- Lead
- 91
- Total
- 2,128
- vs nation
- R+2.8
- Turnout
- 70.5%
Tensas Parish, LA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 70.5% of 3,056 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 132
- Total
- 2,554
- vs nation
- D+0.7
- Turnout
- 77.2%
- Lead
- 150
- Total
- 2,548
- vs nation
- D+3.8
- Turnout
- 72.9%
- Lead
- 334
- Total
- 2,812
- vs nation
- D+8.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 279
- Total
- 3,040
- vs nation
- D+1.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 16
- Total
- 2,963
- vs nation
- D+3.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 250
- Total
- 3,010
- vs nation
- D+7.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 882
- Total
- 3,099
- vs nation
- D+19.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+4.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 3,9352024 5-year
- Population density
- 6.5 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 603 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $36,6152024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 41.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 54.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+95.4 in 1908MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+79.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Conecuh County, AL · twin score 97.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 70.5%2,153 participants ÷ 3,056 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -7.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 55.3%–56.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,610 | 3,581 | 72.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,000 | 3,536 | 56.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 2,619 | 3,392 | 77.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,024 | 3,202 | 63.2% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 2,153 | 3,056 | 70.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Tensas Parish, LA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1908
97.7%
300 votes · D+95.4
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · 97.7%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
89.6%
1,655 votes · R+79.2
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 53.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Grover Cleveland1892
2,351votes
91.7% of the vote · D+83.4
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 2,081 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
1,956votes
53.5% of the vote · R+9.0
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 1,729 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+114.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+88.4 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +113.9 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+101.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+79.2 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1960 · +21.9 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | R | 43.0%770 | 57.0%1,021 | 1,791 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Tensas Parish, LA registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 36-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
3,373 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−73 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,173 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $44,683 in average income, against $55,194 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −151 |
| 2012 | −121 |
| 2013 | −60 |
| 2014 | −89 |
| 2015 | −89 |
| 2016 | −117 |
| 2017 | −70 |
| 2018 | −110 |
| 2019 | −128 |
| 2021 | −36 |
| 2022 | −159 |
| 2023 | +17 |
| 2024 | +13 |
| 2025 | −73 |
Tensas Parish, one of Louisiana's least populous counties, sits in the Mississippi Delta and carries a majority-Black population that has historically anchored Democratic margins — making its recent R+4.3 shift a notable demographic signal.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 95.4 points in 1908 and a Republican high of 79.2 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 9.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.3 points.
A population of 3,935, a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $36,615 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Conecuh County and Jefferson Davis County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Tensas Parish, Louisiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/22107/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.