HarrisDemocratic17.0%2,406TrumpRepublican82.7%11,693OliverLibertarian0.2%32
R+65.7- Lead
- 9,287
- Total
- 14,143
- vs nation
- R+64.2
- Turnout
- 65.3%
Akashiccounty
Cass County, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.3% of 21,769 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic20.1%2,795TrumpRepublican79.2%11,033JorgensenLibertarian0.6%79
R+59.2- Lead
- 8,238
- Total
- 13,927
- vs nation
- R+63.6
- Turnout
- 68.7%
ClintonDemocratic19.4%2,391TrumpRepublican78.8%9,726JohnsonLibertarian1.2%144
R+59.4- Lead
- 7,335
- Total
- 12,344
- vs nation
- R+61.5
- Turnout
- 54.1%
ObamaDemocratic24.8%2,924RomneyRepublican74.3%8,763GrayLibertarian0.6%67
R+49.5- Lead
- 5,839
- Total
- 11,788
- vs nation
- R+53.4
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic29.5%3,490McCainRepublican69.9%8,279OtherAll other candidates0.7%77
R+40.4- Lead
- 4,789
- Total
- 11,846
- vs nation
- R+47.7
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic38.4%4,630BushRepublican61.3%7,383OtherAll other candidates0.3%36
R+22.8- Lead
- 2,753
- Total
- 12,049
- vs nation
- R+20.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic41.9%4,618BushRepublican57.1%6,295NaderGreen0.6%68
R+15.2- Lead
- 1,677
- Total
- 11,019
- vs nation
- R+15.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic52.5%5,691DoleRepublican37.5%4,066PerotReform9.6%1,038
D+15.0- Lead
- 1,625
- Total
- 10,839
- vs nation
- D+6.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+65.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 28,5682024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,8132024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 16.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+87.1 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jasper County, TX · twin score 97.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 65.3%14,205 participants ÷ 21,769 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +3.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 42.9%–49.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 12,582 | 23,270 | 54.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 10,391 | 22,948 | 45.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 15,641 | 22,770 | 68.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 9,996 | 21,584 | 46.3% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 14,205 | 21,769 | 65.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
18 precincts · 14,143 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 380 | 1,860 | 6 | 2,246 | 16.9% | 82.8% | R+65.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17 | 313 | 1,766 | 7 | 2,086 | 15.0% | 84.7% | R+69.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 246 | 1,539 | 11 | 1,796 | 13.7% | 85.7% | R+72.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 7Precinct 7 | 209 | 1,199 | 3 | 1,411 | 14.8% | 85.0% | R+70.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13TPrecinct 13T | 344 | 603 | 2 | 949 | 36.2% | 63.5% | R+27.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 9Precinct 9 | 161 | 613 | 3 | 777 | 20.7% | 78.9% | R+58.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 148 | 492 | 3 | 643 | 23.0% | 76.5% | R+53.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 5Precinct 5 | 117 | 492 | 4 | 613 | 19.1% | 80.3% | R+61.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 111 | 485 | 0 | 596 | 18.6% | 81.4% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 120 | 356 | 1 | 477 | 25.2% | 74.6% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 18Precinct 18 | 27 | 376 | 0 | 403 | 6.7% | 93.3% | R+86.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 6Precinct 6 | 40 | 358 | 0 | 398 | 10.1% | 89.9% | R+79.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 19Precinct 19 | 30 | 358 | 1 | 389 | 7.7% | 92.0% | R+84.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 16Precinct 16 | 23 | 345 | 1 | 369 | 6.2% | 93.5% | R+87.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15 | 29 | 269 | 1 | 299 | 9.7% | 90.0% | R+80.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 64 | 222 | 0 | 286 | 22.4% | 77.6% | R+55.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 21Precinct 21 | 25 | 204 | 1 | 230 | 10.9% | 88.7% | R+77.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 20EPrecinct 20E | 19 | 156 | 0 | 175 | 10.9% | 89.1% | R+78.3 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +8.7% |
| 1908 | +20.6% |
| 1912 | +40.6% |
| 1916 | +34.2% |
| 1920 | +3.4% |
| 1924 | +35.1% |
| 1928 | +12.4% |
| 1932 | +86.7% |
| 1936 | +87.1% |
| 1940 | +74.6% |
| 1944 | +62.1% |
| 1948 | +53.4% |
| 1952 | +11.6% |
| 1956 | −10.6% |
| 1960 | +11.6% |
| 1964 | +14.7% |
| 1968 | +8.2% |
| 1972 | −45.6% |
| 1976 | +16.0% |
| 1980 | +5.5% |
| 1984 | −13.8% |
| 1988 | +5.6% |
| 1992 | +12.7% |
| 1996 | +15.0% |
| 2000 | −15.2% |
| 2004 | −22.8% |
| 2008 | −40.4% |
| 2012 | −49.5% |
| 2016 | −59.4% |
| 2020 | −59.2% |
| 2024 | −65.7% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 36 Senate · 4 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 20,040 |
| 2018 | 20,119 |
| 2020 | 20,889 |
| 2022 | 21,145 |
| 2024 | 21,812 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+74 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,190 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $54,371 in average income, against $61,887 for residents who stayed — 12% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+36.5 on average — 29 points more Democratic-leaning than Cass County, TX itself (R+65.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bowie County, TX111R+48.7
- Morris County, TX68R+51.2
- Miller County, AR42R+51.1
- Dallas County, TX30D+22.2
- Caddo Parish, LA23D+4.6
- Collin County, TX22R+11.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bowie County, TX144
- Morris County, TX65
- Miller County, AR42
- Marion County, TX39
- Gregg County, TX35
- Caddo Parish, LA26
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −127 |
| 2012 | −225 |
| 2013 | +231 |
| 2014 | −84 |
| 2015 | +20 |
| 2016 | −14 |
| 2017 | −1 |
| 2018 | +248 |
| 2019 | +18 |
| 2021 | +382 |
| 2022 | +197 |
| 2023 | +320 |
| 2024 | +151 |
| 2025 | +74 |
Cass County sits in the forested northeast corner of Texas, where extractive industries have long defined working-class life. Its 2024 presidential margin of R+65.7 reflects a rural demographic shift that accelerated sharply over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 87.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 65.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 65.7 points.
A population of 28,568, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $53,813 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jasper County and Obion County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Jasper County
Texas
97.2twin score
elasticity2016–2024 trajectory% Evangelical≠ French ancestry
Obion County
Tennessee
93.9twin score
elasticity% Evangelical2016–2024 trajectory≠ Irish ancestry
Red River County
Texas
93.8twin score
elasticity2008–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Cass County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48067/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Cass County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Cass County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Cass County, Texas voted Republican by 65.7 points (R+65.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 14,143 votes cast, 2,406 went Democratic and 11,693 went Republican.
When did Cass County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Cass County, Texas voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Cass County, Texas?
Cass County, Texas has a population of 28,568 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cass County, Texas?
Median household income in Cass County, Texas is $53,813 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Cass County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Cass County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 10 went Republican.