- Lead
- 223
- Total
- 405
- vs nation
- R+53.6
- Turnout
- 60.3%
Terrell County, TX
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.3% of 691 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 215
- Total
- 458
- vs nation
- R+51.4
- Turnout
- 59.5%
- Lead
- 148
- Total
- 438
- vs nation
- R+35.9
- Turnout
- 73.5%
- Lead
- 174
- Total
- 555
- vs nation
- R+35.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 137
- Total
- 519
- vs nation
- R+33.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 147
- Total
- 469
- vs nation
- R+28.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 24
- Total
- 477
- vs nation
- R+5.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 93
- Total
- 519
- vs nation
- D+9.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+55.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 8352024 5-year
- Median household income
- $44,8862024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 50.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 40.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+58.8 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.9 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Quay County, NM · twin score 77.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.3%417 participants ÷ 691 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +0.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -18.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 57.5%–60.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 447 | 608 | 73.5% | A/D |
| 2018 · Midterm | 490 | 720 | 68.1% | A/D |
| 2020 · Presidential | 466 | 783 | 59.5% | A/D |
| 2022 · Midterm | 442 | 746 | 59.2% | A/D |
| 2024 · Presidential | 417 | 691 | 60.3% | A/D |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
7 precincts · 405 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 13 | 104 | 0 | 117 | 11.1% | 88.9% | R+77.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 22 | 79 | 0 | 101 | 21.8% | 78.2% | R+56.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2APrecinct 2A | 29 | 49 | 0 | 78 | 37.2% | 62.8% | R+25.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4APrecinct 4A | 13 | 40 | 0 | 53 | 24.5% | 75.5% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4BPrecinct 4B | 5 | 15 | 0 | 20 | 25.0% | 75.0% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2BPrecinct 2B | 6 | 12 | 0 | 18 | 33.3% | 66.7% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4CPrecinct 4C | 3 | 15 | 0 | 18 | 16.7% | 83.3% | R+66.7 |
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | +27.9% |
| 1912 | +41.6% |
| 1916 | +50.4% |
| 1920 | +22.4% |
| 1924 | −4.1% |
| 1928 | −61.9% |
| 1932 | +56.4% |
| 1936 | +58.8% |
| 1940 | +51.6% |
| 1944 | +34.3% |
| 1948 | +35.4% |
| 1952 | −18.1% |
| 1956 | −23.4% |
| 1960 | +9.4% |
| 1964 | +10.6% |
| 1968 | −8.2% |
| 1972 | −58.0% |
| 1976 | +0.6% |
| 1980 | −22.0% |
| 1984 | −16.9% |
| 1988 | +13.6% |
| 1992 | +23.6% |
| 1996 | +17.9% |
| 2000 | −5.0% |
| 2004 | −31.3% |
| 2008 | −26.4% |
| 2012 | −31.4% |
| 2016 | −33.8% |
| 2020 | −46.9% |
| 2024 | −55.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 701 |
| 2018 | 694 |
| 2020 | 673 |
| 2022 | 629 |
| 2024 | 626 |
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+2 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −240 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −58 |
| 2012 | −36 |
| 2013 | −25 |
| 2014 | +11 |
| 2015 | −43 |
| 2016 | −47 |
| 2017 | −8 |
| 2018 | −2 |
| 2019 | −32 |
| 2021 | −16 |
| 2022 | −18 |
| 2023 | +13 |
| 2024 | +19 |
| 2025 | +2 |
Terrell County sits along the Rio Grande in far west Texas with roughly 1,000 residents spread across nearly 2,400 square miles. Its sparse ranching economy has long produced lopsided Republican margins, hitting R+55 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 58.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 61.9 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 8.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 55.1 points.
A population of 835, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $44,886 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Quay County and Cottle County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Terrell County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48443/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.