akashic
1876–2024
State Senate District 21·Missouri

Missouri 21st State Senate District has voted Republican in seven straight presidential cycles.

A reliably Republican district anchored in Missouri's rural Ozarks corridor

18762024·38 elections
MO
Latest
R+20
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
292,021
2024 ACS

Missouri 21st State Senate District, Missouri: Republican loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+20%. Democratic peak: D+37 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+20MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Republican loyalistAkashic typology
Population
292,0212024 5-year
Median household income
$82,2372024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
82.4%2024 5-year
Black
5.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+37 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+34 in 1972MIT Election Lab
6 counties · 0 D · 6 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−20.1%
57,01886,405146,122
R
−18.3%
57,15083,335143,377
R
−22.2%
45,71674,287128,965
R
−13.8%
51,92869,020123,950
R
−4.8%
60,53566,797129,175
R
−11.0%
52,40965,491118,679
R
−2.9%
48,50551,519102,557
D
+7.9%
43,80036,54991,382
D
+10.0%
41,07931,12999,508
R
−0.9%
41,82042,59184,784
R
−22.2%
33,57652,71986,295
R
−6.6%
37,61443,22984,798
D
+6.1%
42,81837,88681,519
R
−34.4%
25,19051,55176,741
R
−4.6%
30,78934,18473,909
D
+27.0%
44,85025,79270,642
R
−3.1%
35,69638,00973,705
R
−0.9%
33,38833,97267,360
R
−3.9%
33,30136,00169,440
D
+18.4%
34,52623,79458,421
D
+3.3%
30,76428,77659,633
D
+7.2%
37,01232,01369,157
D
+19.9%
39,56126,39866,166
D
+36.7%
39,98118,42958,726
D
+1.4%
29,62828,80558,537
D
+13.6%
30,62323,04055,753
D
+9.6%
31,05325,60057,002
D
+19.1%
20,16113,62234,191
D
+30.4%
18,1918,59231,541
D
+17.7%
19,05913,26732,753
D
+14.2%
17,23012,86630,657
D
+24.3%
21,21312,82234,583
D
+27.6%
23,29213,15436,760
D
+25.5%
19,00610,90131,814
No data
No data
No data
No data

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
21.7%
English
13.8%
Irish
12.1%
American
6.3%
Italian
3.5%
Scottish
2.0%
French
1.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.5%
speak English only
Spanish3.3%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.2%
Other Indo-European1.1%
Other languages0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
11.4%
Other Christian
9.6%
Methodist
7.1%
Catholic & Orthodox
6.9%
Mainline Protestant
5.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
2.0%
Non-Christian
1.0%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 57.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+28, Missouri Senate District 21 ranks among the state's most one-sided constituencies, reflecting the broad rural realignment that has reshaped Missouri politics over the past two decades.

The Republican margin in Missouri 21st State Senate District reached its widest at thirty-four points in 1972. The margin in 2024 was twenty points, in line with the district's deep historical pattern.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $82,237, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 292,021 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State Senate District 21, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/29021/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State Senate District 21, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, State Senate District 21, Missouri voted Republican by 20.1 points (R+20), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 146,122 votes cast, 57,018 went Democratic and 86,405 went Republican.
What is State Senate District 21, Missouri's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State Senate District 21, Missouri as a "Republican loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 19 times, Republican 15 times, and other 0 times.
When did State Senate District 21, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State Senate District 21, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in State Senate District 21, Missouri?
State Senate District 21, Missouri has a population of 292,021 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State Senate District 21, Missouri?
Median household income in State Senate District 21, Missouri is $82,237 — above the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of State Senate District 21, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State Senate District 21, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Republican loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.