Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Waco, TX
presidential margin
2008R+26.02012R+32.12016R+30.42020R+27.42024R+34.6
full record · 1912 → 2024
R+34.6
2024
median income$66,246U.S. $80,734 · TX $78,476
median age35.1U.S. 39.1 · TX 35.7
poverty rate16.0%U.S. 12.5% · TX 13.8%
bachelor’s+ (25+)27.7%U.S. 35.6% · TX 33.6%
non-english19.0%U.S. 22.3% · TX 35.2%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German13.0%
English10.0%
Irish8.5%
Mexican23.4%
Puerto Rican0.6%
Spanish0.3%
African American†12.3%
African0.4%
Nigerian0.2%
Vietnamese0.4%
Asian Indian0.3%
Chinese0.3%
religion
other traditions
Mainline5.9%
Black Protestant2.1%
Other Christian0.9%
Latter-day Saints0.8%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Waco, TX, Texas

Akashic
Waco, TXTrumpR+34.6
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Waco, TX, TXA map of the constituent counties of Waco, TX, TX, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Bosque County, TX · R+67.3Falls County, TX · R+44.7McLennan County, TX · R+30.8
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican66.7%77,095
Kamala HarrisDemocratic32.1%37,100
Jill SteinGreen1.2%1,330
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (3 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Waco, TX, TX — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Bosque County, TXRepublicanR+67.3
Falls County, TXRepublicanR+44.7
McLennan County, TXRepublicanR+30.8
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
32.1%Harris37,100
66.7%Trump77,095
1.2%Stein1,330
−34.6%
115,525
R
35.5%Biden40,148
62.9%Trump71,189
1.6%Jorgensen1,808
−27.4%
113,145
R
32.6%Clinton30,025
63.0%Trump58,040
4.5%Johnson4,125
−30.4%
92,190
R
33.3%Obama29,094
65.4%Romney57,144
1.3%Johnson1,093
−32.1%
87,331
R
36.6%Obama34,020
62.6%McCain58,134
0.8%Barr765
−26.0%
92,919
R
33.4%Kerry31,002
66.1%Bush61,281
0.5%Badnarik459
−32.6%
92,742
R
34.2%Gore27,809
63.9%Bush51,939
1.9%Nader1,526
−29.7%
81,274
R
43.6%Clinton32,733
47.6%Dole35,766
8.8%Perot6,622
−4.0%
75,121
R
37.5%Clinton30,837
39.6%Bush32,599
22.9%Perot18,842
−2.1%
82,278
R
42.5%Dukakis33,092
57.1%Bush44,408
0.4%Paul307
−14.5%
77,807
R
36.2%Mondale28,086
63.6%Reagan49,288
0.2%Larouche173
−27.3%
77,547
R
45.2%Carter32,064
52.8%Reagan37,482
2.0%Anderson1,413
−7.6%
70,959
D
55.4%Carter37,322
43.8%Ford29,543
0.8%McCarthy555
+11.5%
67,420
R
32.2%McGovern18,786
67.5%Nixon39,341
0.3%Schmitz191
−35.2%
58,318
D
48.3%Humphrey27,195
33.2%Nixon18,680
18.5%Wallace10,384
+15.1%
56,259
D
72.7%Johnson35,052
27.2%Goldwater13,132
0.1%Hass34
+45.5%
48,218
D
58.1%Kennedy25,351
41.6%Nixon18,138
0.4%Byrd157
+16.5%
43,646
D
51.7%Stevenson20,525
48.0%Eisenhower19,034
0.3%Andrews132
+3.8%
39,691
D
54.2%Stevenson22,478
45.6%Eisenhower18,918
0.2%Hallinan68
+8.6%
41,464
D
79.5%Truman21,722
15.1%Dewey4,135
5.4%Thurmond1,474
+64.3%
27,331
D
80.3%Roosevelt21,029
9.7%Dewey2,549
10.0%Thomas2,607
+70.6%
26,185
D
85.9%Roosevelt22,984
13.9%Willkie3,731
0.1%Thomas38
+72.0%
26,753
D
91.1%Roosevelt18,183
8.0%Landon1,606
0.8%Lemke164
+83.1%
19,953
D
91.9%Roosevelt19,082
7.5%Hoover1,561
0.6%Thomas115
+84.4%
20,758
D
52.5%Smith9,049
47.3%Hoover8,147
0.1%Thomas24
+5.2%
17,220
D
76.9%Davis13,223
18.8%Coolidge3,235
4.2%La Follette726
+58.1%
17,184
D
59.1%Cox8,409
19.7%Harding2,807
21.2%Debs3,020
+39.4%
14,236
D
78.8%Wilson8,577
17.0%Hughes1,848
4.2%Benson460
+61.8%
10,885
D
79.0%Wilson6,709
8.4%Taft712
12.6%Roosevelt1,072
+70.6%
8,493
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presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1912 to 2024. Most recent: −34.6% in 2024.flipped R · 1980−34.6%DR19122024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1912+70.6%
1916+61.8%
1920+39.4%
1924+58.1%
1928+5.2%
1932+84.4%
1936+83.1%
1940+72.0%
1944+70.6%
1948+64.3%
1952+8.6%
1956+3.8%
1960+16.5%
1964+45.5%
1968+15.1%
1972−35.2%
1976+11.5%
1980−7.6%
1984−27.3%
1988−14.5%
1992−2.1%
1996−4.0%
2000−29.7%
2004−32.6%
2008−26.0%
2012−32.1%
2016−30.4%
2020−27.4%
2024−34.6%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Waco, TXTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 183,531 in 2024.45.9K91.8K137.6K183.5K183.5K20162024
Registered voters

† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.

Voter registration in Waco, TX
YearTotal registered
2016 (partial)141,291
2018160,597
2020172,546
2022177,469
2024183,531
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

The Waco metro has long leaned conservative in federal contests, but steady in-migration tied to Baylor University and light manufacturing diversification is gradually reshaping its voter age and educational profile.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 35.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 7.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 34.6 points.

A population of 302,045, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,246 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lubbock, TX and San Angelo, TX.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Lubbock, TX
90.7twin score
12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectorypopulation scale
San Angelo, TX
87.9twin score
12-yr trend2000 margin% White
Midland, TX
86.0twin score
12-yr trendmedian age% White≠ 2000 margin

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Waco, TX, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/47380/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Waco, TX

counties3
Bosque CountyFalls CountyMcLennan County

Frequently asked questions

How did Waco, TX, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Waco, TX, Texas voted Republican by 34.6 points (R+34.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 115,525 votes cast, 37,100 went Democratic and 77,095 went Republican.
When did Waco, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Waco, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Waco, TX, Texas?
Waco, TX, Texas has a population of 302,045 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Waco, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Waco, TX, Texas is $66,246 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Waco, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Waco, TX, Texas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.