Arlington, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −23.1% |
| 2008 | −4.9% |
| 2012 | −4.5% |
| 2016 | +3.9% |
| 2020 | +13.4% |
| 2024 | +8.4% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 53.3%Harris72,647 | 44.9%Trump61,154 | 1.8% | D+8.4 | R+5.0 | D+9.9 | 136,322 | |
| D | 56.1%Biden81,535 | 42.7%Trump62,073 | 1.1% | D+13.4 | D+9.5 | D+8.9 | 145,264 | |
| D | 49.4%Clinton60,284 | 45.4%Trump55,467 | 5.2% | D+3.9 | D+8.5 | D+1.9 | 122,113 | |
| R | 47.0%Obama54,998 | 51.5%Romney60,310 | 1.5% | R+4.5 | D+0.3 | R+8.4 | 117,013 | |
| R | 47.4%Obama58,968 | 52.2%McCain65,025 | 0.4% | R+4.9 | D+18.2 | R+12.1 | 124,473 | |
| R | 38.2%Kerry46,243 | 61.2%Bush74,233 | 0.6% | R+23.1 | — | R+20.6 | 121,210 |
Arlington's rapid demographic diversification over the past two decades has compressed once-wide partisan margins, making it a reliable indicator of broader shifts across Tarrant County's competitive suburban corridor.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.4 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 23.1 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.4 points.
A population of 397,742, a 36% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,171 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Phoenix and Garland.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Arlington, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4804000/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.