HarrisDemocratic34.0%33,863TrumpRepublican64.8%64,606OliverLibertarian0.7%696
R+30.8- Lead
- 30,743
- Total
- 99,672
- vs nation
- R+29.4
- Turnout
- 53.6%
Akashiccounty
McLennan County, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1904–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 53.6% of 187,194 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic37.5%36,688TrumpRepublican60.8%59,543JorgensenLibertarian1.3%1,297
R+23.4- Lead
- 22,855
- Total
- 97,872
- vs nation
- R+27.8
- Turnout
- 55.7%
ClintonDemocratic34.2%27,063TrumpRepublican61.0%48,260JohnsonLibertarian3.2%2,492
R+26.8- Lead
- 21,197
- Total
- 79,075
- vs nation
- R+28.9
- Turnout
- 47.6%
ObamaDemocratic34.5%25,694RomneyRepublican64.3%47,903GrayLibertarian1.0%743
R+29.8- Lead
- 22,209
- Total
- 74,541
- vs nation
- R+33.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic37.7%29,998McCainRepublican61.6%49,044OtherAll other candidates0.8%632
R+23.9- Lead
- 19,046
- Total
- 79,674
- vs nation
- R+31.2
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic33.8%26,760BushRepublican65.7%52,090OtherAll other candidates0.5%404
R+32.0- Lead
- 25,330
- Total
- 79,254
- vs nation
- R+29.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic34.1%23,462BushRepublican63.9%43,955NaderGreen1.5%1,032
R+29.8- Lead
- 20,493
- Total
- 68,789
- vs nation
- R+30.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic42.9%27,050DoleRepublican48.6%30,666PerotReform8.1%5,131
R+5.7- Lead
- 3,616
- Total
- 63,083
- vs nation
- R+14.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 266,0672024 5-year
- Population density
- 257 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,037 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,6432024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 54.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 27.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+82.7 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lubbock County, TX · twin score 88.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 53.6%100,410 participants ÷ 187,194 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +15.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 37.7%–43.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 80,830 | 169,983 | 47.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 75,787 | 172,754 | 43.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 98,908 | 177,447 | 55.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 72,956 | 183,139 | 39.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 100,410 | 187,194 | 53.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
McLennan County, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1904–2024 · 31 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
90.8%
11,972 votes · D+82.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 90.8%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
67.4%
33,377 votes · R+35.2
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 65.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
36,688votes
37.5% of the vote · R+23.4
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 33,863 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
64,606votes
64.8% of the vote · R+30.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 59,543 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+85.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+65.5 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +76.5 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+33.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+29.8 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +31.2 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 130,365 |
| 2018 | 137,950 |
| 2020 | 149,461 |
| 2022 | 154,088 |
| 2024 | 159,331 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+484 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +11,205 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $63,883 in average income, against $75,939 for residents who stayed — 16% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+16.1 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than McLennan County, TX itself (R+30.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Bell County, TX399R+16.2
- Tarrant County, TX273R+5.1
- Dallas County, TX238D+22.2
- Harris County, TX207D+5.5
- Travis County, TX196D+39.3
- Hill County, TX167R+64.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Bell County, TX419
- Dallas County, TX333
- Tarrant County, TX330
- Travis County, TX241
- Harris County, TX221
- Williamson County, TX165
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +337 |
| 2012 | −167 |
| 2013 | +601 |
| 2014 | −194 |
| 2015 | +462 |
| 2016 | +323 |
| 2017 | +2,493 |
| 2018 | +1,138 |
| 2019 | +1,033 |
| 2021 | +2,148 |
| 2022 | +1,532 |
| 2023 | +968 |
| 2024 | +47 |
| 2025 | +484 |
McLennan County anchors the mid-Brazos corridor around Waco, where a large Hispanic population and a major research university coexist with a rural conservative base that produced a 30-point Republican margin in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 82.7 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 35.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.8 points.
A population of 266,067, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,643 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lubbock County and Nacogdoches County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Lubbock County
Texas
88.9twin score
12-yr trendpopulation scalemedian age
Nacogdoches County
Texas
85.2twin score
12-yr trendmedian age% White
Tarrant County
Texas
83.0twin score
median age% Latino12-yr trend≠ % Asian
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
McLennan County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48309/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in McLennan County
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Frequently asked questions
How did McLennan County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, McLennan County, Texas voted Republican by 30.8 points (R+30.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 99,672 votes cast, 33,863 went Democratic and 64,606 went Republican.
When did McLennan County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which McLennan County, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in McLennan County, Texas?
McLennan County, Texas has a population of 266,067 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in McLennan County, Texas?
Median household income in McLennan County, Texas is $66,643 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of McLennan County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in McLennan County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 17 went Democratic and 14 went Republican.