Kinney County, Texas: Realigner county. In 2024, voted R+50%. Democratic peak: D+77 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+50MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- RealignerAkashic typology
- Population
- 3,1572024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,0002024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 63.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 57.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+77 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Stevens County, WA · similarity 0.99
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 346 | 1,063 | 1,424 | ||
| R | 446 | 1,144 | 1,604 | ||
| R | 458 | 936 | 1,430 | ||
| R | 522 | 880 | 1,425 | ||
| R | 633 | 907 | 1,551 | ||
| R | 542 | 1,051 | 1,600 | ||
| R | 486 | 932 | 1,444 | ||
| R | 503 | 650 | 1,256 | ||
| R | 598 | 634 | 1,539 | ||
| R | 669 | 771 | 1,450 | ||
| R | 486 | 774 | 1,263 | ||
| R | 472 | 543 | 1,046 | ||
| D | 516 | 318 | 843 | ||
| R | 234 | 425 | 660 | ||
| D | 333 | 198 | 599 | ||
| D | 439 | 155 | 594 | ||
| D | 358 | 211 | 569 | ||
| R | 289 | 368 | 660 | ||
| R | 306 | 384 | 690 | ||
| D | 370 | 175 | 574 | ||
| D | 401 | 200 | 602 | ||
| D | 418 | 156 | 577 | ||
| D | 357 | 175 | 532 | ||
| D | 678 | 89 | 768 | ||
| D | 200 | 182 | 382 | ||
| R | 144 | 158 | 315 | ||
| R | 98 | 137 | 247 | ||
| D | 233 | 201 | 442 | ||
| O | 76 | 97 | 282 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
Kinney County's roughly 1,400 square miles hold fewer than 3,400 residents, most tied to ranching and hunting leases along the Devils River watershed. Its 50-point Republican margins have held steady across recent cycles, reflecting a rural Hispanic-majority electorate that has shifted sharply rightward.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin in Kinney County peaked at seventy-seven points in 1932; it narrowed steadily over the late twentieth century. The 1980 election delivered the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by a margin of seven points. By 2024, the margin had widened further.
The economic and demographic context is severe. The median household income of $70,000 is among the lowest at this geographic scale; 8% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Stevens County and Kootenai County.
Kinney County, Texas — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://akashic.app/county/48271/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
