Mansfield, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −49.8% |
| 2008 | −29.2% |
| 2012 | −31.2% |
| 2016 | −21.8% |
| 2020 | −6.6% |
| 2024 | −2.9% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 47.9%Harris17,316 | 50.7%Trump18,350 | 1.4% | R+2.9 | D+3.7 | R+1.4 | 36,186 | |
| R | 46.2%Biden15,357 | 52.7%Trump17,547 | 1.1% | R+6.6 | D+15.3 | R+11.0 | 33,267 | |
| R | 36.9%Clinton9,533 | 58.8%Trump15,170 | 4.3% | R+21.8 | D+9.3 | R+23.9 | 25,812 | |
| R | 33.7%Obama7,690 | 64.9%Romney14,809 | 1.5% | R+31.2 | R+1.9 | R+35.0 | 22,831 | |
| R | 35.2%Obama7,795 | 64.4%McCain14,275 | 0.4% | R+29.2 | D+20.6 | R+36.5 | 22,159 | |
| R | 24.7%Kerry4,105 | 74.6%Bush12,377 | 0.7% | R+49.8 | — | R+47.4 | 16,601 |
Mansfield's rapid population growth along the Dallas–Fort Worth southern arc has made it a bellwether for how expanding exurban diversity reshapes competitive margins in Tarrant County.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 49.8 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.7 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.9 points.
A population of 77,510, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $121,126 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Atascocita and Rowlett.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Mansfield, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4846452/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.