- Lead
- 161
- Total
- 436
- vs nation
- R+35.5
- Turnout
- 17.5%
Aleutians East Borough, AK
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 17.5% of 2,498 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 133
- Total
- 509
- vs nation
- R+30.6
- Turnout
- 22.6%
- Lead
- 99
- Total
- 440
- vs nation
- R+24.6
- Turnout
- 22.4%
- Lead
- 60
- Total
- 555
- vs nation
- R+14.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 243
- Total
- 672
- vs nation
- R+43.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 282
- Total
- 551
- vs nation
- R+48.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 334
- Total
- 619
- vs nation
- R+54.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 12
- Total
- 538
- vs nation
- R+10.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+36.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 3,4912024 5-year
- Median household income
- $65,3652024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 16.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+64.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.0 in 2000MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Kodiak Island Borough, AK · twin score 77.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 17.5%436 participants ÷ 2,498 CVAP
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 440 | 1,966 | 22.4% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 509 | 2,251 | 22.6% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 436 | 2,498 | 17.5% | C/D |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2024: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 156/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
9 precincts · 0 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| 37-700 Akutan700 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37-712 Cold Bay712 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 37-720 King Cove720 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| 37-744 Sand Point744 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Akutan Precinct700 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cold Bay Precinct712 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| King Cove Precinct720 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Port Heiden Precinct (Part; Also See Part In Lake And Peninsula Borough)732 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sand Point Precinct734 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1960–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1960 | +40.4% |
| 1964 | +64.3% |
| 1968 | −12.7% |
| 1972 | −34.3% |
| 1976 | −29.9% |
| 1980 | −15.1% |
| 1984 | −48.6% |
| 1988 | −34.9% |
| 1992 | −22.6% |
| 1996 | −2.2% |
| 2000 | −54.0% |
| 2004 | −51.2% |
| 2008 | −36.2% |
| 2012 | −10.8% |
| 2016 | −22.5% |
| 2020 | −26.1% |
| 2024 | −36.9% |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 31 points more Democratic.
1,161 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−57 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −844 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,067 in average income, against $78,826 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −4 |
| 2012 | −30 |
| 2013 | −47 |
| 2014 | −82 |
| 2015 | −54 |
| 2016 | −107 |
| 2017 | −28 |
| 2018 | −116 |
| 2019 | −103 |
| 2021 | −24 |
| 2022 | −87 |
| 2023 | −50 |
| 2024 | −55 |
| 2025 | −57 |
Despite a population dominated by Alaska Native and Filipino cannery workers, Aleutians East has shifted toward wide Republican margins in recent cycles, reflecting broader rural Alaska trends that cut across its unusually diverse demographic mix.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 64.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 54.0 points in 2000. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 10.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.9 points.
A population of 3,491, a 17% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,365 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kodiak Island Borough and Petersburg Borough.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Aleutians East Borough, Alaska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/02013/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.