HarrisDemocratic19.0%667TrumpRepublican80.0%2,810OliverLibertarian0.7%24
R+61.0- Lead
- 2,143
- Total
- 3,513
- vs nation
- R+59.5
- Turnout
- 41.3%
Akashiccounty
Dawson County, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1912–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 41.3% of 8,561 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic21.3%808TrumpRepublican77.9%2,951JorgensenLibertarian0.7%25
R+56.6- Lead
- 2,143
- Total
- 3,789
- vs nation
- R+61.0
- Turnout
- 41.7%
ClintonDemocratic23.4%835TrumpRepublican74.0%2,636JohnsonLibertarian2.2%80
R+50.5- Lead
- 1,801
- Total
- 3,563
- vs nation
- R+52.6
- Turnout
- 37.8%
ObamaDemocratic28.0%1,019RomneyRepublican71.1%2,591GrayLibertarian0.7%24
R+43.2- Lead
- 1,572
- Total
- 3,642
- vs nation
- R+47.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic28.1%1,152McCainRepublican70.9%2,906OtherAll other candidates0.9%38
R+42.8- Lead
- 1,754
- Total
- 4,096
- vs nation
- R+50.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic24.5%1,114BushRepublican75.2%3,419OtherAll other candidates0.3%12
R+50.7- Lead
- 2,305
- Total
- 4,545
- vs nation
- R+48.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic30.2%1,463BushRepublican69.0%3,337NaderGreen0.4%17
R+38.7- Lead
- 1,874
- Total
- 4,839
- vs nation
- R+39.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic38.6%1,612DoleRepublican55.5%2,319PerotReform5.6%232
R+16.9- Lead
- 707
- Total
- 4,176
- vs nation
- R+25.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+61.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 12,1342024 5-year
- Population density
- 13 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 900 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $54,3602024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 35.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 55.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+86.2 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.0 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lamb County, TX · twin score 97.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 41.3%3,534 participants ÷ 8,561 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.0 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 28.3%–32.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 3,563 | 9,417 | 37.8% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,015 | 9,318 | 32.4% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,789 | 9,095 | 41.7% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,523 | 8,795 | 28.7% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 3,534 | 8,561 | 41.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Dawson County, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
91.8%
1,829 votes · D+84.0
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 91.5%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
80.0%
2,810 votes · R+61.0
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 79.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
3,171votes
65.1% of the vote · D+30.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · 2,808 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
3,685votes
67.2% of the vote · R+34.7
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 3,419 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+94.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+68.8 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +83.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+61.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+56.6 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +59.5 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 7,330 |
| 2018 | 7,065 |
| 2020 | 7,104 |
| 2022 | 6,919 |
| 2024 | 6,776 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−87 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −2,481 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,639 in average income, against $81,507 for residents who stayed — 42% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+47.3 on average — 14 points more Democratic-leaning than Dawson County, TX itself (R+61.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lubbock County, TX36R+39.5
- Midland County, TX21R+60.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lubbock County, TX68
- Midland County, TX33
- Howard County, TX20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −146 |
| 2012 | −219 |
| 2013 | −475 |
| 2014 | +168 |
| 2015 | −541 |
| 2016 | −67 |
| 2017 | −329 |
| 2018 | −220 |
| 2019 | +60 |
| 2021 | −60 |
| 2022 | −201 |
| 2023 | −273 |
| 2024 | −91 |
| 2025 | −87 |
Dawson County's cotton-farming economy and sparse population of roughly 15,000 typify the Texas South Plains, where Republican presidential margins have grown steadily over two decades and now rank among the widest in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 86.2 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 61.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.0 points.
A population of 12,134, a 35% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,360 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lamb County and Ward County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Lamb County
Texas
97.6twin score
% Latino% White2004–2008 trajectory
Ward County
Texas
96.8twin score
% Latino2004–2008 trajectory% White≠ English ancestry
Deaf Smith County
Texas
96.4twin score
% Latino2004–2008 trajectory% White
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Dawson County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48115/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Dawson County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Dawson County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Dawson County, Texas voted Republican by 61.0 points (R+61.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,513 votes cast, 667 went Democratic and 2,810 went Republican.
When did Dawson County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Dawson County, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Dawson County, Texas?
Dawson County, Texas has a population of 12,134 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dawson County, Texas?
Median household income in Dawson County, Texas is $54,360 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Dawson County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Dawson County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.