HarrisDemocratic51.4%44,495TrumpRepublican46.6%40,290KennedyIndependent1.6%1,383
D+4.9- Lead
- 4,205
- Total
- 86,522
- vs nation
- D+6.3
- Turnout
- 67.4%
Akashiccounty
McLean County, IL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.4% of 128,314 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic50.3%43,933TrumpRepublican46.3%40,502JorgensenLibertarian1.9%1,624
D+3.9- Lead
- 3,431
- Total
- 87,387
- vs nation
- R+0.5
- Turnout
- 67.8%
ClintonDemocratic44.5%36,196TrumpRepublican45.8%37,237JohnsonLibertarian6.0%4,855
R+1.3- Lead
- 1,041
- Total
- 81,324
- vs nation
- R+3.4
- Turnout
- 63.5%
ObamaDemocratic43.4%31,883RomneyRepublican54.4%39,947JOHNSONLibertarian1.4%1,062
R+11.0- Lead
- 8,064
- Total
- 73,469
- vs nation
- R+14.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic49.8%37,689McCainRepublican48.5%36,767OtherAll other candidates1.7%1,294
D+1.2- Lead
- 922
- Total
- 75,750
- vs nation
- R+6.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic41.7%29,877BushRepublican57.6%41,276OtherAll other candidates0.7%467
R+15.9- Lead
- 11,399
- Total
- 71,620
- vs nation
- R+13.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic40.9%24,936BushRepublican55.8%34,008NaderGreen2.5%1,546
R+14.9- Lead
- 9,072
- Total
- 60,898
- vs nation
- R+15.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic42.5%22,708DoleRepublican49.5%26,428PerotReform7.1%3,816
R+7.0- Lead
- 3,720
- Total
- 53,435
- vs nation
- R+15.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+4.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 171,5562024 5-year
- Population density
- 145 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,183 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $79,9052024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 76.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+12.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40.2 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Boone County, MO · twin score 91.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.4%86,522 participants ÷ 128,314 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.4 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 51.0%–53.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 81,324 | 128,106 | 63.5% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 67,276 | 128,600 | 52.3% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 87,387 | 128,983 | 67.8% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 66,181 | 128,838 | 51.4% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 86,522 | 128,314 | 67.4% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
presidential history
Party record book
McLean County, IL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
55.0%
21,508 votes · D+12.0
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 54.5%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
67.6%
31,060 votes · R+35.3
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 67.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
44,495votes
51.4% of the vote · D+4.9
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 43,933 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
41,276votes
57.6% of the vote · R+15.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 40,502 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+6.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+4.9 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −0.5 pts
Republican
Richard Nixon1960
+28.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+27.8 · U.S. D+0.2
Runner-up · Gerald Ford, 1976 · +28.0 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 31.0%23,497 | 69.0%52,302 | 75,799 |
| 2020 | R | 43.9%37,603 | 56.1%48,048 | 85,651 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 66,286 |
| 2018 | 61,483 |
| 2020 | 67,346 |
| 2022 | 66,192 |
| 2024 | 71,591 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−1,082 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −17,035 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $61,268 in average income, against $99,160 for residents who stayed — 38% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+4.7 on average — 9.6 points more Republican-leaning than McLean County, IL itself (D+4.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Cook County, IL338D+41.6
- Tazewell County, IL188R+26.6
- Livingston County, IL168R+46.3
- Peoria County, IL168D+4.6
- Champaign County, IL145D+23.8
- Woodford County, IL116R+42.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Cook County, IL356
- Tazewell County, IL200
- Champaign County, IL174
- Peoria County, IL157
- De Witt County, IL127
- Woodford County, IL117
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −568 |
| 2012 | +194 |
| 2013 | +630 |
| 2014 | −2,673 |
| 2015 | −2,664 |
| 2016 | −1,611 |
| 2017 | −1,950 |
| 2018 | −1,567 |
| 2019 | −2,102 |
| 2021 | −451 |
| 2022 | −1,078 |
| 2023 | −1,251 |
| 2024 | −862 |
| 2025 | −1,082 |
McLean County leans modestly Democratic at the presidential level, a shift driven partly by the student and professional population clustered around Bloomington-Normal, even as surrounding rural areas trend in the opposite direction.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 12.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 40.2 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.9 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.9 points.
A population of 171,556, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,905 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Boone County and Fayette County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Boone County
Missouri
91.8twin score
2020–2024 trajectory12-yr trendcollege share≠ Swedish ancestry
Fayette County
Kentucky
91.3twin score
12-yr trendcollege share2020–2024 trajectory≠ Polish ancestry
Lancaster County
Nebraska
90.7twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ Scottish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
McLean County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17113/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in McLean County
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Frequently asked questions
How did McLean County, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, McLean County, Illinois voted Democratic by 4.9 points (D+4.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 86,522 votes cast, 44,495 went Democratic and 40,290 went Republican.
When did McLean County, Illinois last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which McLean County, Illinois voted Republican was 2016.
How many people live in McLean County, Illinois?
McLean County, Illinois has a population of 171,556 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in McLean County, Illinois?
Median household income in McLean County, Illinois is $79,905 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of McLean County, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in McLean County, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.