| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 1,208 | 9,825 | 11,123 | |
| 2020 | R | 1,097 | 8,615 | 9,832 | |
| 2016 | R | 885 | 7,526 | 8,604 | |
| 2012 | R | 1,116 | 6,549 | 7,751 | |
| 2008 | R | 1,597 | 6,245 | 7,950 | |
| 2004 | R | 1,946 | 5,910 | 7,897 | |
| 2000 | R | 2,256 | 4,951 | 7,330 | |
| 1996 | R | 2,718 | 3,029 | 6,626 | |
| 1992 | D | 2,885 | 2,304 | 7,526 | |
| 1988 | D | 3,689 | 3,475 | 7,186 | |
| 1984 | R | 2,602 | 4,406 | 7,030 | |
| 1980 | D | 3,233 | 3,143 | 6,472 | |
| 1976 | D | 4,087 | 2,182 | 6,294 | |
| 1972 | R | 1,286 | 3,463 | 4,768 | |
| 1968 | D | 2,555 | 1,736 | 5,205 | |
| 1964 | D | 3,746 | 1,106 | 4,856 | |
| 1960 | D | 2,346 | 2,101 | 4,465 | |
| 1956 | D | 2,358 | 2,003 | 4,372 | |
| 1952 | D | 3,012 | 2,367 | 5,383 | |
| 1948 | D | 2,872 | 475 | 3,557 | |
| 1944 | D | 2,900 | 429 | 3,710 | |
| 1940 | D | 3,352 | 530 | 3,888 | |
| 1936 | D | 2,789 | 324 | 3,128 | |
| 1932 | D | 3,090 | 262 | 3,381 | |
| 1928 | R | 1,452 | 1,519 | 2,971 | |
| 1924 | D | 2,236 | 586 | 3,269 | |
| 1920 | D | 1,714 | 474 | 2,395 | |
| 1916 | D | 1,803 | 245 | 2,295 | |
| 1912 | D | 1,531 | 151 | 2,148 | |
| 1908 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1904 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1900 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1896 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1892 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1888 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1884 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1880 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1876 | — | — | — | — |
Montague County, anchored by the small city of Nocona, delivered over 88% of its presidential vote to the Republican column in 2024, reflecting the deep-red pattern common to rural North Texas counties with agricultural and ranching economies.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Montague County peaked at eighty-four points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 1996 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of five points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.
The economic and demographic context is severe. Montague County's median household income of $64,545 is among the lowest of any county in the United States; 14% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clay County and Jack County.