- Lead
- 2,059
- Total
- 13,268
- vs nation
- R+14.0
- Turnout
- 48.8%
Jim Wells County, TX
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 48.8% of 27,504 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 1,334
- Total
- 13,682
- vs nation
- R+14.2
- Turnout
- 48.9%
- Lead
- 1,274
- Total
- 12,379
- vs nation
- D+8.2
- Turnout
- 44.4%
- Lead
- 1,894
- Total
- 11,166
- vs nation
- D+13.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,865
- Total
- 11,612
- vs nation
- D+8.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,007
- Total
- 12,691
- vs nation
- D+10.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,920
- Total
- 12,023
- vs nation
- D+23.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,127
- Total
- 10,572
- vs nation
- D+30.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+15.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 38,8502024 5-year
- Population density
- 45 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 865 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $51,8962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 18.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 79.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+79.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+15.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- La Salle County, TX · twin score 97.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 48.8%13,432 participants ÷ 27,504 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.0 ptsPersistently low turnout
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 34.9%–37.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 12,573 | 28,302 | 44.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 10,133 | 28,137 | 36.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 13,996 | 28,610 | 48.9% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 9,725 | 27,832 | 34.9% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 13,432 | 27,504 | 48.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Jim Wells County, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
89.4%
1,449 votes · D+79.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 83.0%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
57.6%
7,636 votes · R+15.5
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 54.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Michael Dukakis1988
8,495votes
65.9% of the vote · D+32.3
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 7,961 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
7,636votes
57.6% of the vote · R+15.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 7,453 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+69.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+44.5 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +61.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+14.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+9.8 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +14.0 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 26,316 |
| 2018 | 26,445 |
| 2020 | 26,636 |
| 2022 | 26,593 |
| 2024 | 26,414 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−121 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −3,004 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,760 in average income, against $56,614 for residents who stayed — 14% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+8.4 on average — 7.1 points more Democratic-leaning than Jim Wells County, TX itself (R+15.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Nueces County, TX221R+11.5
- Duval County, TX80R+9.8
- Bexar County, TX56D+9.7
- San Patricio County, TX40R+36.4
- Kleberg County, TX38R+12.7
- Brooks County, TX29D+9.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Nueces County, TX224
- Bexar County, TX92
- Duval County, TX84
- San Patricio County, TX43
- Kleberg County, TX35
- Brooks County, TX30
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +52 |
| 2012 | +197 |
| 2013 | −235 |
| 2014 | −531 |
| 2015 | −310 |
| 2016 | −653 |
| 2017 | −511 |
| 2018 | −321 |
| 2019 | −424 |
| 2021 | +39 |
| 2022 | −63 |
| 2023 | −67 |
| 2024 | −56 |
| 2025 | −121 |
Jim Wells County, anchored by Alice in South Texas, has shifted sharply rightward over the past decade — a pattern visible across majority-Hispanic counties along the Eagle Ford Shale corridor, where energy employment and cultural conservatism have reshaped voter coalitions.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 79.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 15.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.5 points.
A population of 38,850, a 18% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $51,896 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of La Salle County and Brooks County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Jim Wells County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48249/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.