Of the 100 counties with the lowest bachelor’s+, 86 voted Republican and 14 Democratic in 2024 — a median of R+54.9, and as a group they shifted −4.9 points toward Republicans from 2020 to 2024.

Median 2024 margin

R+54.9

top 100 counties

2024 split

86 R · 14 D

of the top counties

Shift since 2020

−4.9 pts

toward R

Link to the vote

r = +0.59

moderate · D

Median income

$46,868

11% college

Does bachelor’s+ move the vote?

Every U.S. county, plotted by how little of the community lives there against its 2024 presidential margin — the demographic dial on one axis, the political one on the other.

how bachelor’s+ tracks the vote

Across every county, the more bachelor’s+ a county is, the more Democratic it votes — a moderate relationship (r = +0.59).

Median 2024 presidential margin by Bachelor’s+ share, across every county.
Bachelor’s+ range	Counties	Median margin
10.9% – 13.6%	224	R+55.0
13.6% – 16.3%	339	R+54.7
16.3% – 19.0%	395	R+52.9
19.0% – 21.8%	413	R+45.2
21.8% – 24.5%	318	R+42.3
24.5% – 27.2%	234	R+36.8
27.2% – 29.9%	180	R+30.4
29.9% – 32.6%	157	R+22.2
32.6% – 35.3%	134	R+21.0
35.3% – 38.0%	99	R+7.7
38.0% – 40.7%	82	R+2.3
40.7% – 43.4%	62	R+0.4
43.4% – 46.2%	43	D+10.4
46.2% – 48.9%	30	D+20.4
48.9% – 51.6%	36	D+6.5
51.6% – 54.3%	79	D+33.9

Where bachelor’s+ is lowest

Every county shaded by bachelor’s+ — deep where the value bottoms out, pale at the other end. Counties below 5,000 population are suppressed.

10.9%Bachelor’s+54.3%+

The leaderboard

Ranked least to most by bachelor’s+. Filter by region or state, switch the column lens, cap the list, and sort on any figure.

Show

Region

State

Columns

Top

100 of 150 counties shown. Sorted by metric. Sources: U.S. Census ACS 2024 5-year · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) · MIT Election Lab.
#
1	Kusilvak Census Area, AK	5.8%	D D+15.6	−18.4	1,566
2	Pershing County, NV	6.1%	R R+54.9	−3.9	2,308
3	Duval County, TX	6.8%	R R+9.8	−12.4	4,461
4	Newton County, TX	6.8%	R R+66.6	−5.7	5,749
5	McDowell County, WV	6.8%	R R+60.4	−1.9	5,425
6	Lee County, AR	7.2%	D D+3.5	−1.3	2,520
7	Reeves County, TX	7.4%	R R+36.9	−13.7	3,439
8	Bullock County, AL	8.1%	D D+45.8	−4.1	4,111
9	Lincoln County, WV	8.1%	R R+62.5	−7.6	7,187
10	Johnson County, GA	8.4%	R R+46.4	−6.7	3,984
11	McCreary County, KY	8.5%	R R+78.7	−2.0	6,212
12	Elliott County, KY	8.7%	R R+61.9	−10.7	2,911
13	Wolfe County, KY	8.7%	R R+50.6	−8.3	2,915
14	Jackson County, KY	8.8%	R R+81.8	−2.5	5,934
15	Wilkinson County, MS	8.8%	D D+25.3	−9.2	2,931
16	Atkinson County, GA	8.9%	R R+54.0	−7.2	3,057
17	Switzerland County, IN	8.9%	R R+57.4	−5.2	4,258
18	Lafayette County, AR	9.0%	R R+38.3	−4.1	2,325
19	Marlboro County, SC	9.0%	D D+2.4	−8.5	10,152
20	Clinch County, GA	9.1%	R R+51.5	−4.1	2,908
21	Lee County, KY	9.2%	R R+67.7	−3.7	2,690
22	Sevier County, AR	9.3%	R R+61.7	−8.5	4,714
23	Lake County, TN	9.4%	R R+54.9	−7.4	1,939
24	Covington city, VA	9.5%	R R+33.2	−9.6	2,480
25	Mingo County, WV	9.5%	R R+73.8	−2.5	8,490
26	Turner County, GA	9.8%	R R+28.5	−3.7	3,833
27	Nicholas County, KY	9.8%	R R+49.0	−6.2	3,319
28	Dimmit County, TX	9.8%	D D+3.3	−20.7	3,427
29	Terry County, TX	9.8%	R R+65.1	−8.3	3,420
30	Lafayette County, FL	9.9%	R R+76.0	−4.4	3,756
31	Butler County, KY	9.9%	R R+66.3	−2.9	5,943
32	Anson County, NC	9.9%	R R+2.5	−6.7	10,875
33	Wheeler County, GA	10.0%	R R+45.1	−6.0	2,276
34	Telfair County, GA	10.1%	R R+39.3	−8.4	4,214
35	Carter County, MO	10.1%	R R+74.2	−4.0	2,862
36	Morrow County, OR	10.1%	R R+48.0	−4.7	4,732
37	Dickenson County, VA	10.1%	R R+62.1	−4.0	7,060
38	Calhoun County, WV	10.1%	R R+64.8	−4.4	2,936
39	Martin County, KY	10.2%	R R+83.6	−4.9	3,655
40	Garza County, TX	10.2%	R R+72.6	−1.1	1,599
41	Hancock County, GA	10.3%	D D+35.4	−8.5	4,240
42	Jenkins County, GA	10.3%	R R+30.4	−4.5	3,409
43	Lewis County, TN	10.3%	R R+65.6	−4.9	5,890
44	Bacon County, GA	10.4%	R R+73.2	−0.5	4,839
45	Twiggs County, GA	10.5%	R R+14.7	−7.3	4,456
46	Greene County, MS	10.5%	R R+69.8	−3.9	5,649
47	Barbour County, AL	10.6%	R R+14.7	−7.0	9,855
48	Northwest Arctic Borough, AK	10.6%	R R+5.6	−21.0	1,536
49	Noxubee County, MS	10.6%	D D+47.6	−4.8	4,449
50	Latimer County, OK	10.6%	R R+65.6	−2.6	4,079
51	Winkler County, TX	10.6%	R R+70.5	−4.9	1,933
52	Dixie County, FL	10.7%	R R+70.4	−4.4	8,148
53	Edmonson County, KY	10.7%	R R+62.9	−4.2	6,247
54	Claiborne Parish, LA	10.7%	R R+22.1	−6.3	5,816
55	DeSoto County, FL	10.8%	R R+42.9	−10.9	12,488
56	Hancock County, TN	10.8%	R R+76.5	+0.8	2,908
57	Gates County, NC	10.9%	R R+21.6	−7.9	5,868
58	Hamilton County, FL	11.0%	R R+39.0	−7.3	5,733
59	Macon County, GA	11.0%	D D+17.9	−5.1	4,686
60	Cocke County, TN	11.0%	R R+68.3	−3.4	15,663
61	Union County, FL	11.1%	R R+68.3	−2.9	6,231
62	Lincoln County, ID	11.1%	R R+56.0	−1.7	1,917
63	Holmes County, OH	11.1%	R R+69.2	−1.2	12,335
64	Zavala County, TX	11.1%	D D+14.4	−17.0	3,492
65	Appling County, GA	11.2%	R R+62.4	−5.5	8,334
66	Caldwell Parish, LA	11.2%	R R+72.5	−4.7	4,334
67	Amite County, MS	11.2%	R R+32.8	−6.7	6,815
68	Dallas County, AR	11.3%	R R+29.4	−6.4	2,324
69	Clay County, WV	11.3%	R R+62.3	−1.7	3,240
70	Poinsett County, AR	11.4%	R R+63.5	−3.8	7,079
71	Crawford County, IN	11.4%	R R+48.6	−5.5	5,011
72	Seward County, KS	11.4%	R R+39.0	−9.9	4,565
73	Carroll County, KY	11.4%	R R+51.0	−6.5	4,025
74	St. Helena Parish, LA	11.4%	D D+0.8	−9.5	5,745
75	Deaf Smith County, TX	11.4%	R R+51.7	−7.6	4,286
76	Washington County, FL	11.5%	R R+65.4	−4.3	12,584
77	LaGrange County, IN	11.5%	R R+56.8	−2.7	10,411
78	Leslie County, KY	11.5%	R R+80.9	−0.4	4,357
79	Avoyelles Parish, LA	11.5%	R R+43.1	−2.4	16,037
80	Harrison County, OH	11.5%	R R+55.2	−2.6	7,110
81	Clay County, TN	11.5%	R R+66.6	−9.6	3,760
82	Mitchell County, TX	11.5%	R R+71.3	−2.6	2,513
83	Buchanan County, VA	11.5%	R R+70.5	−3.0	9,337
84	Boone County, WV	11.5%	R R+57.4	−4.4	8,142
85	Lee County, SC	11.6%	D D+17.7	−9.9	8,076
86	Lunenburg County, VA	11.6%	R R+22.8	−4.1	5,885
87	Bibb County, AL	11.7%	R R+64.3	−6.6	9,257
88	Monroe County, AL	11.7%	R R+23.1	−7.2	9,815
89	Worth County, GA	11.7%	R R+50.4	−2.6	9,309
90	Tallahatchie County, MS	11.7%	D D+5.9	−4.9	5,012
91	Washington County, MO	11.7%	R R+65.2	−2.7	10,237
92	Gaines County, TX	11.7%	R R+82.6	−2.9	6,416
93	Oglala Lakota County, SD	11.8%	D D+70.6	−8.6	3,062
94	Childress County, TX	11.8%	R R+76.1	−4.5	2,272
95	La Salle County, TX	11.8%	R R+20.5	−8.7	2,360
96	Treutlen County, GA	11.9%	R R+44.4	−7.1	3,121
97	Allen Parish, LA	11.9%	R R+61.0	−5.3	8,751
98	Dallam County, TX	11.9%	R R+78.3	−4.2	1,447
99	Frio County, TX	11.9%	R R+24.5	−16.9	4,945
100	Gonzales County, TX	11.9%	R R+54.8	−6.7	7,755

Source. Demographics — U.S. Census American Community Survey 2024 5-year (ancestry B04006, language C16001, income B19013/B19001, education S1501, poverty S1701); adherence — 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB); density — Census TIGER land area · counties and cities ≥ 5,000 population, ranked by bachelor’s+; the medians are taken across the 100 top counties; the correlation is over all 2,825 eligible counties. Presidential results are two-party margins (MIT Election Lab); city results are precinct-derived for 2008–2024. A place can be demographically homogeneous and politically split — which is exactly what these tables are built to show. Real returns — nothing estimated.