Akashic

county

Clay County, TX

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1904–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1904 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English13.7%7.9%9.5%

German12.2%8.3%12.5%

Irish10.0%6.0%9.4%

American6.7%4.6%5.3%

Italian1.3%1.9%4.8%

French1.2%1.5%1.6%

Scottish1.0%1.3%1.3%

Scotch-Irish0.8%——

Mexican6.2%32.1%11.3%

Salvadoran0.4%1.2%0.7%

African American†1.0%10.3%9.9%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Clay County	Texas	United States
Median age	47.5	35.7	39.1
Age 18–24	6.7%	9.7%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	23.4%	13.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Clay County	Texas	United States
Median household income	$80,114	$78,476	$84,427
Poverty rate	8.4%	13.8%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	22.4%	33.6%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Clay County	Texas	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	4.0%	35.2%	22.3%
Spanish	3.4%	28.2%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Clay County	Texas	United States
Catholic	1.7%	20.1%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	51.1%	23.5%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	43.3%	45.2%	51.5%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 71.3% of 8,367 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic9.9%584TrumpRepublican89.5%5,288OliverLibertarian0.4%21

R+79.6

Lead: 4,704
Total: 5,908
vs nation: R+78.1
Turnout: 71.3%

BidenDemocratic10.7%614TrumpRepublican88.1%5,069JorgensenLibertarian0.8%46

R+77.5

Lead: 4,455
Total: 5,752
vs nation: R+81.9
Turnout: 70.8%

ClintonDemocratic10.7%536TrumpRepublican87.2%4,377JohnsonLibertarian1.7%87

R+76.5

Lead: 3,841
Total: 5,018
vs nation: R+78.6
Turnout: 63.1%

ObamaDemocratic14.6%740RomneyRepublican84.4%4,266GrayLibertarian0.9%47

R+69.7

Lead: 3,526
Total: 5,057
vs nation: R+73.6
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic20.3%1,085McCainRepublican78.9%4,213OtherAll other candidates0.8%41

R+58.6

Lead: 3,128
Total: 5,339
vs nation: R+65.9
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic24.6%1,299BushRepublican75.1%3,971OtherAll other candidates0.3%18

R+50.5

Lead: 2,672
Total: 5,288
vs nation: R+48.1
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic31.5%1,460BushRepublican67.1%3,112NaderGreen0.8%39

R+35.6

Lead: 1,652
Total: 4,637
vs nation: R+36.1
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic40.6%1,690DoleRepublican48.0%1,997PerotReform11.2%465

R+7.4

Lead: 307
Total: 4,160
vs nation: R+15.9
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+79.6MIT Election Lab
Population: 10,4952024 5-year
Median household income: $80,1142024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 86.9%2024 5-year
Black: 1.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 7.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+87.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+79.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Rains County, TX · twin score 96.2

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 71.3%5,962 participants ÷ 8,367 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +15.0 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -4.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 56.3%–59.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	5,018	7,950	63.1%	C/A
2018 · Midterm	4,326	8,017	54.0%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	5,741	8,114	70.8%	C/A
2022 · Midterm	4,497	8,059	55.8%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	5,962	8,367	71.3%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

16 precincts · 5,918 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Clay County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17	97	716	2	815	11.9%	87.9%	R+76.0
Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1	92	655	6	753	12.2%	87.0%	R+74.8
Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11	39	659	2	700	5.6%	94.1%	R+88.6
Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8	92	570	11	673	13.7%	84.7%	R+71.0
Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20	17	389	2	408	4.2%	95.3%	R+91.2
Precinct -Precinct 27Precinct 27	28	284	1	313	8.9%	90.7%	R+81.8
Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6	38	272	1	311	12.2%	87.5%	R+75.2
Precinct -Precinct 24Precinct 24	18	266	3	287	6.3%	92.7%	R+86.4
Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9	38	239	3	280	13.6%	85.4%	R+71.8
Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12	26	252	1	279	9.3%	90.3%	R+81.0
Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15	30	217	1	248	12.1%	87.5%	R+75.4
Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10	22	189	5	216	10.2%	87.5%	R+77.3
Precinct -Precinct 32Precinct 32	9	172	4	185	4.9%	93.0%	R+88.1
Precinct -Precinct 26Precinct 26	12	167	2	181	6.6%	92.3%	R+85.6
Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14	8	130	0	138	5.8%	94.2%	R+88.4
Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13	18	111	2	131	13.7%	84.7%	R+71.0

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1904–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1904	+55.4%
1908	+61.5%
1912	+72.9%
1916	+73.5%
1920	+48.2%
1924	+59.1%
1928	−6.7%
1932	+87.8%
1936	+82.9%
1940	+69.2%
1944	+67.0%
1948	+69.6%
1952	+23.3%
1956	+29.3%
1960	+24.8%
1964	+56.2%
1968	+20.1%
1972	−29.5%
1976	+36.2%
1980	+10.0%
1984	−16.4%
1988	+5.6%
1992	+6.8%
1996	−7.4%
2000	−35.6%
2004	−50.5%
2008	−58.6%
2012	−69.7%
2016	−76.5%
2020	−77.5%
2024	−79.6%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	9.9%Harris584	89.5%Trump5,288	0.4%Oliver21 +2	R+79.6	R+2.2	R+78.1	5,908
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican89.5%5,288 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic9.9%584 Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%21 Jill SteinIndependent0.2%13 OtherAll other candidates0.0%2
2020	R	10.7%Biden614	88.1%Trump5,069	0.8%Jorgensen46	R+77.5	R+0.9	R+81.9	5,752
2016	R	10.7%Clinton536	87.2%Trump4,377	1.7%Johnson87	R+76.5	R+6.8	R+78.6	5,018
2012	R	14.6%Obama740	84.4%Romney4,266	0.9%Gray47	R+69.7	R+11.1	R+73.6	5,057
2008	R	20.3%Obama1,085	78.9%McCain4,213	0.8%	R+58.6	R+8.1	R+65.9	5,339
2004	R	24.6%Kerry1,299	75.1%Bush3,971	0.3%	R+50.5	R+14.9	R+48.1	5,288
2000	R	31.5%Gore1,460	67.1%Bush3,112	0.8%Nader39	R+35.6	R+28.2	R+36.1	4,637
1996	R	40.6%Clinton1,690	48.0%Dole1,997	11.2%Perot465	R+7.4	R+14.2	R+15.9	4,160
1992	D	39.1%Clinton1,919	32.3%Bush1,586	28.5%Perot1,397	D+6.8	D+1.1	D+1.2	4,910
1988	D	52.7%Dukakis2,288	47.1%Bush2,043	0.2%	D+5.6	D+22.0	D+13.4	4,340
1984	R	41.7%Mondale1,844	58.0%Reagan2,569	0.3%	R+16.4	R+26.3	D+1.8	4,426
1980	D	54.3%Carter2,233	44.4%Reagan1,824	1.3%	D+10.0	R+26.2	D+19.7	4,109
1976	D	67.9%Carter2,568	31.7%Ford1,200	0.4%	D+36.2	D+65.7	D+34.1	3,783
1972	R	34.7%McGovern1,023	64.3%Nixon1,893	1.0%	R+29.5	R+49.6	R+6.4	2,945
1968	D	49.6%Humphrey1,573	29.5%Nixon936	21.0%	D+20.1	R+36.2	D+20.8	3,174
1964	D	78.0%Johnson2,357	21.8%Goldwater659	0.1%	D+56.2	D+31.5	D+33.6	3,020
1960	D	62.3%Kennedy1,692	37.5%Nixon1,019	0.3%	D+24.8	R+4.5	D+24.6	2,718
1956	D	64.6%Stevenson1,813	35.3%Eisenhower990	0.2%	D+29.3	D+6.0	D+44.7	2,808
1952	D	61.6%Stevenson2,044	38.4%Eisenhower1,272	0.0%	D+23.3	R+46.4	D+34.0	3,316
1948	D	82.5%Truman2,131	12.9%Dewey332	4.6%	D+69.6	D+2.7	D+65.2	2,583
1944	D	77.4%Roosevelt2,307	10.4%Dewey311	12.1%	D+67.0	R+2.2	D+59.5	2,980
1940	D	84.5%Roosevelt2,357	15.3%Willkie427	0.2%	D+69.2	R+13.7	D+59.2	2,790
1936	D	91.1%Roosevelt2,168	8.2%Landon196	0.7%	D+82.9	R+4.9	D+58.6	2,380
1932	D	93.7%Roosevelt2,365	6.0%Hoover151	0.3%	D+87.8	D+94.5	D+70.0	2,523
1928	R	46.6%Smith1,160	53.4%Hoover1,327	0.0%	R+6.7	R+65.9	D+10.8	2,487
1924	D	76.5%Davis1,402	17.3%Coolidge318	6.2%La Follette113	D+59.1	D+10.9	D+84.3	1,833
1920	D	72.7%Cox1,324	24.5%Harding446	2.8%	D+48.2	R+25.3	D+74.4	1,821
1916	D	84.9%Wilson1,324	11.3%Hughes177	3.8%	D+73.5	D+0.6	D+70.4	1,560
1912	D	77.1%Wilson1,002	4.2%Taft54	18.8%	D+72.9	D+11.5	D+53.4	1,300
1908	D	78.7%Bryan1,115	17.2%Taft244	4.1%	D+61.5	D+6.1	D+71.0	1,417
1904	D	69.1%Parker599	13.7%Roosevelt119	17.2%	D+55.4	—	D+75.0	867
1900	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1896	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1892	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	0.0%0	100.0%5,186	5,186
2020	R	10.6%592	89.4%4,977	5,569
2018	R	10.8%458	89.2%3,770	4,228

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	11.3%663	87.2%5,128	5,879
2020Class II	R	11.1%MJ Hegar632	87.2%John Cornyn4,958	5,686
2018Class I	R	12.8%Beto O'Rourke547	86.5%Ted Cruz3,710	4,288
2014Class II	R	11.4%David Alameel319	85.0%John Cornyn2,375	2,793
2012Class I	R	18.7%Paul Sadler910	78.7%Ted Cruz3,820	4,855
2008Class II	R	22.7%Richard J. Noriega1,158	75.2%John Cornyn3,837	5,103
2006Class I	R	26.6%Barbara A. Radnofsky929	71.5%Kay Bailey Hutchison2,503	3,499
2002Class II	R	40.3%Ron Kirk1,317	59.1%John Cornyn1,932	3,271
2000Class I	R	28.0%Gene Kelly1,265	70.9%Kay Bailey Hutchison3,202	4,517
1996Class II	R	36.8%Victor M. Morales1,484	62.1%Phil Gramm2,506	4,038
1994Class I	R	37.0%Richard Fisher1,259	62.4%Kay Bailey Hutchison2,125	3,403
1990Class II	R	46.4%Hugh Parmer1,506	52.6%Phil Gramm1,709	3,247
1988Class I	D	61.7%Lloyd Bentsen2,543	38.1%Beau Boulter1,571	4,122
1984Class II	R	48.0%Lloyd Doggett2,106	52.0%Phil Gramm2,281	4,387
1982Class I	D	68.7%Lloyd Bentsen2,380	31.3%James M. Collins1,083	3,465
1978Class II	D	64.2%Bob Krueger1,509	35.8%John G. Tower841	2,350
1976Class I	D	76.1%Lloyd Bentsen2,664	23.8%Alan Steelman834	3,500
1972Class II	D	52.9%Barefoot Sanders1,568	47.0%John G. Tower1,391	2,962
1970Class I	D	70.9%Lloyd Bentsen1,780	29.1%George H.W. Bush732	2,512
1966Class II	D	60.5%Waggoner Carr1,145	39.4%John G. Tower746	1,894
1964Class I	D	72.6%Ralph Yarborough2,182	27.3%George H.W. Bush821	3,006
1960Class II	D	70.1%Lyndon B. Johnson1,896	29.6%John G. Tower801	2,704
1958Class I	D	89.9%Ralph Yarborough902	10.0%Roy Whittenburg100	1,003
1954Class II	D	91.2%Lyndon B. Johnson983	8.7%Carlos G. Watson94	1,078
1952Class I	D	90.2%Price Daniel2,497	9.8%None272	2,769
1948Class II	D	81.8%Lyndon B. Johnson2,076	17.1%Jack Porter434	2,538
1946Class I	D	94.8%Tom Connally922	5.2%Murray C. Sells51	973
1942Class II	D	97.9%Pappy O'Daniel787	2.1%Dudley Lawson17	804
1940Class I	D	96.7%Tom Connally2,703	3.3%George I. Shannon93	2,796
1936Class II	D	96.2%Morris Sheppard2,276	3.6%Carlos G. Watson85	2,366
1934Class I	D	99.0%Tom Connally1,227	0.8%U.S. Goen10	1,240
1930Class II	D	89.7%Morris Sheppard830	9.9%D.J. Haesly92	925
1928Class I	D	84.3%Tom Connally2,086	15.7%T.M. Kennerly388	2,474
1924Class II	D	90.2%Morris Sheppard1,888	9.8%T.M. Kennerly205	2,093
1922Class I	D	70.1%Earle B. Mayfield1,197	29.9%George Peddy510	1,707
1918Class II	D	100.0%Morris Sheppard811	0.0%J. Webster Flanagan0	811
1916Class I	D	86.3%Charles Culberson1,354	9.9%Alex W. Atcheson156	1,569

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1993Special · Class I	R	34.9%Robert Krueger459	65.1%Kay Bailey Hutchison858	1,317
1961Special · Class II	D	67.2%William A. Blakley858	32.8%John G. Tower418	1,276
1957Special · Class I	D	86.8%Ralph Yarborough1,074	13.2%Thad Hutcheson164	1,238
1941Special · Class II	R	0.1%Pappy O'Daniel1	99.9%Polittle Evans1,594	1,595

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	8.8%O'Rourke393	90.3%Abbott4,052	4,487
2018	R	10.5%Valdez449	88.8%Abbott3,807	4,286
2014	R	12.8%Wendy Davis363	85.7%Greg Abbott2,436	2,842
2010	R	27.3%Bill White943	69.7%Rick Perry2,407	3,454
2006	R	17.4%Chris Bell613	43.3%Rick Perry1,530	3,532
2002	R	30.2%Tony Sanchez1,014	66.9%Rick Perry2,244	3,355
1998	R	26.7%Garry Mauro785	73.0%George W. Bush2,149	2,944
1994	D	50.6%Ann Richards1,766	49.0%George W. Bush1,708	3,487
1990	D	55.6%Ann Richards1,836	40.3%Clayton Williams1,331	3,300
1986	R	47.5%Mark White1,420	51.6%Bill Clements1,543	2,992
1982	D	66.0%Mark White2,298	33.8%Bill Clements1,179	3,484
1978	D	60.8%John Luke Hill1,458	39.2%Bill Clements940	2,399

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Clay County, TX
Year	Total registered
2018	7,656
2020	7,959
2022	8,066
2024	8,291

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+71 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net +711 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $66,113 in average income, against $76,036 for residents who stayed — 13% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+44.0 on average — 36 points more Democratic-leaning than Clay County, TX itself (R+79.6).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Wichita County, TX172R+44.0
Montague County, TX23R+77.6
Tarrant County, TX20R+5.1

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Wichita County, TX156
Montague County, TX22

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Clay County, TX in Clay County, TX: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−62
2012	−110
2013	−70
2014	−37
2015	+13
2016	−92
2017	+266
2018	−7
2019	+63
2021	+126
2022	+218
2023	+256
2024	+76
2025	+71

Clay County, a sparsely populated ranching enclave in north-central Texas, recorded a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 79 points Republican — among the widest in the state — reflecting a rural demographic that has shifted decisively over recent cycles.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 87.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 79.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 79.6 points.

A population of 10,495, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,114 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Rains County and Callahan County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

2008–2020 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry

Montague County

Texas

93.2twin score

2008–2020 trajectory≠ % Evangelical

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Clay County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48077/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Clay County

Henrietta

R+72

3.2K residents

Texas at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Frequently asked questions

How did Clay County, Texas vote in 2024?

In 2024, Clay County, Texas voted Republican by 79.6 points (R+79.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,908 votes cast, 584 went Democratic and 5,288 went Republican.

When did Clay County, Texas last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Clay County, Texas voted Democratic was 1992.

How many people live in Clay County, Texas?

Clay County, Texas has a population of 10,495 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Clay County, Texas?

Median household income in Clay County, Texas is $80,114 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.

What is the political history of Clay County, Texas?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Clay County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 11 went Republican.

Measure

Clay County

Texas

United States

Median age

47.5

35.7

39.1

Age 18–24

6.7%

9.7%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

23.4%

13.5%

17.2%

Measure

Clay County

Texas

United States

Median household income

$80,114

$78,476

$84,427

Poverty rate

8.4%

13.8%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

22.4%

33.6%

35.6%

Measure

Clay County

Texas

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

4.0%

35.2%

22.3%

Spanish

3.4%

28.2%

13.6%

Measure

Clay County

Texas

United States

Catholic

1.7%

20.1%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

51.1%

23.5%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

43.3%

45.2%

51.5%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+79.6MIT Election Lab

Population

10,4952024 5-year

Median household income

$80,1142024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

86.9%2024 5-year

Black

1.0%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

7.1%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+87.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+79.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Rains County, TX · twin score 96.2

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

5,018

7,950

63.1%

C/A

2018 · Midterm

4,326

8,017

54.0%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

5,741

8,114

70.8%

C/A

2022 · Midterm

4,497

8,059

55.8%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

5,962

8,367

71.3%

A/A

Clay County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17

716

815

11.9%

87.9%

R+76.0

Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1

655

753

12.2%

87.0%

R+74.8

Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11

659

700

5.6%

94.1%

R+88.6

Precinct -Precinct 8Precinct 8

570

673

13.7%

84.7%

R+71.0

Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20

389

408

4.2%

95.3%

R+91.2

Precinct -Precinct 27Precinct 27

284

313

8.9%

90.7%

R+81.8

Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6

272

311

12.2%

87.5%

R+75.2

Precinct -Precinct 24Precinct 24

266

287

6.3%

92.7%

R+86.4

Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9

239

280

13.6%

85.4%

R+71.8

Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12

252

279

9.3%

90.3%

R+81.0

Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15

217

248

12.1%

87.5%

R+75.4

Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10

189

216

10.2%

87.5%

R+77.3

Precinct -Precinct 32Precinct 32

172

185

4.9%

93.0%

R+88.1

Precinct -Precinct 26Precinct 26

167

181

6.6%

92.3%

R+85.6

Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14

130

138

5.8%

94.2%

R+88.4

Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13

111

131

13.7%

84.7%

R+71.0

Presidential margin, 1904–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1904	+55.4%
1908	+61.5%
1912	+72.9%
1916	+73.5%
1920	+48.2%
1924	+59.1%
1928	−6.7%
1932	+87.8%
1936	+82.9%
1940	+69.2%
1944	+67.0%
1948	+69.6%
1952	+23.3%
1956	+29.3%
1960	+24.8%
1964	+56.2%
1968	+20.1%
1972	−29.5%
1976	+36.2%
1980	+10.0%
1984	−16.4%
1988	+5.6%
1992	+6.8%
1996	−7.4%
2000	−35.6%
2004	−50.5%
2008	−58.6%
2012	−69.7%
2016	−76.5%
2020	−77.5%
2024	−79.6%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

9.9%Harris584

89.5%Trump5,288

0.4%Oliver21 +2

R+79.6

R+2.2

R+78.1

5,908

All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican89.5%5,288
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic9.9%584
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%21
Jill SteinIndependent0.2%13
OtherAll other candidates0.0%2

2020

10.7%Biden614

88.1%Trump5,069

0.8%Jorgensen46

R+77.5

R+0.9

R+81.9

5,752

2016

10.7%Clinton536

87.2%Trump4,377

1.7%Johnson87

R+76.5

R+6.8

R+78.6

5,018

2012

14.6%Obama740

84.4%Romney4,266

0.9%Gray47

R+69.7

R+11.1

R+73.6

5,057

2008

20.3%Obama1,085

78.9%McCain4,213

0.8%

R+58.6

R+8.1

R+65.9

5,339

2004

24.6%Kerry1,299

75.1%Bush3,971

0.3%

R+50.5

R+14.9

R+48.1

5,288

2000

31.5%Gore1,460

67.1%Bush3,112

0.8%Nader39

R+35.6

R+28.2

R+36.1

4,637

1996

40.6%Clinton1,690

48.0%Dole1,997

11.2%Perot465

R+7.4

R+14.2

R+15.9

4,160

1992

39.1%Clinton1,919

32.3%Bush1,586

28.5%Perot1,397

D+6.8

D+1.1

D+1.2

4,910

1988

52.7%Dukakis2,288

47.1%Bush2,043

0.2%

D+5.6

D+22.0

D+13.4

4,340

1984

41.7%Mondale1,844

58.0%Reagan2,569

0.3%

R+16.4

R+26.3

D+1.8

4,426

1980

54.3%Carter2,233

44.4%Reagan1,824

1.3%

D+10.0

R+26.2

D+19.7

4,109

1976

67.9%Carter2,568

31.7%Ford1,200

0.4%

D+36.2

D+65.7

D+34.1

3,783

1972

34.7%McGovern1,023

64.3%Nixon1,893

1.0%

R+29.5

R+49.6

R+6.4

2,945

1968

49.6%Humphrey1,573

29.5%Nixon936

21.0%

D+20.1

R+36.2

D+20.8

3,174

1964

78.0%Johnson2,357

21.8%Goldwater659

0.1%

D+56.2

D+31.5

D+33.6

3,020

1960

62.3%Kennedy1,692

37.5%Nixon1,019

0.3%

D+24.8

R+4.5

D+24.6

2,718

1956

64.6%Stevenson1,813

35.3%Eisenhower990

0.2%

D+29.3

D+6.0

D+44.7

2,808

1952

61.6%Stevenson2,044

38.4%Eisenhower1,272

0.0%

D+23.3

R+46.4

D+34.0

3,316

1948

82.5%Truman2,131

12.9%Dewey332

4.6%

D+69.6

D+2.7

D+65.2

2,583

1944

77.4%Roosevelt2,307

10.4%Dewey311

12.1%

D+67.0

R+2.2

D+59.5

2,980

1940

84.5%Roosevelt2,357

15.3%Willkie427

0.2%

D+69.2

R+13.7

D+59.2

2,790

1936

91.1%Roosevelt2,168

8.2%Landon196

0.7%

D+82.9

R+4.9

D+58.6

2,380

1932

93.7%Roosevelt2,365

6.0%Hoover151

0.3%

D+87.8

D+94.5

D+70.0

2,523

1928

46.6%Smith1,160

53.4%Hoover1,327

0.0%

R+6.7

R+65.9

D+10.8

2,487

1924

76.5%Davis1,402

17.3%Coolidge318

6.2%La Follette113

D+59.1

D+10.9

D+84.3

1,833

1920

72.7%Cox1,324

24.5%Harding446

2.8%

D+48.2

R+25.3

D+74.4

1,821

1916

84.9%Wilson1,324

11.3%Hughes177

3.8%

D+73.5

D+0.6

D+70.4

1,560

1912

77.1%Wilson1,002

4.2%Taft54

18.8%

D+72.9

D+11.5

D+53.4

1,300

1908

78.7%Bryan1,115

17.2%Taft244

4.1%

D+61.5

D+6.1

D+71.0

1,417

1904

69.1%Parker599

13.7%Roosevelt119

17.2%

D+55.4

—

D+75.0

867

1900

—

No data

—

1896

—

No data

—

1892

—

No data

—

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

0.0%0

100.0%5,186

5,186

2020

10.6%592

89.4%4,977

5,569

2018

10.8%458

89.2%3,770

4,228

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

11.3%663

87.2%5,128

5,879

2020Class II

11.1%MJ Hegar632

87.2%John Cornyn4,958

5,686

2018Class I

12.8%Beto O'Rourke547

86.5%Ted Cruz3,710

4,288

2014Class II

11.4%David Alameel319

85.0%John Cornyn2,375

2,793

2012Class I

18.7%Paul Sadler910

78.7%Ted Cruz3,820

4,855

2008Class II

22.7%Richard J. Noriega1,158

75.2%John Cornyn3,837

5,103

2006Class I

26.6%Barbara A. Radnofsky929

71.5%Kay Bailey Hutchison2,503

3,499

2002Class II

40.3%Ron Kirk1,317

59.1%John Cornyn1,932

3,271

2000Class I

28.0%Gene Kelly1,265

70.9%Kay Bailey Hutchison3,202

4,517

1996Class II

36.8%Victor M. Morales1,484

62.1%Phil Gramm2,506

4,038

1994Class I

37.0%Richard Fisher1,259

62.4%Kay Bailey Hutchison2,125

3,403

1990Class II

46.4%Hugh Parmer1,506

52.6%Phil Gramm1,709

3,247

1988Class I

61.7%Lloyd Bentsen2,543

38.1%Beau Boulter1,571

4,122

1984Class II

48.0%Lloyd Doggett2,106

52.0%Phil Gramm2,281

4,387

1982Class I

68.7%Lloyd Bentsen2,380

31.3%James M. Collins1,083

3,465

1978Class II

64.2%Bob Krueger1,509

35.8%John G. Tower841

2,350

1976Class I

76.1%Lloyd Bentsen2,664

23.8%Alan Steelman834

3,500

1972Class II

52.9%Barefoot Sanders1,568

47.0%John G. Tower1,391

2,962

1970Class I

70.9%Lloyd Bentsen1,780

29.1%George H.W. Bush732

2,512

1966Class II

60.5%Waggoner Carr1,145

39.4%John G. Tower746

1,894

1964Class I

72.6%Ralph Yarborough2,182

27.3%George H.W. Bush821

3,006

1960Class II

70.1%Lyndon B. Johnson1,896

29.6%John G. Tower801

2,704

1958Class I

89.9%Ralph Yarborough902

10.0%Roy Whittenburg100

1,003

1954Class II

91.2%Lyndon B. Johnson983

8.7%Carlos G. Watson94

1,078

1952Class I

90.2%Price Daniel2,497

9.8%None272

2,769

1948Class II

81.8%Lyndon B. Johnson2,076

17.1%Jack Porter434

2,538

1946Class I

94.8%Tom Connally922

5.2%Murray C. Sells51

973

1942Class II

97.9%Pappy O'Daniel787

2.1%Dudley Lawson17

804

1940Class I

96.7%Tom Connally2,703

3.3%George I. Shannon93

2,796

1936Class II

96.2%Morris Sheppard2,276

3.6%Carlos G. Watson85

2,366

1934Class I

99.0%Tom Connally1,227

0.8%U.S. Goen10

1,240

1930Class II

89.7%Morris Sheppard830

9.9%D.J. Haesly92

925

1928Class I

84.3%Tom Connally2,086

15.7%T.M. Kennerly388

2,474

1924Class II

90.2%Morris Sheppard1,888

9.8%T.M. Kennerly205

2,093

1922Class I

70.1%Earle B. Mayfield1,197

29.9%George Peddy510

1,707

1918Class II

100.0%Morris Sheppard811

0.0%J. Webster Flanagan0

811

1916Class I

86.3%Charles Culberson1,354

9.9%Alex W. Atcheson156

1,569

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1993Special · Class I

34.9%Robert Krueger459

65.1%Kay Bailey Hutchison858

1,317

1961Special · Class II

67.2%William A. Blakley858

32.8%John G. Tower418

1,276

1957Special · Class I

86.8%Ralph Yarborough1,074

13.2%Thad Hutcheson164

1,238

1941Special · Class II

0.1%Pappy O'Daniel1

99.9%Polittle Evans1,594

1,595

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

8.8%O'Rourke393

90.3%Abbott4,052

4,487

2018

10.5%Valdez449

88.8%Abbott3,807

4,286

2014

12.8%Wendy Davis363

85.7%Greg Abbott2,436

2,842

2010

27.3%Bill White943

69.7%Rick Perry2,407

3,454

2006

17.4%Chris Bell613

43.3%Rick Perry1,530

3,532

2002

30.2%Tony Sanchez1,014

66.9%Rick Perry2,244

3,355

1998

26.7%Garry Mauro785

73.0%George W. Bush2,149

2,944

1994

50.6%Ann Richards1,766

49.0%George W. Bush1,708

3,487

1990

55.6%Ann Richards1,836

40.3%Clayton Williams1,331

3,300

1986

47.5%Mark White1,420

51.6%Bill Clements1,543

2,992

1982

66.0%Mark White2,298

33.8%Bill Clements1,179

3,484

1978

60.8%John Luke Hill1,458

39.2%Bill Clements940

2,399

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Clay County, TX
Year	Total registered
2018	7,656
2020	7,959
2022	8,066
2024	8,291

How did Clay County, Texas vote in 2024?

In 2024, Clay County, Texas voted Republican by 79.6 points (R+79.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,908 votes cast, 584 went Democratic and 5,288 went Republican.

When did Clay County, Texas last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Clay County, Texas voted Democratic was 1992.

How many people live in Clay County, Texas?

Clay County, Texas has a population of 10,495 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Clay County, Texas?

Median household income in Clay County, Texas is $80,114 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.

What is the political history of Clay County, Texas?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Clay County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 11 went Republican.