Akashic

county

Shelby County, TX

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1904–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1904 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

American16.9%4.6%5.3%

English9.5%7.9%9.5%

German6.2%8.3%12.5%

Irish6.1%6.0%9.4%

French1.8%1.5%1.6%

Scottish1.3%1.3%1.3%

Italian0.7%1.9%4.8%

Norwegian0.5%——

Mexican18.6%32.1%11.3%

Venezuelan0.4%——

Nicaraguan0.3%——

Salvadoran0.2%1.2%0.7%

Spaniard0.2%0.3%—

African American†14.8%10.3%9.9%

African0.3%0.6%0.5%

Maya0.8%——

Native Hawaiian0.7%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Shelby County	Texas	United States
Median age	39.3	35.7	39.1
Age 18–24	8.2%	9.7%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	18.4%	13.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Shelby County	Texas	United States
Median household income	$49,776	$78,476	$84,427
Poverty rate	20.6%	13.8%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	15.1%	33.6%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Shelby County	Texas	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	15.0%	35.2%	22.3%
Spanish	14.8%	28.2%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Shelby County	Texas	United States
Catholic	2.7%	20.1%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	36.8%	23.5%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	46.5%	45.2%	51.5%
Black Protestant	9.0%	2.2%	2.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 59.7% of 16,735 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic17.5%1,741TrumpRepublican82.1%8,164OliverLibertarian0.3%27

R+64.6

Lead: 6,423
Total: 9,948
vs nation: R+63.1
Turnout: 59.7%

BidenDemocratic20.5%2,068TrumpRepublican79.1%7,975JorgensenLibertarian0.4%37

R+58.6

Lead: 5,907
Total: 10,087
vs nation: R+63.0
Turnout: 59.3%

ClintonDemocratic19.3%1,758TrumpRepublican79.0%7,179JohnsonLibertarian1.4%123

R+59.7

Lead: 5,421
Total: 9,086
vs nation: R+61.8
Turnout: 54.0%

ObamaDemocratic25.0%2,322RomneyRepublican74.0%6,879GrayLibertarian0.7%64

R+49.0

Lead: 4,557
Total: 9,292
vs nation: R+52.9
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic27.6%2,548McCainRepublican71.9%6,630OtherAll other candidates0.5%42

R+44.3

Lead: 4,082
Total: 9,220
vs nation: R+51.5
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic31.8%2,951BushRepublican67.8%6,295OtherAll other candidates0.4%33

R+36.0

Lead: 3,344
Total: 9,279
vs nation: R+33.6
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic35.8%3,227BushRepublican63.2%5,692NaderGreen0.6%55

R+27.4

Lead: 2,465
Total: 9,005
vs nation: R+27.9
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic46.2%3,720DoleRepublican43.3%3,482PerotReform10.1%815

D+3.0

Lead: 238
Total: 8,048
vs nation: R+5.6
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+64.6MIT Election Lab
Population: 24,1552024 5-year
Median household income: $49,7762024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 59.7%2024 5-year
Black: 15.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 19.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+93.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+64.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Lamar County, TX · twin score 90.8

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 59.7%9,992 participants ÷ 16,735 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +17.2 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -1.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 42.5%–46.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	9,086	16,814	54.0%	C/A
2018 · Midterm	7,561	16,809	45.0%	C/A
2020 · Presidential	10,142	17,107	59.3%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	6,998	16,626	42.1%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	9,992	16,735	59.7%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

14 precincts · 9,948 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Shelby County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5	125	1,387	8	1,520	8.2%	91.3%	R+83.0
Precinct -Precinct 1SPrecinct 1S	192	918	8	1,118	17.2%	82.1%	R+64.9
Precinct -Precinct 1SWPrecinct 1SW	119	804	4	927	12.8%	86.7%	R+73.9
Precinct -Precinct 1NPrecinct 1N	139	723	3	865	16.1%	83.6%	R+67.5
Precinct -Precinct 1SEPrecinct 1SE	394	368	6	768	51.3%	47.9%	D+3.4
Precinct -Precinct 9NPrecinct 9N	132	608	2	742	17.8%	81.9%	R+64.2
Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8	203	516	1	720	28.2%	71.7%	R+43.5
Precinct -Precinct 9SPrecinct 9S	93	586	4	683	13.6%	85.8%	R+72.2
Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2	54	532	2	588	9.2%	90.5%	R+81.3
Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4	81	496	2	579	14.0%	85.7%	R+71.7
Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7	126	431	0	557	22.6%	77.4%	R+54.8
Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6	45	346	0	391	11.5%	88.5%	R+77.0
Precinct -Precinct 1WPrecinct 1W	29	268	3	300	9.7%	89.3%	R+79.7
Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3	9	181	0	190	4.7%	95.3%	R+90.5

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1904–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1904	+75.1%
1908	+76.5%
1912	+75.6%
1916	+78.7%
1920	+66.4%
1924	+87.8%
1928	+48.5%
1932	+93.0%
1936	+91.5%
1940	+86.2%
1944	+70.1%
1948	+68.0%
1952	+40.6%
1956	+26.0%
1960	+31.8%
1964	+22.2%
1968	+20.0%
1972	−41.0%
1976	+26.9%
1980	+9.2%
1984	−14.7%
1988	+3.2%
1992	+8.8%
1996	+3.0%
2000	−27.4%
2004	−36.0%
2008	−44.3%
2012	−49.0%
2016	−59.7%
2020	−58.6%
2024	−64.6%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	17.5%Harris1,741	82.1%Trump8,164	0.3%Oliver27 +1	R+64.6	R+6.0	R+63.1	9,948
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican82.1%8,164 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic17.5%1,741 Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%27 Jill SteinIndependent0.2%16
2020	R	20.5%Biden2,068	79.1%Trump7,975	0.4%Jorgensen37	R+58.6	D+1.1	R+63.0	10,087
2016	R	19.3%Clinton1,758	79.0%Trump7,179	1.4%Johnson123	R+59.7	R+10.6	R+61.8	9,086
2012	R	25.0%Obama2,322	74.0%Romney6,879	0.7%Gray64	R+49.0	R+4.8	R+52.9	9,292
2008	R	27.6%Obama2,548	71.9%McCain6,630	0.5%	R+44.3	R+8.2	R+51.5	9,220
2004	R	31.8%Kerry2,951	67.8%Bush6,295	0.4%	R+36.0	R+8.7	R+33.6	9,279
2000	R	35.8%Gore3,227	63.2%Bush5,692	0.6%Nader55	R+27.4	R+30.3	R+27.9	9,005
1996	D	46.2%Clinton3,720	43.3%Dole3,482	10.1%Perot815	D+3.0	R+5.9	R+5.6	8,048
1992	D	45.8%Clinton3,986	37.0%Bush3,217	17.1%Perot1,487	D+8.8	D+5.7	D+3.3	8,705
1988	D	51.5%Dukakis4,261	48.3%Bush3,999	0.2%	D+3.2	D+17.9	D+10.9	8,273
1984	R	42.5%Mondale3,610	57.2%Reagan4,863	0.3%	R+14.7	R+23.9	D+3.5	8,501
1980	D	54.0%Carter4,215	44.8%Reagan3,500	1.1%	D+9.2	R+17.7	D+18.9	7,804
1976	D	63.4%Carter4,680	36.5%Ford2,695	0.2%	D+26.9	D+67.9	D+24.8	7,387
1972	R	29.4%McGovern1,792	70.5%Nixon4,292	0.1%	R+41.0	R+61.0	R+17.9	6,092
1968	O	36.3%Humphrey2,511	16.3%Nixon1,127	47.5%	Wallace +11.2	R+2.2	D+20.7	6,923
1964	D	61.1%Johnson3,487	38.9%Goldwater2,220	0.1%	D+22.2	R+9.6	R+0.4	5,711
1960	D	65.4%Kennedy3,266	33.6%Nixon1,679	1.0%	D+31.8	D+5.8	D+31.6	4,993
1956	D	62.6%Stevenson3,403	36.5%Eisenhower1,988	0.9%	D+26.0	R+14.6	D+41.4	5,440
1952	D	70.3%Stevenson4,249	29.6%Eisenhower1,792	0.1%	D+40.6	R+27.4	D+51.4	6,047
1948	D	75.6%Truman3,051	7.6%Dewey307	16.8%	D+68.0	R+2.1	D+63.5	4,036
1944	D	82.1%Roosevelt2,927	12.0%Dewey428	5.9%	D+70.1	R+16.1	D+62.6	3,564
1940	D	93.1%Roosevelt4,720	6.9%Willkie349	0.0%	D+86.2	R+5.3	D+76.3	5,070
1936	D	95.6%Roosevelt3,167	4.1%Landon136	0.3%	D+91.5	R+1.5	D+67.3	3,312
1932	D	96.3%Roosevelt3,594	3.2%Hoover120	0.5%	D+93.0	D+44.5	D+75.2	3,734
1928	D	74.1%Smith1,961	25.5%Hoover676	0.4%	D+48.5	R+39.3	D+66.0	2,648
1924	D	92.2%Davis3,408	4.3%Coolidge160	3.5%La Follette130	D+87.8	D+21.5	D+113.0	3,698
1920	D	72.8%Cox1,700	6.4%Harding150	20.8%	D+66.4	R+12.3	D+92.5	2,336
1916	D	85.0%Wilson1,767	6.3%Hughes131	8.7%	D+78.7	D+3.1	D+75.5	2,079
1912	D	79.7%Wilson1,507	4.0%Taft76	16.3%	D+75.6	R+0.9	D+56.1	1,892
1908	D	85.5%Bryan1,727	9.0%Taft182	5.4%	D+76.5	D+1.5	D+86.1	2,019
1904	D	85.6%Parker1,534	10.5%Roosevelt188	4.0%	D+75.1	—	D+94.7	1,793
1900	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1896	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1892	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	0.0%0	100.0%8,164	8,164
2020	R	20.0%1,991	80.0%7,942	9,933
2018	R	19.7%1,467	80.3%5,998	7,465

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	17.8%1,756	81.2%8,022	9,876
2020Class II	R	20.2%MJ Hegar2,022	78.7%John Cornyn7,868	9,992
2018Class I	R	20.1%Beto O'Rourke1,521	79.5%Ted Cruz6,008	7,561
2014Class II	R	18.4%David Alameel997	79.2%John Cornyn4,293	5,418
2012Class I	R	30.6%Paul Sadler2,733	67.6%Ted Cruz6,027	8,921
2008Class II	R	29.3%Richard J. Noriega2,598	69.3%John Cornyn6,146	8,867
2006Class I	R	32.3%Barbara A. Radnofsky1,902	66.3%Kay Bailey Hutchison3,901	5,884
2002Class II	R	40.4%Ron Kirk2,555	58.4%John Cornyn3,695	6,332
2000Class I	R	32.6%Gene Kelly2,886	66.3%Kay Bailey Hutchison5,870	8,859
1996Class II	R	41.0%Victor M. Morales3,275	57.4%Phil Gramm4,589	7,990
1994Class I	R	41.1%Richard Fisher2,699	58.6%Kay Bailey Hutchison3,845	6,565
1990Class II	R	41.8%Hugh Parmer2,334	55.4%Phil Gramm3,090	5,578
1988Class I	D	75.8%Lloyd Bentsen6,033	23.7%Beau Boulter1,886	7,954
1984Class II	R	48.4%Lloyd Doggett4,023	51.5%Phil Gramm4,278	8,308
1982Class I	D	71.0%Lloyd Bentsen3,359	28.8%James M. Collins1,362	4,731
1978Class II	D	59.5%Bob Krueger2,177	40.4%John G. Tower1,479	3,660
1976Class I	D	78.7%Lloyd Bentsen5,472	21.2%Alan Steelman1,473	6,950
1972Class II	R	48.8%Barefoot Sanders2,965	51.2%John G. Tower3,111	6,080
1970Class I	D	76.1%Lloyd Bentsen3,023	23.9%George H.W. Bush947	3,970
1966Class II	D	56.6%Waggoner Carr1,452	43.2%John G. Tower1,110	2,567
1964Class I	D	60.2%Ralph Yarborough3,473	39.6%George H.W. Bush2,287	5,770
1960Class II	D	76.9%Lyndon B. Johnson3,789	22.4%John G. Tower1,103	4,926
1958Class I	D	95.2%Ralph Yarborough1,909	4.3%Roy Whittenburg87	2,006
1954Class II	D	95.3%Lyndon B. Johnson1,935	4.7%Carlos G. Watson95	2,030
1952Class I	D	96.3%Price Daniel5,382	3.7%None204	5,586
1948Class II	D	84.2%Lyndon B. Johnson3,277	14.1%Jack Porter550	3,891
1946Class I	D	97.4%Tom Connally1,292	2.6%Murray C. Sells35	1,327
1942Class II	D	97.9%Pappy O'Daniel1,024	2.1%Dudley Lawson22	1,046
1940Class I	D	98.2%Tom Connally4,986	1.8%George I. Shannon92	5,078
1936Class II	D	97.6%Morris Sheppard3,241	2.1%Carlos G. Watson71	3,320
1934Class I	D	79.4%Tom Connally297	4.8%U.S. Goen18	374
1930Class II	D	96.2%Morris Sheppard1,318	3.6%D.J. Haesly49	1,370
1928Class I	D	93.6%Tom Connally2,486	6.0%T.M. Kennerly159	2,656
1924Class II	D	96.8%Morris Sheppard3,657	3.2%T.M. Kennerly120	3,777
1922Class I	D	61.7%Earle B. Mayfield1,824	38.3%George Peddy1,134	2,958
1918Class II	D	93.8%Morris Sheppard1,510	5.9%J. Webster Flanagan95	1,609
1916Class I	D	83.8%Charles Culberson1,737	6.4%Alex W. Atcheson132	2,073

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1993Special · Class I	R	32.3%Robert Krueger748	67.7%Kay Bailey Hutchison1,570	2,318
1961Special · Class II	D	70.7%William A. Blakley928	29.3%John G. Tower384	1,312
1957Special · Class I	D	50.4%Ralph Yarborough1,403	3.9%Thad Hutcheson109	2,785
1941Special · Class II	R	0.1%Pappy O'Daniel2	99.9%Polittle Evans2,601	2,603

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	15.1%O'Rourke1,045	84.3%Abbott5,846	6,932
2018	R	18.1%Valdez1,366	81.3%Abbott6,132	7,542
2014	R	20.3%Wendy Davis1,116	78.7%Greg Abbott4,330	5,504
2010	R	34.5%Bill White1,991	63.6%Rick Perry3,669	5,769
2006	R	26.3%Chris Bell1,563	46.8%Rick Perry2,783	5,945
2002	R	39.5%Tony Sanchez2,574	59.5%Rick Perry3,882	6,524
1998	R	30.0%Garry Mauro1,731	69.7%George W. Bush4,028	5,779
1994	R	44.6%Ann Richards2,958	54.9%George W. Bush3,639	6,625
1990	D	57.6%Ann Richards3,247	40.1%Clayton Williams2,264	5,640
1986	D	53.4%Mark White2,985	46.0%Bill Clements2,573	5,595
1982	D	62.1%Mark White2,981	37.8%Bill Clements1,812	4,799
1978	D	59.5%John Luke Hill2,229	40.4%Bill Clements1,514	3,745

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Shelby County, TX
Year	Total registered
2016	14,513
2018	15,153
2020	15,570
2022	15,922
2024	16,355

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−47 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −749 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $44,262 in average income, against $62,139 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+33.8 on average — 31 points more Democratic-leaning than Shelby County, TX itself (R+64.6).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Nacogdoches County, TX48R+38.8
Harris County, TX37D+5.5
Panola County, TX36R+66.4
De Soto Parish, LA26R+35.5

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Nacogdoches County, TX93
Panola County, TX34
Harris County, TX31

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Shelby County, TX in Shelby County, TX: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	+187
2012	+223
2013	−243
2014	−450
2015	−278
2016	+75
2017	−415
2018	+35
2019	−62
2021	+68
2022	+110
2023	+94
2024	−46
2025	−47

Shelby County, tucked into East Texas's Piney Woods along the Louisiana border, has delivered Republican presidential margins above 60 points in recent cycles, reflecting a rural, predominantly white electorate with deep Southern political roots.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 93.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 64.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.6 points.

A population of 24,155, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,776 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lamar County and Caldwell Parish.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

2008–2024 trajectory≠ % Latino

Lafayette County

Florida

89.7twin score

elasticity2012–2024 trajectory≠ Mexican ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Shelby County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48419/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Shelby County

Center

R+40

5.3K residents

Texas at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2024 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Shelby County, Texas vote in 2024?

In 2024, Shelby County, Texas voted Republican by 64.6 points (R+64.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,948 votes cast, 1,741 went Democratic and 8,164 went Republican.

When did Shelby County, Texas last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Shelby County, Texas voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Shelby County, Texas?

Shelby County, Texas has a population of 24,155 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Shelby County, Texas?

Median household income in Shelby County, Texas is $49,776 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.

What is the political history of Shelby County, Texas?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Shelby County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 9 went Republican.

Measure

Shelby County

Texas

United States

Median age

39.3

35.7

39.1

Age 18–24

8.2%

9.7%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

18.4%

13.5%

17.2%

Measure

Shelby County

Texas

United States

Median household income

$49,776

$78,476

$84,427

Poverty rate

20.6%

13.8%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

15.1%

33.6%

35.6%

Measure

Shelby County

Texas

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

15.0%

35.2%

22.3%

Spanish

14.8%

28.2%

13.6%

Measure

Shelby County

Texas

United States

Catholic

2.7%

20.1%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

36.8%

23.5%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

46.5%

45.2%

51.5%

Black Protestant

9.0%

2.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+64.6MIT Election Lab

Population

24,1552024 5-year

Median household income

$49,7762024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

59.7%2024 5-year

Black

15.1%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

19.9%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+93.0 in 1932MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+64.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Lamar County, TX · twin score 90.8

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

9,086

16,814

54.0%

C/A

2018 · Midterm

7,561

16,809

45.0%

C/A

2020 · Presidential

10,142

17,107

59.3%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

6,998

16,626

42.1%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

9,992

16,735

59.7%

A/A

Shelby County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5

125

1,387

1,520

8.2%

91.3%

R+83.0

Precinct -Precinct 1SPrecinct 1S

192

918

1,118

17.2%

82.1%

R+64.9

Precinct -Precinct 1SWPrecinct 1SW

119

804

927

12.8%

86.7%

R+73.9

Precinct -Precinct 1NPrecinct 1N

139

723

865

16.1%

83.6%

R+67.5

Precinct -Precinct 1SEPrecinct 1SE

394

368

768

51.3%

47.9%

D+3.4

Precinct -Precinct 9NPrecinct 9N

132

608

742

17.8%

81.9%

R+64.2

Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8

203

516

720

28.2%

71.7%

R+43.5

Precinct -Precinct 9SPrecinct 9S

586

683

13.6%

85.8%

R+72.2

Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2

532

588

9.2%

90.5%

R+81.3

Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4

496

579

14.0%

85.7%

R+71.7

Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7

126

431

557

22.6%

77.4%

R+54.8

Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6

346

391

11.5%

88.5%

R+77.0

Precinct -Precinct 1WPrecinct 1W

268

300

9.7%

89.3%

R+79.7

Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3

181

190

4.7%

95.3%

R+90.5

Presidential margin, 1904–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1904	+75.1%
1908	+76.5%
1912	+75.6%
1916	+78.7%
1920	+66.4%
1924	+87.8%
1928	+48.5%
1932	+93.0%
1936	+91.5%
1940	+86.2%
1944	+70.1%
1948	+68.0%
1952	+40.6%
1956	+26.0%
1960	+31.8%
1964	+22.2%
1968	+20.0%
1972	−41.0%
1976	+26.9%
1980	+9.2%
1984	−14.7%
1988	+3.2%
1992	+8.8%
1996	+3.0%
2000	−27.4%
2004	−36.0%
2008	−44.3%
2012	−49.0%
2016	−59.7%
2020	−58.6%
2024	−64.6%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

17.5%Harris1,741

82.1%Trump8,164

0.3%Oliver27 +1

R+64.6

R+6.0

R+63.1

9,948

All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican82.1%8,164
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic17.5%1,741
Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%27
Jill SteinIndependent0.2%16

2020

20.5%Biden2,068

79.1%Trump7,975

0.4%Jorgensen37

R+58.6

D+1.1

R+63.0

10,087

2016

19.3%Clinton1,758

79.0%Trump7,179

1.4%Johnson123

R+59.7

R+10.6

R+61.8

9,086

2012

25.0%Obama2,322

74.0%Romney6,879

0.7%Gray64

R+49.0

R+4.8

R+52.9

9,292

2008

27.6%Obama2,548

71.9%McCain6,630

0.5%

R+44.3

R+8.2

R+51.5

9,220

2004

31.8%Kerry2,951

67.8%Bush6,295

0.4%

R+36.0

R+8.7

R+33.6

9,279

2000

35.8%Gore3,227

63.2%Bush5,692

0.6%Nader55

R+27.4

R+30.3

R+27.9

9,005

1996

46.2%Clinton3,720

43.3%Dole3,482

10.1%Perot815

D+3.0

R+5.9

R+5.6

8,048

1992

45.8%Clinton3,986

37.0%Bush3,217

17.1%Perot1,487

D+8.8

D+5.7

D+3.3

8,705

1988

51.5%Dukakis4,261

48.3%Bush3,999

0.2%

D+3.2

D+17.9

D+10.9

8,273

1984

42.5%Mondale3,610

57.2%Reagan4,863

0.3%

R+14.7

R+23.9

D+3.5

8,501

1980

54.0%Carter4,215

44.8%Reagan3,500

1.1%

D+9.2

R+17.7

D+18.9

7,804

1976

63.4%Carter4,680

36.5%Ford2,695

0.2%

D+26.9

D+67.9

D+24.8

7,387

1972

29.4%McGovern1,792

70.5%Nixon4,292

0.1%

R+41.0

R+61.0

R+17.9

6,092

1968

36.3%Humphrey2,511

16.3%Nixon1,127

47.5%

Wallace +11.2

R+2.2

D+20.7

6,923

1964

61.1%Johnson3,487

38.9%Goldwater2,220

0.1%

D+22.2

R+9.6

R+0.4

5,711

1960

65.4%Kennedy3,266

33.6%Nixon1,679

1.0%

D+31.8

D+5.8

D+31.6

4,993

1956

62.6%Stevenson3,403

36.5%Eisenhower1,988

0.9%

D+26.0

R+14.6

D+41.4

5,440

1952

70.3%Stevenson4,249

29.6%Eisenhower1,792

0.1%

D+40.6

R+27.4

D+51.4

6,047

1948

75.6%Truman3,051

7.6%Dewey307

16.8%

D+68.0

R+2.1

D+63.5

4,036

1944

82.1%Roosevelt2,927

12.0%Dewey428

5.9%

D+70.1

R+16.1

D+62.6

3,564

1940

93.1%Roosevelt4,720

6.9%Willkie349

0.0%

D+86.2

R+5.3

D+76.3

5,070

1936

95.6%Roosevelt3,167

4.1%Landon136

0.3%

D+91.5

R+1.5

D+67.3

3,312

1932

96.3%Roosevelt3,594

3.2%Hoover120

0.5%

D+93.0

D+44.5

D+75.2

3,734

1928

74.1%Smith1,961

25.5%Hoover676

0.4%

D+48.5

R+39.3

D+66.0

2,648

1924

92.2%Davis3,408

4.3%Coolidge160

3.5%La Follette130

D+87.8

D+21.5

D+113.0

3,698

1920

72.8%Cox1,700

6.4%Harding150

20.8%

D+66.4

R+12.3

D+92.5

2,336

1916

85.0%Wilson1,767

6.3%Hughes131

8.7%

D+78.7

D+3.1

D+75.5

2,079

1912

79.7%Wilson1,507

4.0%Taft76

16.3%

D+75.6

R+0.9

D+56.1

1,892

1908

85.5%Bryan1,727

9.0%Taft182

5.4%

D+76.5

D+1.5

D+86.1

2,019

1904

85.6%Parker1,534

10.5%Roosevelt188

4.0%

D+75.1

—

D+94.7

1,793

1900

—

No data

—

1896

—

No data

—

1892

—

No data

—

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

0.0%0

100.0%8,164

8,164

2020

20.0%1,991

80.0%7,942

9,933

2018

19.7%1,467

80.3%5,998

7,465

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

17.8%1,756

81.2%8,022

9,876

2020Class II

20.2%MJ Hegar2,022

78.7%John Cornyn7,868

9,992

2018Class I

20.1%Beto O'Rourke1,521

79.5%Ted Cruz6,008

7,561

2014Class II

18.4%David Alameel997

79.2%John Cornyn4,293

5,418

2012Class I

30.6%Paul Sadler2,733

67.6%Ted Cruz6,027

8,921

2008Class II

29.3%Richard J. Noriega2,598

69.3%John Cornyn6,146

8,867

2006Class I

32.3%Barbara A. Radnofsky1,902

66.3%Kay Bailey Hutchison3,901

5,884

2002Class II

40.4%Ron Kirk2,555

58.4%John Cornyn3,695

6,332

2000Class I

32.6%Gene Kelly2,886

66.3%Kay Bailey Hutchison5,870

8,859

1996Class II

41.0%Victor M. Morales3,275

57.4%Phil Gramm4,589

7,990

1994Class I

41.1%Richard Fisher2,699

58.6%Kay Bailey Hutchison3,845

6,565

1990Class II

41.8%Hugh Parmer2,334

55.4%Phil Gramm3,090

5,578

1988Class I

75.8%Lloyd Bentsen6,033

23.7%Beau Boulter1,886

7,954

1984Class II

48.4%Lloyd Doggett4,023

51.5%Phil Gramm4,278

8,308

1982Class I

71.0%Lloyd Bentsen3,359

28.8%James M. Collins1,362

4,731

1978Class II

59.5%Bob Krueger2,177

40.4%John G. Tower1,479

3,660

1976Class I

78.7%Lloyd Bentsen5,472

21.2%Alan Steelman1,473

6,950

1972Class II

48.8%Barefoot Sanders2,965

51.2%John G. Tower3,111

6,080

1970Class I

76.1%Lloyd Bentsen3,023

23.9%George H.W. Bush947

3,970

1966Class II

56.6%Waggoner Carr1,452

43.2%John G. Tower1,110

2,567

1964Class I

60.2%Ralph Yarborough3,473

39.6%George H.W. Bush2,287

5,770

1960Class II

76.9%Lyndon B. Johnson3,789

22.4%John G. Tower1,103

4,926

1958Class I

95.2%Ralph Yarborough1,909

4.3%Roy Whittenburg87

2,006

1954Class II

95.3%Lyndon B. Johnson1,935

4.7%Carlos G. Watson95

2,030

1952Class I

96.3%Price Daniel5,382

3.7%None204

5,586

1948Class II

84.2%Lyndon B. Johnson3,277

14.1%Jack Porter550

3,891

1946Class I

97.4%Tom Connally1,292

2.6%Murray C. Sells35

1,327

1942Class II

97.9%Pappy O'Daniel1,024

2.1%Dudley Lawson22

1,046

1940Class I

98.2%Tom Connally4,986

1.8%George I. Shannon92

5,078

1936Class II

97.6%Morris Sheppard3,241

2.1%Carlos G. Watson71

3,320

1934Class I

79.4%Tom Connally297

4.8%U.S. Goen18

374

1930Class II

96.2%Morris Sheppard1,318

3.6%D.J. Haesly49

1,370

1928Class I

93.6%Tom Connally2,486

6.0%T.M. Kennerly159

2,656

1924Class II

96.8%Morris Sheppard3,657

3.2%T.M. Kennerly120

3,777

1922Class I

61.7%Earle B. Mayfield1,824

38.3%George Peddy1,134

2,958

1918Class II

93.8%Morris Sheppard1,510

5.9%J. Webster Flanagan95

1,609

1916Class I

83.8%Charles Culberson1,737

6.4%Alex W. Atcheson132

2,073

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1993Special · Class I

32.3%Robert Krueger748

67.7%Kay Bailey Hutchison1,570

2,318

1961Special · Class II

70.7%William A. Blakley928

29.3%John G. Tower384

1,312

1957Special · Class I

50.4%Ralph Yarborough1,403

3.9%Thad Hutcheson109

2,785

1941Special · Class II

0.1%Pappy O'Daniel2

99.9%Polittle Evans2,601

2,603

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

15.1%O'Rourke1,045

84.3%Abbott5,846

6,932

2018

18.1%Valdez1,366

81.3%Abbott6,132

7,542

2014

20.3%Wendy Davis1,116

78.7%Greg Abbott4,330

5,504

2010

34.5%Bill White1,991

63.6%Rick Perry3,669

5,769

2006

26.3%Chris Bell1,563

46.8%Rick Perry2,783

5,945

2002

39.5%Tony Sanchez2,574

59.5%Rick Perry3,882

6,524

1998

30.0%Garry Mauro1,731

69.7%George W. Bush4,028

5,779

1994

44.6%Ann Richards2,958

54.9%George W. Bush3,639

6,625

1990

57.6%Ann Richards3,247

40.1%Clayton Williams2,264

5,640

1986

53.4%Mark White2,985

46.0%Bill Clements2,573

5,595

1982

62.1%Mark White2,981

37.8%Bill Clements1,812

4,799

1978

59.5%John Luke Hill2,229

40.4%Bill Clements1,514

3,745

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Shelby County, TX
Year	Total registered
2016	14,513
2018	15,153
2020	15,570
2022	15,922
2024	16,355

How did Shelby County, Texas vote in 2024?

In 2024, Shelby County, Texas voted Republican by 64.6 points (R+64.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,948 votes cast, 1,741 went Democratic and 8,164 went Republican.

When did Shelby County, Texas last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Shelby County, Texas voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Shelby County, Texas?

Shelby County, Texas has a population of 24,155 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Shelby County, Texas?

Median household income in Shelby County, Texas is $49,776 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.

What is the political history of Shelby County, Texas?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Shelby County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 9 went Republican.