Atascocita, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −44.8% |
| 2008 | −26.3% |
| 2012 | −28.9% |
| 2016 | −15.3% |
| 2020 | −2.8% |
| 2024 | +2.3% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 50.6%Harris20,197 | 48.3%Trump19,279 | 1.1% | D+2.3 | D+5.1 | D+3.8 | 39,920 | |
| R | 48.1%Biden18,386 | 50.9%Trump19,459 | 1.1% | R+2.8 | D+12.5 | R+7.3 | 38,255 | |
| R | 40.1%Clinton11,406 | 55.5%Trump15,764 | 4.4% | R+15.3 | D+13.6 | R+17.4 | 28,410 | |
| R | 34.9%Obama8,415 | 63.8%Romney15,383 | 1.3% | R+28.9 | R+2.6 | R+32.8 | 24,112 | |
| R | 36.7%Obama8,090 | 63.0%McCain13,900 | 0.3% | R+26.3 | D+18.4 | R+33.6 | 22,055 | |
| R | 27.3%Kerry4,885 | 72.0%Bush12,905 | 0.7% | R+44.8 | — | R+42.3 | 17,914 |
Atascocita is a census-designated place of nearly 100,000 residents with no municipal government, making it one of the most populous unincorporated communities in the U.S. and a bellwether for Harris County's shifting suburban electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 2.3 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 44.8 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.1 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.3 points.
A population of 99,354, a 37% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $118,226 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Mansfield and Pearland.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Atascocita, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4804462/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.