HarrisDemocratic25.5%11,585TrumpRepublican73.5%33,399OliverLibertarian0.7%308
R+48.0- Lead
- 21,814
- Total
- 45,460
- vs nation
- R+46.5
- Turnout
- 52.2%
Akashiccounty
Tom Green County, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1904–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 52.2% of 87,795 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic27.1%12,239TrumpRepublican71.5%32,313JorgensenLibertarian1.2%546
R+44.4- Lead
- 20,074
- Total
- 45,210
- vs nation
- R+48.9
- Turnout
- 52.1%
ClintonDemocratic23.8%9,173TrumpRepublican71.5%27,494JohnsonLibertarian3.6%1,402
R+47.6- Lead
- 18,321
- Total
- 38,479
- vs nation
- R+49.7
- Turnout
- 46.3%
ObamaDemocratic25.3%9,294RomneyRepublican73.2%26,878GrayLibertarian1.2%450
R+47.9- Lead
- 17,584
- Total
- 36,720
- vs nation
- R+51.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic28.7%11,158McCainRepublican70.4%27,362OtherAll other candidates0.9%341
R+41.7- Lead
- 16,204
- Total
- 38,861
- vs nation
- R+49.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic24.1%9,007BushRepublican75.3%28,185OtherAll other candidates0.6%225
R+51.3- Lead
- 19,178
- Total
- 37,417
- vs nation
- R+48.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic26.8%9,288BushRepublican71.4%24,733NaderGreen1.3%454
R+44.6- Lead
- 15,445
- Total
- 34,626
- vs nation
- R+45.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic35.9%11,782DoleRepublican55.2%18,112PerotReform8.4%2,757
R+19.3- Lead
- 6,330
- Total
- 32,808
- vs nation
- R+27.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+48.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 119,5772024 5-year
- Population density
- 79 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,522 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $68,3702024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 51.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 40.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+81.6 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+51.3 in 2004MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Midland County, TX · twin score 94.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 52.2%45,820 participants ÷ 87,795 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 37.2%–41.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 39,562 | 85,429 | 46.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 35,024 | 86,276 | 40.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 45,210 | 86,797 | 52.1% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 32,290 | 87,009 | 37.1% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 45,820 | 87,795 | 52.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Tom Green County, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1904–2024 · 31 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1916
88.2%
1,243 votes · D+81.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 87.3%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
75.3%
28,185 votes · R+51.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 73.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
12,283votes
36.1% of the vote · R+27.0
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 12,239 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
33,399votes
73.5% of the vote · R+48.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 32,313 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+88.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+69.0 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +87.3 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+51.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+47.9 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +49.7 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 64,614 |
| 2018 | 66,823 |
| 2020 | 70,086 |
| 2022 | 70,922 |
| 2024 | 72,586 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−61 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +2,087 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,143 in average income, against $88,276 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+25.5 on average — 22 points more Democratic-leaning than Tom Green County, TX itself (R+48.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bexar County, TX122D+9.7
- Midland County, TX93R+60.5
- Runnels County, TX90R+77.1
- Tarrant County, TX85R+5.1
- Taylor County, TX81R+49.8
- Travis County, TX66D+39.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bexar County, TX215
- Tarrant County, TX115
- Taylor County, TX100
- Midland County, TX98
- Runnels County, TX76
- Lubbock County, TX74
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +478 |
| 2012 | +758 |
| 2013 | +722 |
| 2014 | +1,082 |
| 2015 | +423 |
| 2016 | −547 |
| 2017 | −494 |
| 2018 | +129 |
| 2019 | +802 |
| 2021 | −897 |
| 2022 | −490 |
| 2023 | −109 |
| 2024 | +291 |
| 2025 | −61 |
Tom Green County, home to San Angelo, delivers some of Texas's most lopsided statewide margins, with its oil-patch economy and sparse rural precincts reinforcing a Republican baseline that has held firm across multiple election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 81.6 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 51.3 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.0 points.
A population of 119,577, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,370 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Midland County and Hockley County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Midland County
Texas
94.1twin score
% Latino12-yr trend2000–2004 trajectory≠ median income
Hockley County
Texas
92.6twin score
% Latino2000–2008 trajectory≠ population scale
Whitfield County
Georgia
91.8twin score
% Latino12-yr trend2004–2008 trajectory≠ English ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tom Green County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48451/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Tom Green County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Tom Green County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tom Green County, Texas voted Republican by 48.0 points (R+48.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 45,460 votes cast, 11,585 went Democratic and 33,399 went Republican.
When did Tom Green County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Tom Green County, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Tom Green County, Texas?
Tom Green County, Texas has a population of 119,577 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tom Green County, Texas?
Median household income in Tom Green County, Texas is $68,370 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Tom Green County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Tom Green County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.