- Lead
- 68
- Total
- 1,535
- vs nation
- R+3.0
- Turnout
- 33.9%
Northwest Arctic Borough, AK
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 33.9% of 4,533 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 337
- Total
- 2,028
- vs nation
- D+12.2
- Turnout
- 41.1%
- Lead
- 576
- Total
- 2,062
- vs nation
- D+25.8
- Turnout
- 41.7%
- Lead
- 700
- Total
- 2,000
- vs nation
- D+31.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 376
- Total
- 2,367
- vs nation
- R+23.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 370
- Total
- 2,288
- vs nation
- R+13.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 263
- Total
- 2,122
- vs nation
- R+12.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 247
- Total
- 2,078
- vs nation
- D+3.4
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+4.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 7,4412024 5-year
- Median household income
- $84,0182024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 9.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+53.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+20.7 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Dillingham Census Area, AK · twin score 96.8
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 33.9%1,535 participants ÷ 4,533 CVAP
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,063 | 4,949 | 41.7% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 2,028 | 4,933 | 41.1% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 1,535 | 4,533 | 33.9% | C/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
22 precincts · 0 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| 40-002 Ambler002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40-012 Buckland012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 40-014 Deering014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 40-018 Kiana018 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 40-020 Kivalina020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 40-022 Kobuk022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 40-024 Kotzebue024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 40-026 Noatak026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 40-028 Noorvik028 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 40-036 Selawik036 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 40-038 Shungnak038 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ambler Precinct002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Buckland Precinct012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Deering Precinct014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kiana Precinct018 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kivalina Precinct020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kobuk Precinct022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kotzebue Precinct024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Noatak Precinct026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Noorvik Precinct028 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Selawik Precinct038 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Shungnak Precinct042 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1960–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1960 | −4.8% |
| 1964 | +53.7% |
| 1968 | −3.4% |
| 1972 | −14.8% |
| 1976 | +19.3% |
| 1980 | +9.5% |
| 1984 | −20.7% |
| 1988 | −16.9% |
| 1992 | −1.9% |
| 1996 | +11.9% |
| 2000 | −12.4% |
| 2004 | −16.2% |
| 2008 | −15.9% |
| 2012 | +35.0% |
| 2016 | +27.9% |
| 2020 | +16.6% |
| 2024 | −4.4% |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Northwest Arctic Borough, AK registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 9.7-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.
4,270 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−117 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,175 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $59,667 in average income, against $70,079 for residents who stayed — 15% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Anchorage Municipality, AK43
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −31 |
| 2012 | −128 |
| 2013 | −144 |
| 2014 | −106 |
| 2015 | −121 |
| 2016 | −213 |
| 2017 | −47 |
| 2018 | −195 |
| 2019 | −156 |
| 2021 | −304 |
| 2022 | −234 |
| 2023 | −162 |
| 2024 | −217 |
| 2025 | −117 |
Home to roughly 7,200 residents spread across roadless tundra villages, Northwest Arctic Borough is majority Iñupiaq and has trended toward closer federal contests in recent cycles, with 2024 marking a modest Republican margin of 4.2 points.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 53.7 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 20.7 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 21.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 4.4 points.
A population of 7,441, a 9% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,018 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Dillingham Census Area and North Slope Borough.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Northwest Arctic Borough, Alaska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/02188/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.