- Lead
- 6,029
- Total
- 21,523
- vs nation
- R+26.5
Missouri 39th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,649
- Total
- 20,855
- vs nation
- R+31.5
- Lead
- 5,323
- Total
- 17,748
- vs nation
- R+32.1
- Lead
- 4,851
- Total
- 16,789
- vs nation
- R+32.7
- Lead
- 3,744
- Total
- 17,266
- vs nation
- R+29.0
- Lead
- 4,209
- Total
- 15,336
- vs nation
- R+25.0
- Lead
- 2,573
- Total
- 12,559
- vs nation
- R+21.0
- Lead
- 1,428
- Total
- 10,564
- vs nation
- R+22.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+28.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 38,6492024 5-year
- Population density
- 313 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 124 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $103,5432024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46.2 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.9 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 13, MO · twin score 93.7
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 39th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
72.6%
302 votes · D+46.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 70.7%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
78.0%
6,284 votes · R+55.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 70.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
7,590votes
35.3% of the vote · R+28.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 7,427 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
13,619votes
63.3% of the vote · R+28.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 13,076 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+48.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+42.4 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +45.5 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
+32.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+55.9 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +32.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | R | 39.7%4,970 | 60.3%7,564 | 12,534 |
| 2018 | R | 40.0%3,869 | 60.0%5,811 | 9,680 |
Missouri 39th State House District sits in the Border South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 46.2 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 55.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.0 points.
A population of 38,649, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $103,543 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 13 and State House District 8.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 39th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29039/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.