archetypes / bellwether
All 211 bellwether counties
Tracks the national winner closely, with narrow margins. When the bellwethers move, the country usually moves with them.
Robeson County
2024R+27.6
Val Verde County
2024R+26.6
Floyd County
2024R+25.6
Frio County
2024R+24.5
Fulton County
2024R+23.8
Roberts County
2024R+23.0
Norman County
2024R+22.2
Trempealeau County
2024R+21.4
Freeborn County
2024R+21.3
La Salle County
2024R+20.5
Lafayette County
2024R+20.2
Jackson County
2024R+19.5
Alexander County
2024R+19.2
Luna County
2024R+18.9
Clinton County
2024R+18.8
Jefferson County
2024R+18.6
Benson County
2024R+18.4
Monroe County
2024R+18.4
Grant County
2024R+18.1
St. Lawrence County
2024R+17.9
Conejos County
2024R+17.8
Chester County
2024R+17.2
McCormick County
2024R+17.1
Gogebic County
2024R+17.1
Poweshiek County
2024R+16.9
Trumbull County
2024R+16.7
Sullivan County
2024R+16.6
Gwinnett County
2024D+16.5
Houston County
2024R+16.5
Valencia County
2024R+16.4
Essex County
2024R+15.9
Manistee County
2024R+15.9
Dunn County
2024R+15.9
Delaware County
2024R+15.7
Barnwell County
2024R+15.5
Marshall County
2024R+15.5
Jim Wells County
2024R+15.5
Portage County
2024R+15.5
Quitman County
2024R+15.4
Des Moines County
2024R+15.0
Muscatine County
2024R+14.9
Panola County
2024R+14.8
Cobb County
2024D+14.8
Bay County
2024R+14.7
Whiteside County
2024R+14.7
Barbour County
2024R+14.7
Twiggs County
2024R+14.7
Calhoun County
2024R+14.3
North Slope Borough
2024R+14.3
Westmoreland County
2024R+14.3
LaPorte County
2024R+14.1
Erie County
2024R+14.1
Colfax County
2024R+14.0
Calhoun County
2024R+14.0
Conecuh County
2024R+13.9
Anne Arundel County
2024D+13.8
Columbia County
2024R+13.8
Crawford County
2024R+13.8
Chickasaw County
2024R+13.7
Coos County
2024R+13.7
Macomb County
2024R+13.7
Chaffee County
2024D+13.6
Las Animas County
2024R+13.5
Darlington County
2024R+13.3
Richland County
2024R+13.1
Oxford County
2024R+12.9
Cayuga County
2024R+12.9
Kleberg County
2024R+12.7
Brewster County
2024R+12.6
Clarendon County
2024R+12.3
Berks County
2024R+12.1
Corson County
2024R+11.9
Seneca County
2024R+11.7
Rockland County
2024R+11.7
Cerro Gordo County
2024R+11.6
Early County
2024R+11.5
Nueces County
2024R+11.5
Skamania County
2024R+11.1
Penobscot County
2024R+10.9
Stanislaus County
2024R+10.9
Dillon County
2024R+10.8
Alamosa County
2024R+10.8
Olmsted County
2024D+10.6
Lake and Peninsula Borough
2024R+10.5
Porter County
2024R+10.5
Mower County
2024R+10.5
Deschutes County
2024D+10.4
Martin County
2024R+10.3
Salt Lake County
2024D+10.2
Outagamie County
2024R+10.2
Wood County
2024R+10.2
Douglas County
2024D+10.1
Suffolk County
2024R+9.9
Roosevelt County
2024R+9.6
Grand County
2024D+9.5
Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region
2024R+9.4
Granville County
2024R+9.4
Knox County
2024R+9.4
Jackson County
2024R+9.3
Trinity County
2024R+9.3
Burke County
2024R+9.3
Winneshiek County
2024R+9.2
St. Lucie County
2024R+9.1
Chesterfield County
2024D+8.9
Whitman County
2024D+8.9
Washington County
2024D+8.9
Jefferson County
2024R+8.9
Caroline County
2024R+8.8
Frederick County
2024D+8.7
Benzie County
2024R+8.7
Huerfano County
2024R+8.6
Dubuque County
2024R+8.6
Haines Borough
2024D+8.5
Johnson County
2024D+8.4
Orange County
2024R+8.4
Cass County
2024R+8.3
Franklin County
2024R+8.2
Lowndes County
2024R+8.2
Florence County
2024R+8.0
Latah County
2024R+8.0
Lynchburg city
2024R+7.9
Berrien County
2024R+7.9
Clallam County
2024D+7.8
Vernon County
2024R+7.8
Otsego County
2024R+7.8
Essex County
2024R+7.7
Leelanau County
2024D+7.7
Dooly County
2024R+7.7
Brown County
2024R+7.5
Nelson County
2024R+7.5
Isabella County
2024R+7.5
Clark County
2024D+6.9
Thurston County
2024R+6.9
Teton County
2024D+6.8
Lenoir County
2024R+6.8
Jefferson County
2024R+6.8
Jackson County
2024R+6.4
Cortland County
2024R+6.4
Fluvanna County
2024R+6.2
Kenosha County
2024R+6.2
Dillingham Census Area
2024R+6.2
James City County
2024D+6.2
Racine County
2024R+6.2
Yamhill County
2024R+6.1
Androscoggin County
2024R+6.1
Copiah County
2024R+6.1
Peach County
2024R+6.0
Grays Harbor County
2024R+6.0
Watauga County
2024D+6.0
Wasco County
2024R+5.7
Lewis and Clark County
2024R+5.7
Lorain County
2024R+5.7
Beltrami County
2024R+5.6
Hays County
2024D+5.6
Clay County
2024R+5.6
Wicomico County
2024R+5.4
Northwest Hills Planning Region
2024R+5.4
Kent County
2024D+5.3
McHenry County
2024R+5.3
Pinellas County
2024R+5.2
Pueblo County
2024R+5.1
Jasper County
2024R+5.0
Sangamon County
2024R+4.9
Spokane County
2024R+4.9
Winona County
2024R+4.9
McLean County
2024D+4.9
Pasquotank County
2024R+4.9
Franklin County
2024R+4.9
Prince of Wales-Hyder Census Area
2024R+4.8
Desha County
2024R+4.8
Winnebago County
2024R+4.7
Caddo Parish
2024D+4.6
Columbia County
2024R+4.6
Anoka County
2024R+4.4
Monongalia County
2024R+4.4
Fresno County
2024R+4.4
Lancaster County
2024D+4.3
Tensas Parish
2024R+4.3
Warren County
2024R+4.2
Nassau County
2024R+4.1
Warren County
2024R+4.0
Scott County
2024R+3.9
Chesapeake city
2024D+3.8
Marengo County
2024R+3.8
Polk County
2024R+3.6
Seminole County
2024R+3.6
Pike County
2024R+3.5
Maricopa County
2024R+3.5
Montgomery County
2024D+3.5
Saginaw County
2024R+3.3
Gallatin County
2024D+3.2
Eaton County
2024R+3.1
Albany County
2024R+3.1
Butte County
2024R+3.1
Hillsborough County
2024R+3.1
Hillsborough County
2024D+2.9
Centre County
2024D+2.8
Gloucester County
2024R+2.8
Kent County
2024R+2.8
Kennebec County
2024R+2.7
Morris County
2024R+2.7
Orange County
2024D+2.7
Virginia Beach city
2024D+2.6
Rice County
2024R+2.5
Mason County
2024R+2.5
Rockingham County
2024R+2.4
Door County
2024D+2.2
Sumter County
2024D+2.2
Baldwin County
2024R+2.2
Garfield County
2024D+2.1
Kent County
2024D+2.0