas
94.6twin score
12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectory% Evangelical
Randall County
Texas
90.7twin score
12-yr trend2000–2012 trajectory
Tom Green County
Texas
90.4twin score
2000–2008 trajectory12-yr trend≠ % Latino
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Taylor County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48441/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Cities & towns in Taylor County
Texas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Taylor County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Taylor County, Texas voted Republican by 49.8 points (R+49.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 55,417 votes cast, 13,624 went Democratic and 41,198 went Republican.
When did Taylor County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Taylor County, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Taylor County, Texas?
Taylor County, Texas has a population of 145,863 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Taylor County, Texas?
Median household income in Taylor County, Texas is $67,139 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Taylor County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Taylor County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.