Clay County, Missouri: Democratic loyalist county. In 2024, voted R+6%. Democratic peak: D+62 in 1896.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- Democratic loyalistAkashic typology
- Population
- 258,1222024 5-year
- Median household income
- $88,4682024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 79.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+62 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+39 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wilkes County, GA · similarity 0.91
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 60,345 | 67,688 | 130,789 | ||
| R | 59,400 | 64,605 | 126,569 | ||
| R | 45,304 | 57,476 | 111,170 | ||
| R | 47,310 | 56,191 | 106,043 | ||
| R | 53,761 | 54,516 | 109,606 | ||
| R | 44,670 | 51,193 | 96,460 | ||
| D | 39,084 | 39,083 | 80,173 | ||
| D | 32,603 | 28,935 | 69,147 | ||
| D | 30,565 | 23,798 | 75,778 | ||
| R | 29,620 | 30,293 | 60,270 | ||
| R | 22,586 | 36,529 | 59,115 | ||
| R | 24,250 | 28,521 | 56,314 | ||
| D | 26,609 | 24,962 | 52,315 | ||
| R | 14,538 | 33,017 | 47,555 | ||
| R | 17,547 | 19,643 | 44,162 | ||
| D | 23,993 | 13,997 | 37,990 | ||
| R | 17,318 | 18,955 | 36,273 | ||
| D | 13,605 | 13,436 | 27,041 | ||
| R | 12,502 | 13,043 | 25,598 | ||
| D | 11,855 | 6,408 | 18,304 | ||
| D | 8,682 | 6,724 | 15,446 | ||
| D | 9,672 | 6,159 | 15,861 | ||
| D | 9,535 | 4,491 | 14,084 | ||
| D | 9,398 | 3,117 | 12,612 | ||
| R | 5,574 | 5,584 | 11,185 | ||
| D | 6,076 | 2,998 | 9,459 | ||
| D | 6,283 | 2,804 | 9,118 | ||
| D | 3,902 | 1,307 | 5,264 | ||
| D | 3,417 | 592 | 4,746 | ||
| D | 3,513 | 1,166 | 4,735 | ||
| D | 2,832 | 1,077 | 4,033 | ||
| D | 3,585 | 921 | 4,596 | ||
| D | 4,071 | 924 | 5,062 | ||
| D | 3,085 | 738 | 4,412 | ||
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Demographics
Clay County hugs the Missouri River north of Kansas City and spent decades as a Democratic anchor in statewide races; by 2024 it had drifted to R+5.6, tracing the broader suburban realignment reshaping Midwestern metro fringes.
The Democratic margin in Clay County reached its widest at sixty-two points in 1896. The margin in 2024 was six points — a notable narrowing.
Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $88,468, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 258,122 together describe a community whose political habits are deeply settled. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wilkes County and Ben Hill County.
Clay County, Missouri — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://akashic.app/county/29047/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
