HarrisDemocratic32.1%37,100TrumpRepublican66.7%77,095OliverLibertarian0.7%765
R+34.6- Lead
- 39,995
- Total
- 115,525
- vs nation
- R+33.1
Akashicmetro area
Waco, TX
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
3 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic35.5%40,148TrumpRepublican62.9%71,189OtherAll other candidates1.6%1,808
R+27.4- Lead
- 31,041
- Total
- 113,145
- vs nation
- R+31.9
ClintonDemocratic32.6%30,025TrumpRepublican63.0%58,040OtherAll other candidates4.5%4,125
R+30.4- Lead
- 28,015
- Total
- 92,190
- vs nation
- R+32.5
ObamaDemocratic33.3%29,094RomneyRepublican65.4%57,144OtherAll other candidates1.3%1,093
R+32.1- Lead
- 28,050
- Total
- 87,331
- vs nation
- R+36.0
ObamaDemocratic36.6%34,020McCainRepublican62.6%58,134OtherAll other candidates0.8%765
R+26.0- Lead
- 24,114
- Total
- 92,919
- vs nation
- R+33.2
KerryDemocratic33.4%31,002BushRepublican66.1%61,281OtherAll other candidates0.5%459
R+32.6- Lead
- 30,279
- Total
- 92,742
- vs nation
- R+30.2
GoreDemocratic34.2%27,809BushRepublican63.9%51,939OtherAll other candidates1.9%1,526
R+29.7- Lead
- 24,130
- Total
- 81,274
- vs nation
- R+30.2
ClintonDemocratic43.6%32,733DoleRepublican47.6%35,766OtherAll other candidates8.8%6,622
R+4.0- Lead
- 3,033
- Total
- 75,121
- vs nation
- R+12.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+34.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 302,0452024 5-year
- Population density
- 108 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,785 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,2462024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 55.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 26.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+84.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+35.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lubbock, TX · twin score 90.7
presidential history
Party record book
Waco, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
91.9%
19,082 votes · D+84.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 91.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
67.5%
39,341 votes · R+35.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 66.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
40,148votes
35.5% of the vote · R+27.4
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 37,322 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
77,095votes
66.7% of the vote · R+34.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 71,189 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+83.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+58.1 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +66.6 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+36.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+32.1 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +33.2 pts
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 (partial) | 141,291 |
| 2018 | 160,597 |
| 2020 | 172,546 |
| 2022 | 177,469 |
| 2024 | 183,531 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+716 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +13,693 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +361 |
| 2012 | −533 |
| 2013 | −13 |
| 2014 | −324 |
| 2015 | +653 |
| 2016 | +546 |
| 2017 | +2,883 |
| 2018 | +1,419 |
| 2019 | +1,203 |
| 2021 | +2,767 |
| 2022 | +1,708 |
| 2023 | +2,035 |
| 2024 | +272 |
| 2025 | +716 |
The Waco metro has long leaned conservative in federal contests, but steady in-migration tied to Baylor University and light manufacturing diversification is gradually reshaping its voter age and educational profile.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 35.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 7.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 34.6 points.
A population of 302,045, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,246 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lubbock, TX and San Angelo, TX.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Lubbock, TX
90.7twin score
12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectorypopulation scale
San Angelo, TX
87.9twin score
12-yr trend2000 margin% White
Midland, TX
86.0twin score
12-yr trendmedian age% White≠ 2000 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Waco, TX, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/47380/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
U.S. electionsAll elections →
Places within Waco, TX
Frequently asked questions
How did Waco, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Waco, TX, Texas voted Republican by 34.6 points (R+34.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 115,525 votes cast, 37,100 went Democratic and 77,095 went Republican.
When did Waco, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Waco, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Waco, TX, Texas?
Waco, TX, Texas has a population of 302,045 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Waco, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Waco, TX, Texas is $66,246 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Waco, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Waco, TX, Texas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.